Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 25, 2026
Use Code WWWC Dallas Mavericks (19-26) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (18-26)
The 2025-26 NBA season goes on Sunday, January 25, with the Dallas Mavericks taking on the Milwaukee Bucks in the cross-conference showdown at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI, and we’ve got you covered with our Mavericks vs. Bucks prediction.
Dallas and Milwaukee wrap up their two-game regular-season series. Back in November, the Bucks outlasted the Mavericks 116-114 as 3.5-point road favorites. Now, the Bucks are looking for their eighth straight victory over the Mavericks.
Let’s take a closer look at this Mavericks vs. Bucks prediction, one of our NBA picks for Sunday’s card. The tip-off at Fiserv Forum is set at 7:00 PM ET.
The Mavericks play without rest
Saturday’s games have been excluded from the analysis, and the Dallas Mavericks hosted the Los Angeles Lakers, searching for their fifth straight victory. In their previous four outings, the Mavericks have beaten the Golden State Warriors 123-115, the New York Knicks 114-97, and the Utah Jazz twice, 144-122 and 138-120.
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Last Thursday, the Mavericks beat the Warriors as 6.5-point home underdogs. Dallas committed a staggering 22 turnovers, but the Mavs outrebounded the Warriors 54-35 while making 50.0% of their field goals (13-for-35 from deep). Naji Marshall led the way for Dallas with 30 points, nine assists, and seven rebounds.
The Mavericks continue to lean on Marshall (14.5 PPG, 4.7 RPG) and Cooper Flagg (18.8 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 4.1 APG), as the team has struggled with injuries. Anthony Davis (20.4 PPG, 11.1 RPG) and Dereck Lively II (4.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG) are both out, while Kyrie Irving is still recovering from a knee injury.
Dallas is 11th in the Western Conference, a game and a half behind the No. 10 seed. The Mavericks score 111.1 points per 100 possessions (27th in the NBA) and allow 113.2 points in return (tied for 5th). They make just 34.4% of their shots from deep (25th).
The Bucks miss their best player
The Milwaukee Bucks have only won one of their previous six games overall. After stopping their three-game slide with a 112-110 road victory over the Atlanta Hawks, the Bucks have dropped consecutive home games against the Oklahoma City Thunder 122-102 and the Denver Nuggets 102-100.
Last Friday, the Bucks lost Giannis Antetokounmpo (28.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 5.6 APG), who exited the Nuggets game with a calf injury. Antetokounmpo will be sidelined for at least four weeks, which is a massive blow for Milwaukee.
The Bucks nearly erased a 23-point deficit last Friday. They shot just 40.0% from the field (12-for-39 from deep) and missed seven of their 27 attempts from the foul line. Antetokounmpo accounted for 22 points, 13 rebounds, and seven assists in 32 minutes on the floor, while Ryan Rollins had 21 points and four boards.
Milwaukee is 11th in the Eastern Conference, two and a half games behind the No. 10 seed. The Bucks score 113.3 points per 100 possessions (tied for 24th in the NBA) and surrender 116.9 points in return (tied for 19th). They are second in the league in 3-point percentage (39.2%).
Mavericks vs. Bucks Pick
Spread Pick for Mavericks vs. Bucks
- Dallas Mavericks (4 units)
The Bucks have struggled of late, and they just lost their best player, while the Mavericks were aiming for their fifth consecutive victory on Saturday night. However, this is a tough spot for Dallas. The Mavericks will take the floor on the second night of a back-to-back set after taking a long trip from Dallas to Milwaukee.
The Mavs’ frontcourt is pretty thin. Daniel Gafford (ankle) was probable for Saturday’s clash against the Lakers, so he could miss Sunday’s game in Milwaukee. On the other side, Antetokounmpo’s injury will mean more minutes for Bobby Portis (13.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG), and the Bucks will continue to lean on their 3-point shooting.
Anyway, Kevin Porter Jr. (16.8 PPG, 7.4 APG) remains on the sidelines, and the Mavericks’ 3-point defense is the best in the NBA. Dallas allows just 11.4 triples per 100 possessions (2nd in the league) on a 32.9 percentage clip (1st). The Mavericks are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four outings on the second night of a back-to-back, and I will ride this betting trend.
Over/Under Pick for Mavericks vs. Bucks
- Under (4 units)
I noted how good the Mavericks’ 3-point defense has been this season. Without Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks will struggle to force double teams and find open shots. The Mavericks are not a great shooting team by any stretch of the imagination, so give me the under.
The Bucks have scored 106 or fewer points in six of their previous seven games overall, and five of those seven contests have gone under the total. Now, the Bucks are taking on one of the best defensive teams in the NBA while missing their best player. Milwaukee is 23rd in the league in pace (98.3 possessions per 48 minutes), while Dallas ranks third in this category (3rd).
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