Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Prediction for Saturday, January 24, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 01/24/2026, 06:40 AM ET
Hawks vs. Timberwolves prediction
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It’s another big time Western Conference clash on Saturday, Jan. 24. Read our Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction along with our other NBA Picks.Golden State is 25-21 and they are currently in eighth in the West. The Warriors have lost back-to-back games after winning four straight games. The Timberwolves are 27-18 as they sit in seventh place. Minnesota has lost four straight games, too. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 5:30 P.M. EST.

Golden State losers of back-to-back games

Golden State is 25-21 overall this season. The Warriors are in eighth place in the Western Conference. The Warriors are 12 games back of the Thunder for first place. They are 2.5 games back of Phoenix for sixth place and to get out of the play-in round. Golden State is 8-14 when playing on the road. After winning four straight games, the Warriors have lost back-to-back games coming into this game.

In their last game, the Warriors lost 123-115 to Dallas away from home on Thursday, Jan. 22. Dallas went on a 17-5 run in the fourth quarter, which propelled them to victory. The Warriors largest lead was seven points in the loss. They shot 45% from the field and 33% from behind the arc in the loss. Steph Curry led the team with 38 points on 14-for-27 shooting.

Curry leads the team with 27.4 points per game. Draymond Green leads the team with 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game.

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Golden State has the 10th best offensive efficient team in the league. They also rank 11th in defensive efficiency and they are the 18th-ranked rebounding roster.

The Warriors are averaging 116.9 points per game, which ranks 13th. They are the 22nd ranked shooting team, hitting 46.3% from the field. Golden State is the ninth ranked 3-point shooting team, hitting 36.7% from behind the arc.

On defense, the Warriors are allowing 114.2 points per game, which ranks 10th overall. They are the 19th ranked defense, allowing 47.2% from the field. Golden State is giving up 35.2% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 11th in the league.

Golden State is 22-24 against the spread this season. The Warriors are 10-10 against the spread when they have played after a loss. They are 13-14 against the spread with one day of rest. Golden State is 8-14 against the spread when playing on the road. The over is 28-18 when the Warri’s have played this season. The over is 18-10 when playing against the West. The over is 16-11 with just one day of rest.

Timberwolves struggling under 4-game losing streak

Minnesota is 27-18 overall this season. The Timberwolves are in seventh-place in the Western Conference. They are 9.5 games back of the Thunder for first-place in the conference. Minnesota is one game back of fourth-place Houston. The Timberwolves are 15-7 when they have played at home. They won six of their previous seven games, but since that mark, Minnesota has lost four straight games.

In their last game, the Timberwolves lost 120-115 to Chicago at home on Thursday, Jan. 22. The Timberwolves led 110-104 with five minutes to play, but Minnesota collapsed in the final minutes allowing Chicago to secure the win. Minnesota also led 115-111, but they allowed the Bulls to go on a 9-0 run. The Timberwolves shot 46% from the field and 37% from behind the 3-point line in the loss. Julius Randle led the team with 30 points on 10-for-17 shooting.

Anthony Edwards leads the team with 29.6 points per game. Rudy Gobert is grabbing 11.3 rebounds, while Randle is passing for a team-high 5.4 assists per game.

Minnesota has the fifth-best offensive efficient and the fourth most efficient defense in the league. The Timberwolves are also the seventh-best rebounding team in the league.

Minnesota is averaging 122.7 points per game, which is the best mark in the league. They are hitting 48.4% from the field, which places them fourth overall. The Timberwolves are also the fifth-best 3-point shooting team, making 37.2% from behind the arc.

On defense, Minnesota is allowing 117.7 points per game, which ranks 21st. They are the sixth-best defensive team, allowing 46.3% from the field. The Timberwolves are giving up 35.8% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 15th.

Minnesota is 19-26 against the spread this season. The Timberwolves are 9-8 against the spread when playing after a loss. They are 9-13 against the spread when playing as a home team. The under is 23-22 when Minnesota has played this season. The under is 15-13 when they have played with one day of rest. The under is 13-6 when they have played as a home favorite.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks

Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Pick

  • Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (5 units) 

This should be another close game between two Western Conference foes on Saturday. Both teams enter this game on losing skids, but Golden State’s struggles on the road this year will be realized with a defeat in this game. The Warriors are 8-14 this season when playing on the road. The offense has not traveled well and they rank 18th in rebounding, which will be exploited by the seventh-best rebounding team. The Timberwolves have the best scoring offense in the league as the team has many different avenues to score highlighted by Anthony Edwards. The Warriors simply can’t keep up if Minnesota’s offense is firing.

Take Minnesota to cover. 

Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under Pick

  • Under 237.5 (5 units)

Golden State and Minnesota are both hanging around the middle ground for pace in the league. The Warriors rank 17th in pace per game, while the Timberwolves rank 15th. This will be a low scoring game with both teams struggling to find consistency on the offensive end. The two teams have suffered some losses and it is down to lack of offensive plays. The Timberwolves also rank fourth-best in defense. The under is 13-6 when Minnesota has been a home favorite.

Take the under on Saturday. 

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