Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Prediction for Saturday, March 21, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/21/2026, 04:45 AM ET
Warriors vs Hawks prediction
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The NBA regular season is drawing to a close and there are some big matchups on Saturday, March 21. Read our Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Warriors are in 10th place in the West right now. They are bound for the play-in round as injuries have decimated the roster. The Hawks are fighting for sixth-place in the East with the Magic. Both teams are coming off of games on Friday night, so freshness will be a problem. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.

Warriors sitting in the play-in round

The Warriors are in 10th place in the Western Conference. They are nine games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies, as Golden State is bound for the play-in round. Golden State is without star players Steph Curry, Al Hereford and Jimmy Butler.

Kristaps Porzingis leads the team with 16.5 points per game. Draymond Green leads the team with 5.6 rebounds and 5.3Β  assists per game.

Golden State is the 17th ranked offensive efficient team and the 14th ranked defensive team in the league. The Warriors are the fifth-worst team in rebounding this season.

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Golden State is averaging 115.3 points per game, which ranks 18th overall. They are the the 26th ranked shooting team, making 45.8% from the field. The Warriors are hitting 35.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 18th overall.

On defense, Golden State is allowing 114.4 points per game, which ranks 11th best. They are the 19th ranked defensive team, allowing 47.3% from the field. The Warriors are the 10th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 35.4% from behind the arc.

The Warriors are 31-38 against the spread this season. They are 6-7 against the spread with no rest. Golden State is 16-19 against the spread when playing on the road. The over is 42-27 when Golden State has played this season. The over is also 20-15 when the Warriors have played on the road. The over is 8-5 when Golden State has zero days of rest.

Atlanta fighting to avoid play-in round

Entering Friday, Atlanta is currently tied with the Magic for sixth-place in the East. The Hawks are looking to avoid the play-in round and reach the first round of the playoffs. The Hawks are 19-16 when playing at home this year, too.

Jalen Johnson leads the team with 22.9 points, 10.5 rebounds and 8.1 assists per game this season.

Atlanta is the 14th ranked offensive efficient team in the league and they rank 13th in defensive efficiency, too. The Hawks are also the sixth-worst rebounding in the team.

Atlanta is hitting 118.1 points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. They are shooting 47.3% from the field, placing 13th-overall. The Hawks are making 36.9% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks sixth-overall.

On defense, Atlanta is allowing 116.6 points per game, which ranks 20th. They rank 17th in defensive field goal percentage allowing 47.3% from the field. The Hawks are allowing 35.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 14th.

Atlanta is 37-32 against the spread this season. They are 5-6 against the spread with zero days of rest. They are 13-14 against the spread after a win. The Hawks are 17-18 as a home team. The under is 35-34 when the Hawks have played this season. The under is 26-17 when playing with equal rest as their opponents. The under is 7-4 when playing with no rest.

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Picks

Warriors vs Hawks Spread Pick

Take the Hawks to cover (5 units)Β 

Golden State is running on fumes as the injury report continues to be long. Steph Curry, Al Horford and Jimmy Butler highlight a long list of injuries. With the Warriors coming off of a game on Friday night, the team’s depth will be challenged. Atlanta’s youth, led by Jalen Johnson, will be the difference in this game. The Hawks improvement on defense has bey key, too. They are the 13th ranked defensive efficient team in the league this season. The Warriors are 16-19 against the spread when playing on the road.

Take Atlanta to cover.

Warriors vs Hawks Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)

The total is going to be set very high in this game because Atlanta is the second-fastest team in the league. But, Atlanta’s improved defense along with the Warriors missing many of their offensive weapons, will have this game being a low scoring battle. The under under is 7-4 when Atlanta has played with no rest. The under is 26-17 when the Hawks are playing with equal rest as their opponents.

Take the under on Saturday.

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