Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 28, 2025

By: Chris King Published 12/28/2025, 06:15 AM ET
Warriors vs. Raptors Prediction
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Itโ€™s an interconference clash on the parquet floor north of the border as the Golden State Warriors clash with the Toronto Raptors Sunday afternoon and we have things covered with our Warriors vs. Raptors prediction. Golden State dropped Dallas 126-116 at home in their previous contest Thursday night, failing to cover the line as a 10.5-point favorite. Toronto was walloped 138-117 on the road by Washington Friday night, losing outright as an eight-point favorite, in their previous contest. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Warriors own a 34-22 advantage, including a 117-114 home win in the most recent matchup March 20. ย Read more about this Warriors vs. Raptors prediction! No air balls hereโ€”only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!

Warriors Looking to Stay Hot

Golden State won their third straight game as they took down the Mavericks at home on Christmas Day. The Warriors entered Saturday 16-15 on the year and stood third in the Pacific Division, four games behind the Lakers for the top spot. Against Dallas, Golden State trailed just once in the contest at 6-4 two minutes into the game. The Warriors led 40-28 after the opening quarter and held Dallas at bay the rest of the way, leading by as many as 17 en route to the victory. Golden State shot 44.4% from the field, including 14 of 50 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 49-41 in the contest. Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 23 points in the win.

On the year, the Warriors are 22nd in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 114.5 points per game. Golden State stands 19th in rebounding as they collect an average of 44 boards per contest while they are 8th in assists by handing out an average of 28 dimes per contest. The Warriors are 4th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 112.4 points per contest. Stephen Curry is leading the team with 28.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season. Jimmy Butler III adds 19.9 points, 5.5 rebounds plus 4.7 assists per game while Draymond Green puts up 8.1 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per night. Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Moses Moody (11.4 points), Brandon Podziemski (12.4 points, 4.5 rebounds), Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Seth Curry, Will Richard (8.1 points) and Jonathan Kuminga (11.8 points, 6.2 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Golden State is 26th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.2% from the floor as a team on the year. The Warriors are first in the league in threes per game by knocking down 15.8 triples a night while they are 15th in three-point shooting by hitting 36% from beyond the arc as a team. Golden State is a solid team at the free throw line, ranking 5th by hitting 81.7% of their attempts.

Key Injury Report for Warriors:

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  • Guard Seth Curry (thigh) is day-to-day.
  • Guard Deโ€™Anthony Melton (knee) is out.

Toronto Trying to Get Back on Track

Toronto fell for the seventh time in 10 games as they were whipped on the road by Washington in their previous game. The Raptors fell to 18-14 on the year and stood third in the Atlantic Division, four games behind the Knicks for the top spot. Against Washington, Toronto never led by more than three in the game. They were down three after the opening quarter, by 11 at the half and by two after three quarters before running out of steam. The Raptors were outscored 36-17 in the final stanza to wind up with the loss. Toronto shot 44% from the field, including 12 of 36 from beyond the arc, and allowed Washington to shoot a blistering 59.3% in the contest. Brandon Ingram led the Raptors with 29 points and six rebounds in the loss.

This season, Toronto stands 24th in scoring offense as they put up an average of 113.5 points per game on the season. The Raptors are 24th in rebounding with 42.2 boards a night while they are 5th by dishing out an average of 29.3 assists a night. Toronto stands 5th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 112.5 points a night this season. Brandon Ingram is leading the team with 21.7 points plus 5.8 rebounds per game. RJ Barrett (19.4 points, 4.8 rebounds), Scottie Barnes (19.3 points, eight rebounds, five assists) and Immanuel Quickley (15.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.4 assists) are good secondary scoring options. Gradey Dick, Collin Murray-Broyles, Jakub Poeltl (9.7 points, 7.7 rebounds), Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili (10.5 points), Jamison Battle, Ochai Agbaji and Jonathan Mogbo are looked at to provide some sort of secondary scoring punch. The Raptors are 10th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47.7% from the floor as a team. Toronto stands 24th by knocking down 11.9 three-pointers a night while they are 16th in three-point field goal percentage as they sink 35.9% of their attempts on the season. The Raptors are struggling at the charity stripe as they are 24th by shooting 77.2% as a team this season.

Key Injury Report for Raptors:

  • Center Jakub Poeltl (back) is out.
  • Forward Collin Murray-Broyles (illness) is questionable.
  • Forward RJ Barrett (knee) is questionable.

Warriors vs. Raptors Pick

Warriors vs. Raptors Spread Pick

  • Warriors (4 units)

Golden State comes in with three straight wins while Toronto has dropped seven of their last 10 games entering this one. Depending on the situation with Barrett, the Raptors could be minus two starters in this contest. Toronto is struggling on the offensive end of the floor and is going to be tested against a Warriors squad that leads the league in made threes per game. Golden State still has Curry leading the way and they have momentum on their side. After seeing Toronto get scorched by Washington Friday night, itโ€™s tough to like their chances against a competent Warriors squad. Take Golden State on the road here.

Warriors vs. Raptors Over/Under Pick

  • Under (4 units)

Golden State has gone over the number in 18 of their 31 games this season entering Saturday night. The Warriors are 22nd in scoring offense, 20th in offensive efficiency and 17th in adjusted tempo with 99.8 possessions per contest. Toronto has stayed under the number in 20 of their 32 games on the year entering Saturday. The Raptors are 24th in the league in scoring offense, 21st in offensive efficiency and 21st in tempo by averaging 99.1 possessions a night. With both teams ranked in the top five in the league in scoring defense this season, look for this game to wind up falling short of the number.

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