Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/21/2026, 05:00 AM ET
Rockets vs. Knicks prediction
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It’s a big time matchup in the NBA on Saturday, Feb. 21. Read our Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Rockets 34-20 overall this season. They have won three of their last four games coming into this game. Houston is also in third-place in the West. The Knicks are sitting in third-place in the East, too. New York is 35-21, but they have lost back-to-back home games. The Knicks have also lost three of their last five home games. These two teams will tip-off at 8:30 P.M. EST.

Houston coming off big road win over Charlotte

Houston is 34-20 overall this season. The Rockets are in third-place in the Western Conference. They are seven games back of the Thunder for first place. They are three games ahead of the Suns for seventh-place, too. The Rockets are 16-13 when playing on the road this season. They have won three of their last four games coming into this game.

In their last game, the Rockets defeated Charlotte 105-101 away from home on Thursday, Feb. 19. The Rockets put together an 11-0 run in the fourth quarter, which was a difference-maker in the win. Houston shot 49% from the field and 28% from behind the arc in the win. Kevin Durant led the team with 35 points on 14-for-20 shooting.

Durant leads the team with 26.0 points per game. Alperen Sengun is grabbing 9.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists to lead the roster.

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Houston ranks ninth best in offensive efficiency and they are the fifth ranked defensive efficiency. The Rockets are also the best rebounding team in the sport.

Houston is averaging 114.5 points per game, which ranks 21st in the league. They are the 11th ranked shooting team, making 47.2% from the field. The Rockets are the seventh best 3-point shooting team, making 36.8% from behind the arc.

On defense, Houston is allowing 109.5 points per game, which ranks fourth-best. They are the fifth-best defensive team, allowing 45.7% from the field. The Rockets are the seventh-best 3-point defensive team, allowing 34.9% from behind the arc.

The Rockets are 23-31 against the spread this season. Houston is 10-9 against the spread when playing Eastern Conference opponents. They are 12-19 against the spread with one day of rest. Houston is also 12-21 against the spread after a win. The under is 31-22-1 when Houston has played this season. The over is 10-8-1 when Houston has played this season against Eastern Conference foes. The over is 15-14 when playing on the road this season, too.

Knicks holding on to a top-three spot in the East

New York is 35-21 overall this season. The Knicks are in third-place in the Eastern Conference. They are seven games back of the Pistons for first place. New York is two games ahead of Toronto for a top-four seed. The Knicks are 21-8 at home this season, one of the best home records in the NBA. The Knicks have lost three of the last five games, though.

In their last game, the Knicks lost 126-111 to the Pistons at home on Thursday, Feb. 19. There was only one lead change in the entire game as Detroit controlled from the start. The Knicks shot 47% from the field and 23% from behind the arc. Jalen Brunson led the team with 33 points on 12-for-20 shooting.

Jalen Brunson leads the team with 27.1 points and 6.1 assists per game. Karl-Anthony Towns is grabbing 11.9 rebounds per game.

The Knicks are the second-best offensive efficient team in the league. New York also ranks 10th in defensive efficiency while they are also the third-best rebounding team in the league.

The Knicks are averaging 118 points per game, which ranks eighth-best in the league. They are shooting 47.2% from the field, which ranks 12th. New York is the third-best 3-point shooting team, making 37.8% from behind the arc.

On defense, the Knicks are allowing 111.9 points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. New York is the seventh ranked defensive team, allowing 45.9% from the field. The Knicks are allowing 35.7% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 12th.

The Knicks are 30-26 against the spread this season. The Knicks are 19-10 against the spread when playing at home. They are also 11-8 against the spread when playing teams from the West. The total is 28-28 when the Knicks have played this season. The over is 11-9 after a loss for the Knicks. The over is 10-9 when playing Western Conference teams. The under is 20-17 when playing with one day of rest.

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks Picks

Rockets vs Knicks Spread Pick

  • Take the Rockets to cover (5 units)Β 

The Knicks have the best home environment when it’s rocking as Madison Square Garden is a true home court advantage. But, the Knicks have not played their best recently losing back-to-back home games. New York has also lost three of their last five games, too. The door will be open for Houston to take a key win as the Rockets have won three of their last four games. The Rockets are the No. 1 rebounding team in the league and that will be crucial in not allowing second-chance points. The Rockets are 10-9 against the spread when playing the East this season.

Take the Rockets to cover.

Rockets vs Knicks Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)Β 

Defense is a major priority for both teams. The Knicks rank 10th on the defensive end, while the Rockets are also the fifth-best defense. The Rockets are also the third-slowest team in the NBA this season. The Knicks also rank 24th in pace, too. For New York, the under is 20-17 when playing with one day of rest. The under is 31-22-1 when Houston has played this season.

Take the under on Saturday.Β 

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