Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Odds, Preview, and Prediction, Friday, November 7, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 11/07/2025, 10:46 AM ET
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Use Code WWWC

It’s a Western Conference battle on Friday, Nov. 7. Read our Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction in the NBA Cup (Group Play) along with our other NBA Picks. The Mavericks are 2-6 this season as injuries have hurt any early-season progress. Dallas has lost three straight games coming into this outing. The Grizzlies are 3-6, and they have lost four games in a row. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.

Dallas struggling with injuries

Dallas is 2-6 overall this season. They are tied for last place in the Western Conference. The Mavericks have lost three straight games coming into this game. Dallas’ lone wins are over Toronto and Indiana, both decided by 10 points or less.

In their last game, the Mavericks lost 101-99 to New Orleans on Wednesday, Nov. 5. Dallas’ largest lead was just five points in the game. Dallas shot 41.6% from the field and 31.3% from behind the arc. The Mavericks were out-rebounded by 12 boards while they gave up 18 points off 15 turnovers. Rookie Cooper Flagg led the team with 20 points on 8-for-19 shooting.

PJ Washington leads the team with 15.8 points per game. He’s also grabbing a team-high 8.6 rebounds per game while D’Angelo Russell is passing for a team-leading 5.6 assists per game.

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Dallas is averaging 106.3 points per game, which ranks last in the league. They are shooting 44% from the field, which ranks fifth-worst. They are the third-worst 3-point shooting team, which ranks 31.5% from behind the arc.

On defense, Dallas is allowing 113.8 points per game, which ranks eighth best. They are allowing 46.2% from the field, which ranks 12th best. The Mavericks are the fourth-best 3-point defensive team, giving up 33.1% from deep.

Dallas is 3-5 against the spread this season. They are 1-1 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Mavericks are 3-1 against the spread when they have been underdogs. The under is 6-2 when Dallas has played this season.

Dallas ranks last in offensive efficiency. They are the fourth-ranked team in defensive efficiency.

Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum are all out for Friday’s game.

Memphis struggles continue on losing streak

Memphis is 3-6 overall this season. The Grizzlies are in 13th place in the Western Conference as they have a 2-4 home record. The Grizzlies have lost four straight games.

In their last game, the Grizzlies lost 124-109 at home on Wednesday, Nov. 5. The Grizzlies led 2-0 and that was the only lead that they had all game long. Memphis is shooting 38.2% from the field and 33.3% from behind the arc. The Grizzlies turned the ball over 15 times, which led to 26 points. Cam Spencer led the team with 19 points on 5-for-10 shooting from off the bench.

Ja Morant leads the team with 20 points and 7.2 assists per game. Santi Aldama has a team-high 6.8 rebounds per game.

Memphis is averaging 114.9 points per game, which ranks 22nd. They are the fourth-worst shooting team, making 43.9% from the field. The Grizzlies are making 33% from behind the ar,c which ranks sixth-worst.

On defense, Memphis is allowing 120.9 points per game, which ranks third-worst. They are allowing 48.9% from the fiel,d which places them 26th. The Grizzlies are the 25th-ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 38.3%.

Memphis is 2-7 against the spread this season. They are 2-4 against the spread when they have played at home. The Grizzlies are 2-2 against the spread when they have been favored. The under is 5-4 when Memphis has played. The over is 3-1 when the total has been set at 236 or less.

Memphis is the fifth-worst offensive efficient team in the league. The Grizzlies rank 23rd in defensive efficiency, too.

Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome and Zach Edey are all out for this game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Spread Pick

  • Dallas Mavericks +4 (5 units)

Dallas goes on the road to Memphis for an NBA Cup game. It’s a game that both teams are desperate to win. Memphis is on a four-game losing streak while the Mavericks have also lost three straight games. The difference is going to come down to defense, an area Dallas has thrived in. The Mavericks are the fourth-best defensive efficient team in the league. Memphis has struggled for offensive consistency and its defense has not been very good, which should allow easy baskets to a Mavericks team short on options and confidence. In a close game, the team with better defense is going to thrive, and that’s Dallas.

Take the Mavericks to cover.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Over/Under Pick

  • Over 229 (5 units)

Dallas is one of the fastest teams in the league. They are the fifth fastest team in pace as they keep the tempo high throughout the game. Memphis is also an incredibly fast team as they rank third in pace. The Mavericks will be able to feast in this game, with Memphis allowing the third-most points per game. The over is 3-1 when the total has been set at 236 or less.

Take the over on Friday. 

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