Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/12/2026, 06:40 AM ET
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It’s another big night in the Western Conference on Thursday, Feb. 11. Read our Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Mavericks are 19-34 overall this season, but they have lost four straight games. The Lakers are 32-31 and they are clinging to sixth place in the West. They have lost back-to-back games coming into this game.

Losing streak extended to eight games for Dallas

Dallas is 19-34 overall this season. The Mavericks are in 12th place in the Western Conference as they are destined for another lottery pick. Dallas is six games back of the Clippers for a play-in spot. They have a 5-17 road record this season. They have lost eight straight games coming into this matchup. Dallas has lost four straight games by at least nine points, too.

In their last game, the Mavericks lost 120-111 away from home on Tuesday, Feb. 10. Dallas led 1-0 and that was the only lead the team had for the entire game. The Mavericks shot 48% from the field and 23% from behind the 3-point line. The Suns led by as much as 31 points in the game. Naji Marshall led the team with 31 points on 12-for-17 shooting.

The Mavericks are led in scoring through Cooper Flagg with 20.4 points per game. Ryan Nembhard is passing for a team-high 4.9 assists, while PJ Washington is grabbing 7.1 rebounds per game.

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Dallas ranks 26th in offensive efficiency and the 13th ranked defensive efficient team in the league. The Mavericks are also the 22nd ranked rebounding team.

The Mavericks are averaging 114.1 points per game, which ranks 23rd this season. They are shooting 47% from the field, which ranks 15th in the league. Dallas is the fourth-worst 3-point shooting team, making 34.3% from behind the arc.

On defense, Dallas is allowing 117.3 points per game, which ranks 20th. They are the 11th ranked defensive team, allowing 46.5% from the field. Opponents are making 33.8% from behind the 3-point line, which is the best defensive mark in the league.

The Mavericks are 23-30 against the spread this season. Dallas is 18-18 against the spread as an underdog. They are 7-15 against the spread when playing on the road. The under is 29-24 when the Mavericks have played this season. The under is 18-14 with one day of rest. The over is 19-17 when Dallas has been an underdog this year.

Lakers losers of back-to-back games

Los Angeles is 32-21 overall this season. The Lakers are in sixth place in the Western Conference. They are 8.5 games back of first place Oklahoma City. The Lakers are one game ahead of the Suns to avoid the play-in round. The Lakers are 14-10 when playing at home this season. They have won three of their last five games, but they have lost back-to-back games.

In their last game, the Lakers lost 136-108 at home on Tuesday, Feb. 10. The Lakers never led in the game as they shot 48% from the field and 44% from behind the arc. They allowed the Spurs to go 57% from the field, too. Luke Lennard led the team with 14 points on 5-for-8 shooting.

Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and LeBron James all missed Tuesday’s game with injuries. All three are questionable for Thursday’s game.

Doncic leads the team with 32.8 points and 8.6 assists per game. Deandre Ayton is the top rebounder with 8.5 boards per game.

The Lakers rank seventh in offensive efficiency while also being the 22nd ranked defensive efficient team. They are also the ninth ranked rebounding team this season.

The Lakers are averaging 115.9 points per game, which rank 14th. They are making 49.9% from the field, which is the best mark in the league. Los Angeles also ranks 18th in 3-point shooting, hitting 35% from behind the arc.

On defense, the Lakers are allowing 116.3 points per game, which ranks 18th. They are the fourth-worst defensive team, allowing 48.6% from the field. The Lakers are the 22nd ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 36.6% from behind the arc.

The Lakers are 29-24 against the spread this season. They are 18-12 against the spread with one day of rest. Los Angeles is also 14-6 against the spread after a loss. They are also 11-5 against the spread as a home favorite. The over is 30-23 when the Lakers have played this season. The over is 17-7 when they have played at home. The under is 16-14 with one day of rest.

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks

Mavericks vs Lakers Spread Pick

  • Take the Lakers to cover (5 units) 

Despite the many injuries, the Lakers have been solid at home this season. They have a 14-10 home record as they are also 11-5 against the spread in their own building. The Mavericks have struggled with consistency because of different lineups and injuries. The Lakers offense ranks seventh in the league and that will be key in the game. The Mavericks do rank 20th in points per game, which will give the Lakers confidence to put up a big number. Dallas is 7-15 against the spread when playing on the road

Take the Lakers to cover. 

Mavericks vs Lakers Over/Under Pick

  • Take the over (5 units) 

The Mavericks are one of the fastest teams in the league. They are the fourth-fastest team in the league as they rank 26th on the offensive end. The Mavericks’ speed will offset some poor half court offense. The Lakers are the seventh-ranked offensive efficient team in the sport, too. This should be an offensive caliber game with both teams able to hit consistent shots. The over is 30-23 when the Lakers have played this season. The over is 17-7 when they have played at home. The over is 19-17 when Dallas has been an underdog this year.

Take the over on Thursday. 

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