Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 11, 2025

By: Chris King Published 11/11/2025, 10:32 AM ET
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It’s a Western Conference battle as the Golden State Warriors make the trip east to clash with the Oklahoma City Thunder Tuesday night and we have things covered with our Warriors vs. Thunder prediction. Golden State cruised to a 114-83 home win over Indiana Sunday night in their previous contest, covering the line as a 13-point favorite. Oklahoma City dropped Memphis 114-100 at home Sunday night, covering the line as a 10.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Thunder own a 146-124 advantage but the Warriors claimed a 116-109 home win in the most recent matchup on January 29. Read more about this Warriors vs. Thunder prediction! Need some winners? Check out our NBA PredictionsΒ and beat the books!

Warriors Trying to Build Momentum

Golden State had dropped two straight and four of their previous five games before taking down Indiana in blowout fashion Sunday night. The Warriors entered Monday 6-5 and stood second in the Pacific Division, 1.5 games behind the Lakers for the top spot. Against Indiana, Golden State led by two after the opening quarter, by seven at the half, and by 10 after three quarters and then blew the doors open with a 39-18 fourth quarter edge en route to the win. The Warriors shot 43.2% from the floor, including 12 of 44 from three-point range, and forced 22 Indiana turnovers in the contest. Jimmy Butler III led Golden State with 21 points, nine rebounds and seven assists in the victory.

On the year, the Warriors are 19th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 115.9 points per game. Golden State stands 18th in rebounding as they collect an average of 42.9 boards per contest, while they are 8th in assists by handing out an average of 27.7 dimes per contest. The Warriors are 9th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 113.6 points per contest. Stephen Curry is leading the team with 26.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season. Jimmy Butler III adds 18.9 points, 5.5 rebounds plus 4.6 assists per game while Draymond Green puts up 8.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per night. Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Moses Moody (11.8 points), Brandon Podziemski (12.2 points, 4.7 rebounds), Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Will Richard (10.1 points) and Jonathan Kuminga (15.1 points, 7.2 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Golden State is 20th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46% from the floor as a team on the year. The Warriors are fourth in the league in threes per game by knocking down 15.6 triples a night, while they are 11th in three-point shooting by hitting 37% from beyond the arc as a team. Golden State is a solid team at the free-throw line, ranking 7th by hitting 82.6% of their attempts.

De’Anthony Melton (knee) remains out for this contest. Horford (foot) is questionable for this contest. Watch for updates ahead of tip-off.

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Oklahoma City Seeking Third Straight Victory

Oklahoma City won their second straight game as it took down Memphis on the road Sunday in their previous contest. The Thunder enter this game 10-1 and stand atop the Northwest Division by two games over the Nuggets. Against Memphis, Oklahoma City trailed by eight after the opening quarter, by as many as 19 midway through the second quarter and by 11 at the half. The Thunder rallied, outscoring the Grizzlies 63-38 in the second half, to earn the win. Oklahoma City shot 43.2% from the floor, including 10 of 35 from beyond the arc, and dominated points in the paint by a 56-32 margin. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 35 points, seven rebounds and six assists in the win.

This season, the Thunder are 5th in the league in scoring offense as they average 122.4 points per game on the year. Oklahoma City is 3rd in rebounding with 48.1 boards per contest, while they are 24th in assists with 24.9 dimes a night. The Thunder are 1st in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 108.8 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 33.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, and six assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (19.1 points, 8.6 rebounds), Ajay Mitchell (17.2 points) and Aaron Wiggins (14.8 points) as other secondary scoring options. Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein (13.4 points, 11.8 rebounds), Isaiah Joe (15.2 points), Cason Wallace (9.2 points), Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso, and Jaylin Williams have to be contributors if they hope to have success. Oklahoma City is 16th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47.1% from the floor as a team on the year. The Thunder are 13th by hitting 13.5 threes per game and 24th in three-point shooting by hitting 33.2% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free-throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 86.2% as a team at the stripe.

Nikola Topic (groin) is out indefinitely. Kenrich Williams (knee) is out until at least late November, Jalen Williams (wrist) is out until mid to late November, while Wiggins (adductor) and Dort (shoulder) are both out here.

Warriors vs. Thunder Pick

Warriors vs. Thunder Spread Pick

  • Thunder -7.5 (4 units)

Golden State will have Curry back for this contest after missing the last three games. The trade-off is that the Warriors are playing the front half of a back-to-back here so Steve Kerr may limit the minutes of some of his key pieces. Oklahoma City has depth pieces missing, but they have the reigning MVP and Holmgren leading the way on both ends of the floor. The Thunder has lost just once this season, but they bounced back from that defeat with two straight double-digit victories. Golden State is just 1-5 on the road this season and things don’t get better here. Take the Thunder at home here.

Warriors vs. Thunder Over/Under Pick

  • Over 226.5 (4 units)

Golden State has gone over the number in seven of their 11 games this season entering Monday night. The Warriors are 19th in scoring offense, 19th in offensive efficiency and 18th in adjusted tempo with 100.1 possessions per contest. Oklahoma City has gone over the number in six of their 11 games this season entering Monday night. The Thunder is 5th in scoring offense, 7th in offensive efficiency and 22nd in adjusted tempo with 99.1 possessions per contest. Nine of the last 10 meetings have gone over the number. Given the Thunder can score and the Warriors surrender 122 points per game on the road, take the over here.

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