Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 27th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Dallas Mavericks (12-20, 16-16 ATS, 15-17 O/U) clash with the Sacramento Kings (7-23, 12-17-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U) in a Western Conference meeting on Saturday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Mavericks were hit with a road loss by the Warriors on Thursday. The Kings dropped a home meeting against the Pistons in their previous action. These squads have yet to meet that season, and the Kings posted a 3-0 record against the Mavericks last year.
Can the Mavericks post a second straight win on Saturday? Check out the Mavericks vs. Kings prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NBA Picks!
Mavericks Wrap Up Road Trek
The Dallas Mavericks continue a three-game road trek on Saturday evening. Dallas is having a disappointing season, but there have been some positive signs in the defensive end. The Mavericks are 2-3 in their past five games. This includes a loss to the Pelicans last weekend and a home defeat by the Nuggets on Tuesday. Next, they were hit with a 126-116 road defeat by the Warriors on Christmas Day in a bout that had the Mavericks as big 10.5-point dogs. Dallas is 11th in the conference, 3.5 games out of the eighth. The Mavericks have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Cooper Flagg is having a promising rookie season. The 2025 #1 overall pick has surpassed 23 points in five of his last six games. Flagg scored 27 points on Christmas Day and has recorded an average of 19.4 PPG and 6.4 RPG on the season. Anthony Davis has been a beast this month, but he sustained an injury against the Warriors and is out of action for the next few games. He has reached 30 points in three games this month and is averaging 20.5 PPG and 10.9 RPG in 16 games.
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PJ Washington has shot at least 50% in four of his past five games. The veteran forward had a foot injury and returned on Thursday. He is averaging 15.6 PPG. Max Christie has scored double digits in three of his past five games. The veteran guard has netted 11.4 PPG on the season. Brandon Williams scored 26 points on Thursday. The 26-year-old guard has issued an average of 11.1 PPG.
Dallas has dropped five straight road clashes, including defeats against the Thunder and Jazz. They covered in one game in that stretch. Dallas is averaging 113.6 points on the season, ranking them 22nd in the NBA. The Mavericks are conceding an average of 117.7 points, placing them 20th in the NBA.
Sacramento Covers in Defeat vs. Pistons
The Sacramento Kings are wrapping up a home stand in this one. Similar to the Mavericks, it's been an ugly season for the Kings. They stand last in the conference. The Kings have dropped five of their past six games but have been competitive in many of the defeats. Sacramento lost by just five points against the Trail Blazers last week, followed by a 125-124 overtime home win against the Rockets on Sunday. Next, they dropped a 136-127 home decision against the Pistons on Tuesday in a game that had the Kings marked as 10-point dogs. The Kings have covered the spread in four of their past five games.
Zach LaVine is dealing with an ankle injury and won’t be ready in time for this one. He could be back next week. The 30-year-old star is averaging 20.2 PPG. DeMar DeRozan has surpassed 25 points in three of his last five games. The veteran guard scored 37 points on Tuesday and is having another outstanding season, contributing with 19 PPG on 51% shooting. He was a threat against the Mavericks last year, averaging 25.3 points in three meetings.
Keegan Murray has scored 15 or more points in three of his past five games. The 25-year-old forward has registered 15 PPG. He sustained a leg injury on Wednesday and is questionable. Russell Westbrook sank 27 points against the Pistons on Tuesday. The veteran guard has issued an average of 14.5 PPG. Dennis Schroder has been a big threat, scoring 20 or more in two of his past three games. The veteran has reported an average of 13.1 PPG. The Kings continue to play without Domantas Sabonis. He is averaging 17.2 PPG
Sacramento is 1-4 in their past five home dates, covering in three games. They lost the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers. Sacramento is scoring an average of 112 points on the year, marking them 26th. The Kings have conceded 120 or more points in three of their past five games and are squandering an average of 122.5 points, pegging them 25th in the entire NBA.
Mavericks vs. Kings Pick
Spread Pick for Mavericks vs. Kings
- Dallas Mavericks +5 ( 5 units)
The Dallas Mavericks are the better team here. The Sacramento Kings have lost 24 of 31 games this season and have been just as bad at home, where they have dropped five of their past six games. They continue to play without their best defensive player, Domantas Sabonis.
Furthermore, Sacramento leans on its scoring to stay in games, and the Mavericks' top strength is defense. They are keeping opponents to 46.1% shooting and rank 1st in the entire NBA in three-point defense. Also, Dallas has been more of a threat in the offensive end in this past week, averaging 118 points in its past five games, above its season average. The Kings continue to be exposed in the defensive end and rank 30th in the NBA in field goal defense.
Over/Under Pick for Mavericks vs. Kings
- Over 228 (5 units)
I expect a shootout in this one. These teams play at a quick pace. Dallas ranks 5th, and Sacramento is 10th in the NBA in pace. The Mavericks' defense has not been as sharp in recent games. They have conceded 119 or more points in five of their past six games, including 130 points in the win against Denver.
In addition, Sacramento has also been scoring more points, averaging 116.2 points in its past five games, above its season average of 112 points. The Mavericks' defense has been weak on the road, conceding an average of 126 points in their past five road games. The over is a convincing 5-1 in the Mavericks' past six road games.
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