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Golden State Warriors vs. LA Clippers, Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Monday, January 5, 2026

By: Ben Hayes Published 01/05/2026, 08:59 AM ET
Warriors vs. Clippers prediction, odds and picks

A Pacific Division scrum takes place on Monday in Los Angeles in this Warriors vs. Clippers prediction. Golden State (19-17) is four games behind the Lakers for first place in the Pacific Division, while the Clippers (12-22) are 10 games behind the first-place Lakers.  These squads have met just once this season, with Golden State dominating the Clips 98-79 on Oct. 28 as a 1.5-point dog. The Clippers are once again a 1.5-point favorite with the total set at 226.5. These teams will meet on Monday night at 10pmET from Inuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif. Check more free NBA picks and other big plays this week at Winners and Whiners.

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Warriors sacrifice game against OKC to beat Utah

The Golden State Warriors are an aging team with most of their key players in their mid-30s, so they often feel the need to rest key players during back-to-back games. They did that again on Friday when they were crushed at home by OKC 131-94. Draymond Green, Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler all sat in that game for various reasons and predictably, the Warriors were annihilated.

On Saturday against Utah, those players returned, and they beat the Jazz, 123-114, as 12.5-point favorites. Curry led the way with 31 points on 6-of-12 from long range, while Butler added 15 points and seven assists.

The Warriors are playing pretty good basketball, winning six of their last eight games with the only other loss at Toronto (141-127) in overtime on Dec. 28 in that span. Curry is still a superstar at 37, averaging 28.8 points and  4.3 assists, while shooting 39.8% from long range, while Butler adds 19.5 points and 5.0 assists.

DunksandThrees.com has Golden State ranked 11th in Adjusted Net Rating, 14th in Adjusted Offense and 6th in Adjusted Defense. The Warriors are pretty healthy at this point, with Seth Curry (back) out and center Al Horford (back) listed as day-to-day.

Brown dominates the Clippers on Saturday

Jaylen Brown has quietly taken over Jayson Tatum in Boston and, in a lot of ways, is a healthier Kawhi Leonard. Brown was magnificent on both ends of the floor with 50 points on 18-of-26 shooting to lead Boston over the Clippers on the road. He also helped slow red-hot Leonard, holding him to 22 points on 6-of-17 shooting. However, the Clippers are starting to get healthier, and it's shown in winning six of their last seven games.

Leonard was named the "claw" for a reason. Part of it is due to his huge hands, but also due to his defensive ability. Leonard (34 years old) has been one of the few bright spots for another aging team in the Pacific Division. He's averaging 28.3 points per game and 6.3 rebounds, while playing in 24 of their 34 games. Leonard has played 60 games or more in just two of his last seven seasons, coming into this season. At 36, Harden has also been productive in 32 games, averaging 25.7 points per game and eight assists, but is shooting just 43.3% from the field and 35.8% from long range.

The Clippers lost Brady Beal (hip) for the season on Nov. 12 and wing Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) has played in just 16 games, averaging 8.0 points.

DunksandThrees.com has the Clippers ranked 17th in Adjusted Net Rating, ninth in Adjusted Offense and 20th in Adjusted Defense.

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Warriors vs. Clippers Picks and Prediction

  • Clippers -1.5 (5 units)

Before their last loss to Golden State, the Clippers had won seven straight in this series and covered the last six. Leonard is a problem for Butler and company as he's a deadly mid-range shooter, but he's also shooting 38% from three-point range and leading the NBA with 2.2 steals per game. Their biggest edge is on the boards and in the paint, led by 7-foot Ivica Zubac (15.2ppg, 11rpg). Golden State is just 8-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 8-9 at home, compared to 4-13 on the road. The Clippers are also the hotter team.

Totals Pick for Warriors vs. Clippers

  • Under 226.5 (5 units)

We have two aging teams who don't want to run a lot. The Clippers rank 29th in Adjusted Tempo, while the Warriors rank 18th. These teams have played unders in four of their last five meetings. Golden State ranks 6th in three-point defense, while the Clippers rank 7th in points allowed per game at 114.6.

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