Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday, January 11, 2026
It’s a Western Conference matchup on Sunday, Jan. 11. Read our Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings prediction along with along with our other NBA Picks. The Rockets are 22-13 overall this season. They have won five of their last eight games coming into this matchup. Houston is currently in sixth place in the conference. The Kings are 8-30 overall and they have the worst record in the West and they are tied for the worst record overall. Sacramento is riding a seven-game losing streak entering this game. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 9 P.M. EST.
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Rockets trying to get back on track with a road win
Houston is 22-13 overall this season. The Rockets are in sixth place in the West as they are eight games back of the Thunder for the top spot .Houston is one game ahead of the Suns to avoid the play-in round. Houston has an 11-11 road record this season. The Rockets have won five of their last eight games coming into this outing. They have also lost three of their last four games.
In their last game, the Rockets lost 111-105 to the Trail Blazers away from home on Friday, Jan. 9. There were 24 lead changes in the game as it was back-and-forth throughout. Portland closed the game on a 6-2 run in the final two minutes to secure the win. Houston shot 42% from the field and 23% from behind the arc. The Rockets did out score Portland 44-40 in the lane in the win. Kevin Durant led the team with 30 points on 11-for-20 shooting along with 12 rebounds.
Durant leads the team with 26.2 points per game. Alperen Sengun is grabbing a team-high 9 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game.
Houston is the fourth-best offensive efficient team while they rank sixth in defensive efficiency. The Rockets are also the best rebounding team in the league.
Houston is averaging 118.5 points per game, which ranks eighth best. They are shooting 48.3% from the field, which ranks sixth-best. They are the fourth-best 3-point shooting team, hitting 37.6% from behind the 3-point line.
On defense, Houston is allowing 110.7 points per game, which ranks third-best. They are the ninth-ranked defense allowing opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field. The Rockets are the 14th ranked 3-point defensive team allowing 35.5% from behind the arc.
The Rockets are 18-17 against the spread this season. Houston is 15-17 against the spread when they have been road favorites. They are 6-6 against the spread after a loss. The over is 18-16-1 against the spread this season. The over is 11-8 when the Rockets have been road favorites. The over is 12-10 when Houston has played on the road.
Sacramento sitting in last place in the West
Sacramento is 8-30 overall this season. The Kings have the worst record in the West and they are tied for the worst record in the sport. Sacramento has a 5-13 home record, which is also tied for the worst home record in the sport. The Kings have lost seven straight games. They have also lost 13 of their last 15 games coming into this matchup.
In their last game, the Kings lost 137-103 to the Warriors away from home on Friday, Jan. 9. The Kings rarely threatened in the game as they led for just 3% of the game. The Kings shot 26% from the field and 26% from behind the arc in the loss. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 24 points on 10-for-19 shooting in the loss.
Zach LaVine leads the team with 20 points per game. Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.5 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game to lead the roster.
The Kings are in last place in offensive efficiency and they rank third-worst in defensive efficiency. Sacramento is also the worst rebounding team in the league, too.
Sacramento is averaging 109.8 points per game, which ranks second-worst. They are hitting 45.9% from the field, which ranks 23rd in the league. The Kings are hitting 34.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 26th.
On defense, the Kings are allowing 122.1 points per game, which ranks 27th. They are allowing 49.6% from the field, which is the worst mark in the league. Sacramento is allowing 35.8% from behind the 3-point line, playing them 16th overall.
Sacramento is 13-25 overall against the spread this season. They are 6-12 against the spread when they have played at home. The Kings are 5-10 against the spread as a home underdog. The under is 21-17 when the Kings have played this season. The under is 11-7 when the Kings have played at home. The under is 10-5 as a home underdog.
Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,494.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,859.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,428.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,400.00 |
Rockets vs Kings Spread Pick
- Rockets -12.5 (5 units)
The Rockets need a win to get back into form as they have lost three of their last four games. Prior to this set back, Houston was securing big wins and this game against Sacramento will help the Rockets reset. Houston is consistent across the board with the fourth-best offense, sixth-best defense and the best rebounding team in the league. The Kings are the worst team in the league and they rank at the bottom in offense, defense and rebounding. Sacramento is also 6-12 against the spread at home and 5-10 against the spread as a home underdog.
Take the Rockets to cover.
Rockets vs Kings Over/Under Pick
- Over 222.5 (5 units)
The Kings defense is one of the worst in the league. They are the third-worst in defensive efficiency and they are allowing their opponents to shoot the highest percentage in the league. The Rockets will take advantage of the Kings poor defense and explode for a high point total. The Rockets are fourth-best in offensive efficiency and they are scoring the eighth-most points in the league. The over is 11-8 when the Rockets have been road favorites. The over is 12-10 when Houston has played on the road.
Take the over on Sunday.
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