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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Sunday, February 22, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 02/22/2026, 04:20 AM ET

The Denver Nuggets will be on the road Sunday afternoon with the 3:30 PM matchup in San Francisco, CA, against the Golden State Warriors, and we have you ready to roll with our Denver vs Golden State prediction.  Denver comes into Sunday with 36 wins and 21 losses on the year. Golden State stays home Sunday with 29 wins and 27 losses this season. The Nuggets come into this matchup having won three of the last five, following a 54-point road victory against Portland in their last outing. The Golden State Warriors have lost three of the last five, including two in a row, after an 11-point home loss to Boston last time out. Read more about this Denver vs Golden State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NBA Predictions!

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Denver looks for 2 in a row

The Denver offense has been the team's biggest strength this season, averaging 120.9 points per game on 50% shooting, and the Nuggets have averaged 138.3 points per game over their last 3 wins. Defensively, Denver has held their own, allowing 116.1 points per game this season, but has given up an average of 117 points per game over its last two losses. Offensively, Denver was a smoke show in its last outing, pouring in 157 points, including 82 in the first half, on 57% shooting and 51% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Denver dominated, giving up just 103 points on 41% shooting. The Nuggets won the rebounding battle by 24 and forced 18 turnovers in the win. Nikola Jokic led the way for the Denver offense with 32 points and seven assists on 15 shots.

Nikola Jokic leads the Denver offense this season with 28.6 points, 12.3 rebounds, and 10.5 assists. Jamal Murray averages 25.8 points, and Aaron Gordon averages 17.7 points per game. Peyton Watson is 4th on the team, averaging 14.9 points in just under 31 minutes per game.

Key Injury Report for Denver:

  • Peyton Watson (Out) – Hamstring
  • Aaron Gordon (Out) – Hamstring
  • Tamar Bates (Out) - Foot 

Golden State tries to end skid

Offensively, Golden State is averaging 115.4 points on 46% year from the floor this season, but has averaged only 107.3 points per game over their last three losses. Defensively, Golden State is allowing 115.4 points per game this season, but has given up an average of 123.5 points per game during their current 2-game losing streak. Obviously, Golden State was below average in its last outing, scoring 110 points on 45% shooting and 36% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Golden State was outmatched, giving up 121 points on 52% shooting. The warriors lost the rebounding battle by 14 and turned the ball over 9 times. De’Anthony Melton led the way for the Golden State offense in their last outing with 18 points on 13 shots.

Stephen Curry leads the Golden State offense this season, averaging 27.2 points per game. Jimmy Butler has averaged 20 points per game this season, but has played just 38 times. Jonathan Kuminga averages 12.1 points in just under 24 minutes per game this season. Draymond Green is averaging 8.4 points and leads Golden State, averaging 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game.

Key Injury Report for Golden State:

  • Kristpas Porzingis (GTD) – Achilles
  • Steph Curry (Out) – Knee
  • Seth Curry (Out) – Back
  • LJ Cryer (Out) -Hamstring
  • Jimmy Butler III (OFS) – Knee

Denver vs Golden State Pick

  • Denver vs Golden State Spread Pick

Denver comes into this matchup playing the better basketball and will be the healthier team. Look for Denver to control things from the opening tip as they overwhelm a short-handed Golden State team. Take Denver to continue their winning ways Sunday afternoon as they do the job on the road in San Francisco. The Denver Nuggets will get the winning cover Sunday against the Warriors.

  • Denver vs Golden State Over/Under Pick

Both teams score the ball well, but Golden State will be without a ton of production. Look for Denver to score at will as they run up the score, leading to the victory. Take the Nuggets on Sunday afternoon to do the job as they continue their winning ways, covering on the road while the total goes under. Look for Denver to stifle Golden State and make things hard, leading to a low-scoring game Sunday afternoon.

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