Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Picks and Prediction for Sunday March 15 2026

By: Eddie Kline Published 03/15/2026, 05:10 AM ET
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In Sunday afternoon NBA action, the Dallas Mavericks and the Cleveland Cavaliers will wrap up a home-and-home from Rocket Arena. The Mavericks have dropped nine of their previous ten games. Dallas owns an underwhelming overall record of 22 wins and 45 losses. The Cavaliers have won four of their last six games to push their season record to 41 wins and 26 losses. Read more about this Dallas vs ClevelandΒ prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NBA Predictions!

  • Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Game time: 3:30 pm ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Arena: Rocket Arena
  • TV channel: NBA TV

Dallas in rebuilding mode

It has been a year since Dallas traded Luka Doncic to Los Angeles and the franchise is still dealing with the repercussions. The Mavericks have since parted ways with GM Nico Harrison and dealt oft-injured F Anthony Davis to Washington. Dallas ranks near the bottom of the league in offensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and are averaging 112.9 points per game. The Mavericks have dropped 24 of their first 32 road games and have fallen out of contention in the Western Conference standings. On Friday, Dallas trailed by 17 points after one quarter during an ugly 138-105 home loss versus Cleveland.

Dallas has made the decision to rebuild around number one overall draft pick Cooper Flagg. The 6’9’ forward leads the Mavericks on scoring (20.0 ppg) to go along with 6.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. Naji Marshall is a versatile F and is averaging a career-high 14.9 points per game. Veteran G/F Khris Middleton came over in the Anthony Davis trade and is scoring 13.1 points. Max Christie (12.7 ppg) is a productive three-point shooter and is shooting 40.4 percent from beyond the arc.

Key Injury Report for Dallas:

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  • P.J. Washington (DTD) - ankle
  • Daniel Gafford (DTD) - rest
  • Kyrie Irving (out) - knee
  • Dereck Lively II (out) - foot

Cleveland ready to contend now

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been eliminated in the second round of the playoffs in consecutive years and have not reached the conference finals since LeBron James was in town. The Cavaliers landed All-Star G James Harden at the trade deadline and could be headed for a deep postseason run. Cleveland ranks fifth in the league in offensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and are scoring 119.1 points per contest. The Cavaliers are ten games above .500 at home and trail New York by 1.5 games for third place in the Eastern Conference standings. During Friday’s dominant victory at Dallas, Cleveland knocked down 18-for-38 from long range and shot a scorching 62 percent overall.

All-Star G Donovan Mitchell ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 28.2 points per game. Mitchell also leads Cleveland in assists (5.8 apg) and steals (1.6 spg). James Harden was acquired to be another playmaker next to Mitchell and is averaging 19.9 points. Evan Mobley ranks third on the team in scoring (17.9 ppg) to go along with a team-high 8.7 rebounds and 1.8 blocks.

Key Injury Report for Cleveland:

  • Sam Merrill (DTD) - hamstring
  • Tyrese Proctor (out) - quad
  • Max Strus (out) - foot
  • Jarrett Allen (out) - knee

Dallas vs Cleveland Pick

Dallas vs Cleveland Spread Pick

  • Pick: Dallas Spread

Dallas has really been struggling as of late and seven of their previous nine losses have come by double digits. The Mavericks are 29-38 ATS this season and are even worse against the number as a road underdog (8-15 ATS). The Cavaliers have also been extremely unprofitable for bettors (28-39 ATS) and are just 12-19 ATS as home favorites. Take the Mavericks to cover in the rematch.

Dallas vs Cleveland Over/Under Pick

  • Pick: Under

Dallas plays at the seventh fastest tempo in the league and Cleveland ranks 12th in that category. Prior to their 138-point outburst on Friday, Cleveland failed to crack 120 points in their previous six wins. The Mavericks have been an under bettor’s dream team with a 28-39 O/U record and the Cavaliers are 11-20 O/U as home favorites. Take the under.

Final Score Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers win 119-112

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