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Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets, Picks and Prediction, Friday, November 21, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 11/21/2025, 03:43 AM ET
Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction

Denver (11-3) will be going for their fifth consecutive road win when they visit Toyota Center on Friday night to face Houston (10-3) at 9:30 PM. Et. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction. No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!

The Nuggets are coming off a 125-118 win over New Orleans as 11.5-point favorites. The Rockets are coming off a 114-104 win over Cleveland as 1.5-point favorites.

Denver and Houston split their last 10 meetings.

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Nuggets Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Nuggets bounced back from their loss to Chicago with a win over the Pelicans in their last game, giving them their fourth straight road win. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their second straight win when they play on Friday.

Denver averages 124.6 points per game, which leads the league. They’ve made 51 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Nikola Jokic leads Denver with 29.1 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 11.1 assists per game. Jamal Murray averages 22.5 points and 6.2 assists per game, while Aaron Gordon averages 20.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Denver is giving up 113.1 points per game, which is sixth in the league. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 31 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Key Injuries for Nuggets:

  • F Aaron Gordon (Hamstring) is questionable. Missed Wednesday's contest due to injury management.
  • G Christian Braun (Ankle) is out 6-7 weeks.

Rockets Going For Sixth Consecutive Win

The Rockets played well over the past week, and they come into this game on a five-game winning streak. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their sixth straight win when they play on Friday.

Houston averages 123.9 points per game, which is second in the league. They’ve made 49 percent of their field goals and 42.3 percent of their three-pointers.

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Kevin Durant leads Houston with 25.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. Alperen Sengun averages 23.4 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 7.4 assists per game, while Amen Thompson averages 16.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game.

Houston is giving up 112.5 points per game, which is fifth in the league. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.

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Key Injuries for Rockets:

  • F Dorian Finney-Smith (Ankle) is out
  • F Tari Eason (hip) is out 4-6 weeks. Averaged 11.5ppg, 5.2rpg

Nuggets vs. Rockets Picks

Point Spread Pick for Nuggets vs. Rockets

  • Houston Rockets -3.5 (4 Units)

The Rockets have won five straight games, while the Nuggets have won four of their last five games. Houston has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 120 points per game while making 46 percent of their shots in their last three games. They also did a better job at the charity stripe, making over 85 percent of their free throws during that span. They rebound the ball well and grabbed more than 18 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut down their turnovers and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Nuggets aren’t playing well defensively and gave up 120 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Rockets. Go with Houston to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Nuggets vs. Rockets

  • Over (4 Units)

The Nuggets played over the total in three of their last four games, while the Rockets played over the total in six of their last seven games. Denver averages 124.6 points per game. They play at the 21st-fastest pace in the league, averaging 103.8 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 111.2 points per game at home. The Rockets average 123.9 points per game. They play at the 25th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 103 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 120 points per game in their last three games. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Nuggets and Rockets played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

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