Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, March 8, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 03/08/2026, 06:20 AM ET
Rockets vs. Spurs prediction
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Houston (39-23) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Frost Bank Center on Sunday night to face San Antonio (46-17) at 8 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rockets vs. Spurs prediction. Get our top NBA predictions and increase your bankroll!

The Rockets are coming off a 106-99 win over Portland as 6.5-point favorites. The Spurs are coming off a 116-112 win over the Clippers as seven-point favorites.

Houston is 7-3 in its last 10 games against San Antonio.

Rockets Going For Third Win In Four Games

The Rockets bounced back from their loss to Golden State with a win over the Trailblazers in their last game, giving them two wins in their last three games. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third win in their last four games when they play on Sunday.

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Houston averages 114.5 points per game. They’ve made 47 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Kevin Durant leads the Rockets with 26.1 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Alperen Sengun averages 20.5 points and 9.1 rebounds per game, while Amen Thompson averages 17.6 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Houston is giving up 109.4 points per game. Opponents have made 46 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Jabari Smith (Ankle) is questionable for this game.

Spurs Going For Fourth Consecutive Win

The Spurs bounced back from their loss to the Knicks with three straight wins. They are on top of the Southwest Division standings, with a 6.5-game lead over Houston, and will try to increase their division lead with a win on Sunday.

San Antonio averages 118.2 points per game. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers.

Victor Wembanyama leads the Spurs with 23.8 points and 11.2 rebounds per game. De’Aaron Fox averages 18.8 points and 6.2 assists per game, while Stephon Castle averages 16.2 points and seven assists per game.

San Antonio is giving up 112.2 points per game. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Harrison Barnes (Ankle) and Mason Plumlee (Conditioning) are questionable for this game.

Rockets vs. Spurs Picks

Point Spread Pick for Rockets vs. Spurs

  • San Antonio Spurs to cover. (4 Units)

The Spurs have won seven straight home games, while the Rockets have won three of their last five road games. San Antonio has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 120 points per game in their last three games, while making over 51 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 77 percent of their free throws. They do a good job of finding the open man, and they rebound the ball well, grabbing more than 11 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut down their turnovers in recent games, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Rockets usually play well defensively, but they haven’t been as good on the road and gave up at least 115 points in two of their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Spurs. Take San Antonio to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Rockets vs. Spurs

  • Under (4 Units)

The Spurs played under the total in three of their last four games, while the Rockets played under the total in two of their last four games. Houston averages 114.5 points per game. They play at the 27th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 100.8 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 103 points per game in their last three games. The Spurs average 118.2 points per game. They play at the 17th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 103.5 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 110.7 points per game in their last three games. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Rockets and Spurs played under the total in three of their last four meetings.

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