Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors Picks and Predictions, Sunday, March 8th 2026

By: Paul B Published 03/08/2026, 06:25 AM ET
Mavericks vs. Raptors Prediction
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The Dallas Mavericks (21-42) and the Toronto Raptors (35-27) play in a non-conference NBA battle on Sunday night in this Mavericks vs. Raptors prediction. These teams met back in October with Dallas winning by ten at home. The Mavericks are coming off a 120-100 road loss against the Celtics, failing to cover the large 15.5-point spread as dogs. Toronto just lost in Minnesota 115-107 and missed the cover as 4.5-point dogs. Tipoff is set for 6:00 EST. Keep reading to see our Mavericks vs. Raptors prediction, and make some money with our best NBA Picks.

Dallas Continues Long Road Trip

The Dallas Mavericks are only 7-22 on the road this season, which is not good news for the Mavericks as they are currently in the middle of their 6-game road trip. They lost all of their first three games on this trip, falling to Charlotte, Orlando and Boston. In the game against the Celtics, Jayson Tatum made his return after tearing his Achilles to help lead Boston to the win. In that game, Dallas was led by Klay Thompson with 19 points off the bench in the loss.

Thompson is also a veteran player who previously tore his Achilles, he is now an important bench piece who is averaging 11.8 PPG and still shooting 38.4% from beyond the arc. Cooper Flagg is their future, but also their present as he is their leading scorer with 20.3 PPG while posting an impressive stat line including 6.5 RPG and 4.2 APG. Flagg has been quiet as of late, scoring under 20 in three of his last four games. Naji Marshall is quietly their second leading scorer, the 6'7 forward is getting 15.2 PPG as an inside-out 28-year old.

PJ Washington is a steady scorer who can battle inside while getting 14.1 PPG, and Brandon Williams has been a surprise guard getting 13.0 PPG after averaging single digits for the last two seasons. Dallas is 29th in offensive efficiency and 20th in defensive efficiency according to dunksandthrees.com. The Mavericks play fast, ranking 4th in the league in possessions per game.

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Raptors Drop Four of Five

The Toronto Raptors are firmly in the mix for the playoff race, but did not do themselves any favors over the past two weeks as they have lost four of their last five coming into this matchup with the Mavericks. Their lone win came against the Wizards, while dropping contests against the Thunder, Spurs, Knicks and T-Wolves. The Raptors are currently ranked 5th overall in the Eastern Conference standings. In their recent loss against Minnesota, they were led by RJ Barrett with 25 points in the losing effort.

Barrett has been an underrated wing scorer over the past several seasons, as he has averaged 18 or more points per game over the past five seasons. So far this year, he is getting 18.3 PPG while adding 5.4 RPG and playing physical defense. The Raptors are dealing with an injury in the frontcourt as Collin Murray-Boyles is out of the game with a thumb sprain. Brandon Ingram is their top scorer, he is getting 21.9 PPG with 5.7 RPG.

Scottie Barnes is arguably their best all-around player, as he is putting up 18.9 PPG, 8.0 RPG and 5.4 APG. Immanuel Quickley has been running the point, contributing 17.4 PPG and 6.1 APG. Toronto is ranked 14th in offensive efficiency and 12th in defensive efficiency. The Raptors play much slower than the Mavericks, ranking 20th in pace of play.

Key Injuries for Mavericks vs. Raptors:

Mavericks

  • Out: Kyrie Irving, Marvin Bagley, Dereck Lively

Raptors

  • Out: Collin Murray-Boyles, Chucky Hepburn

Mavericks vs. Raptors Picks and Predictions

Spread pick for Mavericks vs. Raptors

  •   Toronto to cover (5 units)

The Mavericks are in a tough spot here, their front court is decimated, and they are playing their fourth straight game away from home. Dallas has a thin lineup, and Cooper Flagg is not able to completely carry the offense on his own yet. The Raptors are deep on the wing with the combination of Ingram, Barnes and Barrett, the Mavericks cannot match up with the skill on the perimeter. Toronto had some recent losses, but they were against four of the top teams in the league, they will bounce back here with a win over this injury-riddled Mavericks team.

Take Toronto to cover.

Over/Under Pick for Mavericks vs. Raptors

  •   Under (4 units)

The Raptors are going to play at their pace in this game, which is a slow tempo focused on setting up scoring opportunities for their big wings. The Mavericks will not be able to control the tempo at all in this one, they have no true point guard as Kyrie is out for the year, and Williams is not the long term answer at point. The Mavericks are playing their fourth straight game on the road, they will not feel fresh and full of energy here as they continue to take losses and sleep in hotels. The Raptors have gone under in three of their last four, and will go under again here.

Take the under.

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