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Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday January 7 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/07/2026, 09:44 AM ET

Rockets vs Trail Blazers picks are on tap for this Western Conference matchup, and the betting angles line up cleanly when you look at recent form and how the market is pricing this game. Houston comes in playing efficient basketball on both ends, while Portland has been strong lately but largely against comparable competition, making this a key spot for bettors checking out today’s NBA picks.

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Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Rockets -6.5
  • Total Pick: Under 224
  • Projected Final Score: Rockets 113, Trail Blazers 105

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Hottest Cappers L30 Days
# Handicapper Profit
1 Tony Karpinski Tony Karpinski +2,976.00
2 Joe Duffy Joe Duffy +2,595.00
3 The Insiders Room The Insiders Room +2,320.00
4 Mark Ruelle Mark Ruelle +1,627.00
5 Jackie Mack Jackie Mack +1,451.00
Team Spread
Houston -6.5
Portland +6.5
Bet Total
Over 223
Under 223

Current Odds

Team Spread Odds
Houston -6.5 -108
Portland +6.5 -112
Bet Total Odds
Over 224 -112
Under 224 -108

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Houston Portland
01/06 07:26:00PM -6.5 (-110) +6.5 (-110)
01/06 08:05:31PM -6.5 (-108) +6.5 (-112)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/06 07:26:01PM 223 (-110) 223 (-110)
01/06 07:38:11PM 224 (-110) 224 (-110)
01/06 07:38:36PM 224 (-108) 224 (-112)
01/06 07:52:23PM 224 (-112) 224 (-108)

Rockets Key Matchups and Handicap

Houston has had Portland’s number in this series, going 6-1 straight up and against the spread over the last seven meetings, including a 24-point home win back in mid-November. That matchup history lines up with how the Rockets have been playing recently.

The Rockets have won five of their last six games and are coming off a three-point home win over Phoenix. Just as important for bettors, five of those six games have stayed under the total, showing a commitment to defense and controlled pace.

Portland deserves credit for its recent surge, going 5-1 straight up and against the spread over its last six games. The issue is competition. Those wins came against teams like Utah, New Orleans and Sacramento. When the Trail Blazers have stepped up in class, the results have been far less competitive.

With multiple rotation players expected to be out for Portland, this becomes a tough matchup against a Houston team that has shown it can impose its style. This number is still affordable on the road, and I have it closer to double digits.

  • Houston is 6-1 straight up and against the spread in the last seven meetings.
  • Portland is 5-1 straight up and against the spread over its last six games.
  • The under is 8-2 in Portland’s last ten games.
  • Five of Houston’s last six games have stayed under the total.

HOU and POR Key Injuries and Notes

  • POR: Jrue Holiday is expected to be out.
  • POR: Jerami Grant is expected to be out.
  • POR: Matisse Thybulle is expected to be out.
  • POR: Scoot Henderson is expected to be out.
  • POR: Kris Murray is listed as doubtful.
  • HOU: Isaiah Crawford is out.
  • HOU: Alperen Sengun is out.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Rockets -6.5
  • Total: Under 224

Final Score Prediction

  • Houston 113
  • Portland 105

How to Bet

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