Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday February 24 2026
Use Code WWWC Golden State vs New Orleans picks take center stage as the Warriors hit the road looking to extend their dominance in this series. If you are searching for sharp NBA picks, this matchup offers intriguing value based on recent scoring trends, injury reports and line movement.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: New Orleans +1.5
- Total Pick: Over 227.5
- Projected Final Score: New Orleans 118, Golden State 115
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Market | Golden State | New Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-112) | +2.5 (-108) |
| Total | Over 226.0 (-105) | Under 226.0 (-115) |
Current Odds
| Market | Golden State | New Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-112) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Total | Over 227.5 (-112) | Under 227.5 (-108) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Golden State | New Orleans | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | 08:31:28AM | -1.5 -112 | 1.5 -108 | NO 91%, NO 71% |
| 02/23 | 10:55:34PM | -1.5 -112 | 1.5 -108 | NO 84%, NO 75% |
| 02/23 | 08:13:53PM | -1.5 -108 | 1.5 -112 | |
| 02/23 | 06:44:33PM | -2 -108 | 2 -112 | |
| 02/23 | 05:18:59PM | -2 -112 | 2 -108 | |
| 02/23 | 02:16:06PM | -2.5 -108 | 2.5 -112 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | 10:06:29AM | 227.5 -112 | 227.5 -108 | UN 53%, OV 50% |
| 02/24 | 09:41:11AM | 226.5 -114 | 226.5 -106 | UN 53%, OV 50% |
| 02/24 | 08:31:28AM | 225.5 -114 | 225.5 -106 | UN 54%, OV 50% |
| 02/23 | 08:46:39PM | 224.5 -108 | 224.5 -112 | |
| 02/23 | 02:08:06PM | 226.5 -105 | 226.5 -115 |
Warriors
Golden State has won six straight meetings in this series, including an eight-point home win on November 29. During this stretch, New Orleans has averaged just 100.0 points per game against the Warriors.
The Warriors are coming off a home win over Denver where Al Horford, Moses Moody and De'Anthony Melton each scored 20 or more points. Golden State shot 21-of-52 from three-point range in that victory.
Each of the Warriors’ last four games has gone over the total.
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New Orleans
The Pelicans have not played since Saturday and have not played a road game in nearly three weeks. New Orleans earned a 15-point home win over Philadelphia and has averaged 121.8 points per game over its last six contests.
Despite recent struggles in the head-to-head series, New Orleans enters this matchup playing some of its best offensive basketball of the season.
Warriors vs Pelicans
Dejounte Murray is expected to make his season debut after missing the past year with an Achilles injury. Last season, Murray averaged 17.5 points, 7.4 assists and 6.5 rebounds per game for New Orleans.
Micah Peavy, Yves Missi and Trey Murphy III have been ruled out, but Murray’s return provides an emotional lift for a team that does not control its first-round draft pick and has no incentive to tank.
The Warriors are on the front leg of a back-to-back and will travel to Memphis on Wednesday. Kristaps Porzingis and Steph Curry have been ruled out, while De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford and Draymond Green are listed as questionable.
With a lengthy injury list and a tight schedule, Golden State’s depth will be tested.
Warriors vs Pelicans Key Matchups and Handicap
The Warriors’ recent dominance in this series is notable, but context matters. New Orleans has found its offense, averaging nearly 122 points per game over the last six outings. Even if Murray plays limited minutes, his presence should elevate the team’s energy and ball movement.
Golden State’s perimeter shooting remains a weapon, yet without Curry and with several key pieces questionable, the Warriors’ margin for error narrows. The line has shifted from -2.5 to -1.5, reflecting market confidence in the Pelicans.
The total has climbed from 224.5 to 227.5. With Golden State trending over and New Orleans scoring at a high clip, this matchup profiles as another high-scoring affair.
Betting Trends - GS and NO
- Golden State has won six straight meetings.
- New Orleans is averaging 121.8 points per game over its last six games.
- The Warriors’ last four games have gone over the total.
- The spread moved from -2.5 to -1.5.
- The total climbed from 224.5 to 227.5.
Key Injuries and Notes - GS and NO
- Golden State: Steph Curry out.
- Golden State: Kristaps Porzingis out.
- Golden State: De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford and Draymond Green questionable.
- New Orleans: Micah Peavy out.
- New Orleans: Yves Missi out.
- New Orleans: Trey Murphy III out.
- New Orleans: Dejounte Murray expected to make season debut.
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: New Orleans +1.5
- Total Pick: Over 227.5
Final Score Prediction
New Orleans 118, Golden State 115
How to Bet
With the spread narrowing and the total climbing, line shopping is critical. Compare prices at the best sportsbooks before placing your wager.
Maximize value by checking available sportsbook promo codes and exploring alternative markets at social sportsbooks. Review the latest bet365 bonus code and fliff promo code before tip-off.
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