Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Prediction for Saturday, March 7, 2026
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It’s a key matchup in the Western Conference on Saturday, March 7. Read our Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Warriors are 32-30 overall this season. They are in eighth place in the West, but they have lost five of their last eight games. The Thunder are 49-15 and hold the best record in the NBA. They have won seven of their last eight games coming into this matchup. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8:30 P.M. EST.
Warriors sitting in eighth place
Golden State is 32-30 overall this season. The Warriors are in eighth place in the Western Conference as they are 16 games back of the Thunder. Golden State are five games out of the Lakers for sixth-place. They are 13-17 when playing on the road this season. Golden State lost five of their last eight games entering this game.
In their latest game, the Warriors defeated the Rockets 115-113 in OT away from home on Thursday, March 4. De’Anthony Melton’s late shot was crucial in securing the win. Golden State shot 48% from the field and 37% from behind the 3-point line. Brandin Podziemski led the team with 26 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
Steph Curry leads the team with 27.2 points per game. Draymond Green leads the team with 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game.
Golden State is the 15th ranked offensive efficient team and the 13th ranked defensive team in the league. The Warriors are the 22nd ranked team in rebounding this season.
Golden State is averaging 115.4 points per game, which ranks 17th overall. They are the the 23rd ranked shooting team, making 46.1% from the field. The Warriors are hitting 36% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 13th overall.
On defense, Golden State is allowing 114.1 points per game, which ranks 11th best. They are the 20th ranked defensive team, allowing 47.3% from the field. The Warriors are the 11th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 35.4% from behind the arc.
The Warriors are 25-27 against the spread this season. They are 15-15 against the spread with one day of rest. Golden State is 10-14 against the spread with equal rest as their opponents. They are 11-15 against the spread as a road team. The over is 37-25 when Golden State has played this season. The over is also 20-11 when the Warriors have played after a win. The over is 17-13 when Golden State has played on the road. 
Oklahoma City riding 4-game winning streak
Oklahoma City is 49-15 overall this season. The Thunder are first place in the Western Conference, as they are three games ahead of second-place San Antonio. Oklahoma City is 25-6 when playing at home this season. The Thunder have won four straight games. They have also seven of their last eight games.
In their last game, Oklahoma City defeated the Knicks 103-100 on the road on Wednesday, March 4. The Thunder led for 86% of the game, but the game was close throughout. Oklahoma City largest lead was just 15 points in the outing. The Thunder shot 45% from the field and 38% from behind the 3-point line in the win. Chet Holmgren led the team with 28 points on 11-for-19 shooting.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 31.6 points and 6.4 assists per game. Chet Holmgren is grabbing a team-high 9.0 rebounds per game, too.
The Thunder have the fourth-most efficient offense and the best defense in the league. The Thunder also rank 23rd in rebounding this season.
Oklahoma City is averaging 118.9 points per game, which ranks fifth-best. They are shooting 48.2% from the field, which ranks fourth-best, too. The Thunder are the 15th ranked 3-point shooting team, hitting 35.8% from behind the arc.
On defense, Oklahoma City is the second-best scoring defense allowing 107.8 points per game. The Thunder are giving up 43.6% form the field, which is the best in the sport, too. They are the 22nd ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 36.6% from behind the arc.
The Thunder are 31-33 against the spread this season. They are 6-4 against the spread with two days of rest. Oklahoma City is 15-16 against the spread when playing at home. They are 23-25 against the spread after a win. The over is 33-31 when Oklahoma City has played this season. The over is 6-4 when they have had two days of rest. The over is 11-7 when the Thunder has had a rest advantage.
Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks
Warriors vs Thunder Spread Pick
- Take Oklahoma City to cover (5 units)
Golden State is going to be short handed in this game. The Warriors will be without Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler, while Kristaps Porzingis is also questionable in the game. With Shai Gilegous-Alexander back in the lineup, the Thunder have been crushing it recently. They are back to being the top team in the league. The Warriors will not be able to compete with this many key pieces hurt. The Thunder rank as the best defense and fourth-best offense. Golden State as the 13th ranked defense and 15th ranked offense will not make enough plays to come out on top. The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread with two days of rest this season.
Take Oklahoma City to cover.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nick Parsons | +2,504.00 |
| 2 |  Mark Zinno | +1,729.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,001.00 |
| 4 |  Mike Lundin | +572.00 |
| 5 |  Stephen Nover | +258.00 |
Warriors vs Thunder Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
The Thunder are the best defensive team in the league. They will be forcing turnovers and making Golden State, with their young players, shoot inefficient jump shots. Oklahoma City also ranks as the 13th fastest team, while the Warriors rank 18th in pace.
Take the under on Saturday.
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