Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, April 5th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Indiana Pacers (18-59, 36-41 ATS, 40-37 O/U) take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (48-29, 30-46-1 ATS, 38-39 O/U) in a divisional clash on Sunday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Pacers dropped a road meeting against the Hornets on Friday. The Cavaliers posted a road win against the Warriors in their previous action. The Cavaliers lead the season series 3-0.
Can the Cavaliers' recent dominance continue with a decisive home win on Sunday evening? Check out the Indiana vs. Cleveland Cavaliers prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NBA Picks!
Indiana Displays Character Late in Season
The Indiana Pacers are wrapping up a three-game road trip on Sunday. The Pacers are at the bottom of the standings, but they are displaying some character, considering most of their recent defeats have been close games. They beat the Magic and covered in a loss against the Lakers in late March.
The Pacers netted a dominant 135-118 home win against the Heat last weekend. Next, they had more success in a dominant road win against the Bulls. The road trek concluded with a 129-108 road defeat against the Hornets on Friday. The Pacers were tabbed as mammoth 16-point dogs in that one. Indiana shot 46% while the Hornets posted a 46% efficiency. The Pacers have covered the spread in five of their past six games.
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Pascal Siakam continues to produce. The 31-year-old forward has reached 25 points in three of his past five efforts. Siakam amassed 30 points in the defeat on Friday and has delivered an average of 24 PPG along with 6.7 RPG. He has averaged 24.7 PPG in three games against the Cavaliers. Andrew Nembhard did not play on Friday due to a neck injury. The 26-year-old guard has yielded 16.9 PPG on 45% shooting and leads the squad in assists.
Aaron Nesmith has missed the last few games with a neck injury. The veteran guard is questionable. He is averaging 13.8 PPG on the season. Jarace Walker is also dealing with an injury. The 22-year-old forward has connected on 50% of his field goals in five of his past seven games and has netted an average of 11.5 PPG. Obi Toppin contributed with 11 points on Friday. The veteran forward is having a decent season, reporting 10 PPG on 50% shooting.
Indiana stands at 2-3 in its last five road meetings, including a loss against the Knicks. They covered the spread in three games in that span. Indiana is scoring an average of 112.7 points on the year, ranking them 26th. The Pacers are squandering an average of 120.8 points, placing them 28th in the NBA.
Cleveland Seeks 3rd Place in Conference
The Cleveland Cavaliers are battling in the top half of the Eastern Conference. The Cavaliers stand in 4th place, just one game out of third behind the Knicks. Cleveland has been hit or miss in recent weeks. They beat the Magic and lost to the Heat last week. The squad is glad to be back home after a three-game road trek.
They opened the trip with a win against the Jazz and a defeat by the Lakers. Next, the Cavaliers netted a 118-111 road win against the Warriors on Wednesday, a game in which the Cavs were marked as 10-point favorites. Cleveland connected on 51% of its field goals and kept the Warriors to a 45% mark. The Cavaliers have covered the spread in one of their past five games.
Donovan Mitchell has been inconsistent in recent games. The 29-year-old guard managed 25 points in the win on Friday and is sporting an average of 27.7 PPG on the season. He has been a huge threat against the Pacers, averaging 37.5 points in the two meetings. James Harden has reached 20 points in just one of his past five efforts. The 36-year-old guard is averaging 23.7 PPG. Evan Mobley has connected on at least 50% of his field goals in five of his last six games. The young center has issued an average of 18.1 PPG on the year.
Jarrett Allen added 16 points in the win on Thursday. The veteran center is having a solid season, posting an average of 15.4 PPG. Thomas Bryant has been solid off the bench. The veteran center has delivered 6 PPG on 50% shooting. Jaylon Tyson did not play on Thursday and is questionable. He is averaging 12.1 PPG.
The Cavaliers are 3-2 in their past five home games, including a win against the 76ers. They covered in only one game in that span. Cleveland is scoring an average of 119.3 points on the season, ranking them fifth. The Cavaliers have yielded 120 or more points in three of their past five games and are keeping opponents to an average of 115.2 points, placing them 15th in the NBA.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers Pick
Spread Pick for Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- Indiana Pacers +18 (5 units)
The Indiana Pacers are out enjoying one of their best stretches of the season. They have won two of their past three games and have been a steady team to back, covering the spread in seven of their past eight games. The Cleveland Cavaliers have been inconsistent in recent games and are not covering the bigger spreads. They have covered on two occasions in their past 10 games.
Furthermore, Indiana is in a groove in the offensive end, scoring an average of 126.2 points in its past five games. This is key when considering that the Cavaliers' defense has been shaky. They have squandered at least 120 points in three of their past five games. Two of the Pacers' past three defeats have been by seven or fewer points.
Over/Under Pick for Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- Over 237.5 (5 units)
I expect a shootout. Indiana attempts an average of 37 threes per game. This is key against a Cavaliers squad that stands near the bottom against threes, ranking 25th in three-point defense. The Pacers have scored 119 or more points in four of their past six road clashes.
In addition, Cleveland has been consistent against the Pacers this season, scoring at least 120 points in each meeting, averaging 125 points in that span. The Pacers have squandered 126 and 129 points in their past two games. The over is 10-2 in the Pacers' past 12 games.
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