Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, November 5, 2025

By: Chris King Published 11/05/2025, 03:42 AM ET
Warriors vs. Kings Prediction
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Itโ€™s a Pacific Division battle as the Golden State Warriors clash with the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday night, and we have things covered with our Warriors vs. Kings prediction. Golden State was in action at home against the Suns Tuesday night in the front half of a back-to-back situation. The Warriors fell 114-109 on the road to Indiana Saturday night, losing outright as an 11-point favorite in their previous contest. Sacramento fell 130-124 at Denver in their previous contest Monday night, covering the line as an 11.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Warriors own a 219-197 advantage and took the last two meetings, including a 130-104 home win in the most recent matchup on March 13. Read more about this Warriors vs. Kings prediction! No air balls hereโ€”only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!

Warriors Playing Second Game of Back-to-Back

Golden State was in action against Phoenix Tuesday night in the front half of a back-to-back set that comes to a close here. The Warriors fell to 4-3 on the year and stand second in the Pacific Division, 1.5 games behind the Lakers for the top spot. Golden State is 1-1 in the second game of a back-to-back situation this season with a -0.5-ppg scoring differential (108.5 ppg for, 109 ppg against) in those contests. The Warriors are just 1-3 on the road this season with a -6.2-ppg scoring margin (114.3 ppg for, 120.5 ppg against) in those outings. Golden State entered Tuesday is 4-1 against Western Conference teams with a +5.6-ppg scoring margin (120.8 ppg for, 115.2 ppg against) in those contests.

On the year, the Warriors are 14th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 117.6 points per game. Golden State stands 21st in rebounding as they collect an average of 41.9 boards per contest, while they are 8th in assists by handing out an average of 27.7 dimes per contest. The Warriors are 12th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 115.7 points per contest. Stephen Curry is leading the team with 26.6 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game this season. Jimmy Butler III adds 21.4 points, 5.6 rebounds, plus 4.9 assists per game, while Draymond Green puts up 8.9 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per night. Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Moses Moody, Brandon Podziemski (12.3 points, 4.7 rebounds), Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gary Payton II, Quinten Pos,t and Jonathan Kuminga (17.4 points, 7.1 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Golden State is 17th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.8% from the floor as a team on the year. The Warriors are third in the league in threes per game by knocking down 16 triples a night, while they are 10th in three-point shooting by hitting 38% from beyond the arc as a team. Golden State is a solid team at the free-throw line, ranking 3rd by hitting 85.1% of their attempts.

Deโ€™Anthony Melton (knee) remains out for this contest. Alex Toohey (knee) is day-to-day. Horford (toe) was ruled out for Tuesdayโ€™s game. Watch for updates ahead of tip-off.

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Sacramento Trying to Get Back on Track

Sacramento continued their early-season funk as they were downed on the road by the Nuggets Monday night. The Kings dropped to 2-5 on the season and stand in the basement in the Pacific Division entering Tuesday night, 3.5 games behind the Warriors for the top spot. Against Denver, Sacramento trailed wire to wire and was down by nine after the opening quarter. The Kings trailed by nine at the half and never got closer than six the rest of the way en route to the loss. Sacramento shot 52.2% from the field, including nine of 27 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 15 times in the contest. Russell Westbrook led the Kings with 26 points, 12 rebounds and six assists in a losing effort. Sacramento signed forward Precious Achiuwa to a one-year deal on Tuesday.

The Kings enter this game 17th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 116.3 points per game. Sacramento is 30th in rebounding with 38.9 boards a contest, while the team stands 18th by handing out an average of 25.7 assists per contest. The Kings are 26th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 121 points a night. Zach LaVine is leading the team with 27.4 points a night on the year. DeMar DeRozan (20.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, 4.1 assists), Dennis Schroder (14.9 points, 6.9 assists), Malik Monk (15.6 points) and Domantas Sabonis (14.5 points, 14.2 rebounds, four assists) each average in double figures. Russell Westbrook (13.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, five assists), Keon Ellis, Nique Clifford, Drew Eubanks, Dario Saric, Dylan Cardwell, Precious Achiuwa, Devin Carter and Isaac Jones are all key pieces of their rotation. Sacramento is 11th in field goal percentage by shooting 48.7% from the floor as a team on the year. The Kings are 25th by knocking down an average of 11 three-pointers a night, while they are 13th by knocking down 36.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc this season. The Kings are average at the free-throw line, ranking 16th in the league with a 78% success rate.

Keegan Murray (thumb) is out until mid to late November. Monk (personal) last played October 29 and is day-to-day. Watch for updates as we get closer to tip-off.

Warriors vs. Kings Pick

Warriors vs. Kings Spread Pick

  • Kings (4 units)

Golden State is playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here, which has been a mixed bag this season. The Warriors beat the Clippers at home in that spot on October 28, but gave up 139 points in a 20-point whipping by Portland on the road on October 24. Golden State has gone just 1-3 on the road so far this season, and they are going to be dealing with fatigue. Sacramento has struggled, but they do have the rest advantage and home court advantage going for them here. Lean toward the Kings in this one as they take advantage of a tired Golden State squad to earn the win here.

Warriors vs. Kings Over/Under Pick

  • Over (4 units)

Golden State has gone over the number in five of their seven games this season entering Tuesday night. The Warriors are 14th in scoring offense, 18th in offensive efficiency, and 18th in adjusted tempo with 100.5 possessions per contest. Sacramento enters this game having gone over the total in five of their seven games this season. The Kings are 17th in scoring offense, 20th in offensive efficienc,y and 13th in terms of pace as they average 101.5 possessions a night this season. Six of the last seven meetings, including the last four, have gone over the total. Seeing how Golden State has sputtered defensively on the road, look for this game to wind up over the number.

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