Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls Picks and Prediction for Friday, December 5, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 12/05/2025, 11:10 AM ET
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On Friday evening, the Indiana Pacers (4-18, 5th Central) play a Central Division game on the road in the Windy City against the Chicago Bulls (9-12, 4th Central). Indiana lost to the Denver Nuggets 135-120 on Wednesday night. The Pacers have lost two straight and five of the last seven. Indiana trails first place in the division by 13 games. Chicago lost to the Brooklyn Nets 113-103 on Wednesday. The Bulls have lost five straight and trail first place in the division by 7.5 games. Make sure to read this in-depth Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls prediction. Fast breaks, big wins! See why our NBA picks for the Indiana Pacers at the Chicago Bulls prediction stand above the rest.

Indiana is struggling on offense, while its defense is also playing poorly

The Indiana Pacers are struggling on the offensive end, which is not a surprise, playing without Aaron Nesmith and the second-leading scorer and playmaker, Tyrese Haliburton. Indiana is 28th in scoring, averaging 110.2 points per game, and has the worst field goal shooting and three-point shooting percentages in the league, at 43.0% and 32.3% respectively. Indiana allows an average of 119.4 points per game, which is 23rd, while opponents are shooting 47.9% (22nd) overall and 33.2% (4th) from long distance.

Pascal Siakam leads Indiana in scoring and rebounding as well as steals, averaging 24.0 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game. Bennedict Mathurin is second in scoring, averaging 21.1 points, and is one of seven players who average double figures in scoring.Β  Andrew Nembhard is the dish leader, averaging 6.2 assists per game, while Jay Huff is Indiana's leader in blocks at 2.3 per game. Indiana averages 44.8 rebounds, 23.3 assists, 6.9 steals, 5.4 rebounds, and 13.7 turnovers per game.

Injuries: Indiana will play without Quenton Jackson, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Obi Toppin, and Tyrese Haliburton

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Chicago is scoring well, but needs more stops at the other end

The Chicago Bulls are 9th in scoring, averaging 119.1 points per game. The Bulls are shooting 47.2% (13th) overall and 37.0% (8th) from 3-point land. Chicago's defense allows an average of 122.7 points (26th) per game. The Bulls hold opponents to 47.2% (17th) shooting overall and 35.7% (11th) from behind the line.

Josh Giddey has been the stats king thus far for Chicago, leading the Bulls in scoring, rebounding, and assists, averaging 20.6 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 9.1 assists per game. Coby White, who is expected back on Friday, is the actual scoring leader at 24.2 points per game but has played in just five games. Chicago has eight players who average double figures in scoring. Tre Jones is the leader in steals at 1.7 per game, and Matas Buzelis is the rim protector, averaging 1.5 blocks per game. Chicago averages 46.0 rebounds, 29.5 assists, 7.6 steals, 5.2 blocked shots, and 14.7 turnovers per game.

Injuries: Chicago will play without Kevin Huerter and Noa Essengue, while three others are questionable.

Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls Pick

Spread Pick for Pacers vs. Bulls

  • Chicago Bulls -4.5 (5 units)

The Chicago Bulls are not playing well at this point, but Indiana is playing even worse. Chicago's offense is its strength as the Bulls are 9th in scoring at 119.1 points per game and have the 8th best 3-point shooting percentage at 37%. In contrast, Indiana is 28th in scoring, averaging 110.2 points per game, and the Pacers are last in both field goal shooting percentage at 43% and 3-point shooting percentage at 32.3%. Indiana has been besieged by injuries as last season's second leading scorer and leader in assists, Tyrese Haliburton, has been lost for the season, while two other regulars, Obi Toppin and Aaron Nesmith, are questionable and have missed several games. Indiana also misses the inside presence of Myles Turner, who left via free agency during the offseason to play for the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago is expecting Coby White to return, who leads the Bulls in scoring, but has played just five games thus far.

Over/Under Pick for Pacers vs. Bulls

  • UNDER 238.5 (4 units)

The total has finished under four of Chicago's last six games, five of Chicago's last six games against Indiana, and six of Chicago's last eight games played at home against Indiana. The Pacers are last in ESPN’s Hollinger offensive efficiency at 104.9, and Chicago is 18th at 112.3.

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