Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, October 29, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an interconference clash on the parquet floor in the Lone Star State as the Indiana Pacers clash with the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night, and we have things covered with our Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction. Indiana fell 114-110 to Minnesota on the road in the second game of a back-to-back set Sunday, covering the line as a 12-point underdog. Dallas fell 101-94 to Oklahoma City at home in the second game of a back-to-back set Monday, covering the line as an 8.5-point underdog in their previous game. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Mavericks own a 47-40 advantage, but the Pacers have won the last four meetings, including a 135-131 road win in the most recent matchup on March 19. Read more about this Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction! No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!
Indiana Seeking First Win of 2025-26 Season
Indiana battled but ended up falling short on the road against Minnesota on Sunday, leaving the defending Eastern Conference champs off to a slow start. The Pacers fell to 0-3 on the year and entered Tuesday night last in the Central Division, three games behind the Bulls for the top spot. Against Minnesota, Indiana was even after the opening quarter, led by two at the half and by two with 4:32 to go in the third quarter before giving up an 11-0 run to trail 83-74 with 1:25 to go in the stanza. The Pacers never got closer than two the rest of the way as they went down in defeat. Indiana shot 42.9% from the field, including 14 of 40 from three-point range, bricked nine of 27 free throw attempts and turned the ball over 17 times, leading to 26 Minnesota points. Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 33 points, 10 rebounds, eight assists, and three steals in the loss.
For the year, Indiana is 20th in the league in scoring offense with 116 points per game this season. The Pacers are 6th in rebounding with an average of 49.3 boards a night, while they are 24th in assists by dishing out 23.3 dimes per contest. Indiana is 28th in the league in scoring defense, as they allow an average of 127.7 points per game on the year. Bennedict Mathurin leads the team with 31 points and seven rebounds per game this season. Pascal Siakam (26 points, 10.3 rebounds, six assists), Obi Toppin (14 points, 6.7 rebounds), Aaron Nesmith (12.7 points, 5.3 rebounds), and Ben Sheppard (10 points, 6.3 rebounds) are solid scoring options. RayJ Dennis, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Isaiah Jackson, and Johnny Furphy are all counted on to contribute. The Pacers are 28th in the league in field goal percentage as they are shooting 42.5% from the floor as a team. Indiana is 14th in the league in threes per game as they splash 13.7 triples per contest and the team is 21st by shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc on the year. The Pacers are below average at the charity stripe, ranking 27th in free-throw percentage by converting 72.2% of their attempts this season.
Indiana is dealing with a slew of injury issues. Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) is expected to miss the entire season after getting injured in Game 7 of the NBA Finals. T.J. McConnell (hamstring) is out until early to mid-November, as is Kam Jones (back), dealing the backcourt depth a blow. Toppin (hamstring) is out until late November, while Mathurin (toe) is week-to-week. Furphy (foot) and Nembhard (shoulder) are both out here, while Taelon Peter (groin) is doubtful here.
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Mavericks Trying to Get Going
Dallas couldn’t win both ends of a back-to-back set as they were downed by the Thunder at home Monday night. The Mavericks fell to 1-3 on the season and stood fourth in the Southwest Division, three games behind San Antonio for the top spot. Against Oklahoma City, Dallas trailed 11-2 early before cutting the margin to four after one quarter. The Mavericks trailed by six at the half, by 18 after three quarters, and by as many as 22 in the fourth quarter before making a run. Dallas got within one at 95-94 with 54.8 seconds to play but went scoreless the rest of the way en route to the loss. The Mavericks shot 37.9% from the field, including 12 of 39 from beyond the arc, and lost the rebounding battle 55-36 in the game. Anthony Davis paced Dallas with 26 points and 11 rebounds in the loss.
This season, the Mavericks are 30th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 108 points per game. Dallas is 18th in the league in rebounding as they collect 42.5 boards a night, while they are 22nd in assists by dishing out 23.8 dimes per contest. The Mavericks are 15th in the league in scoring defense as they are giving up an average of 118 points a game. Anthony Davis is the team’s leading scorer with 24.7 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per game this season. P.J. Washington (16.8 points, 7.5 rebounds), Cooper Flagg (13 points, 5.3 rebounds), Max Christie (12.3 points), and D’Angelo Russell (10 points, 5.5 assists) are secondary scoring options. Klay Thompson, Najj Marshall, Jaden Hardy, Dereck Lively II, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell and Brandon Williams are rotation depth pieces for Jason Kidd. Dallas is 24th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 44.3% from the field as a team on the year. The Mavericks are 27th in the league in threes per game as they hit 10.3 triples per contest, while they are 18th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.2% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Dallas is mediocre at the charity stripe as they are 19th by shooting 76.3% as a team at the line this season.
Irving (knee) was injured on March 3 and is without a timetable to return. Dante Exum (knee) is likely out here, while Daniel Gafford (ankle) and Lively II (knee) are doubtful. Williams (personal) is questionable, so watch for updates.
Pacers vs. Mavericks Pick
Pacers vs. Mavericks Spread Pick
- Mavericks -7.5 (4 units)
Both teams are off to slow starts and are dealing with a slew of injury issues in the early going. The Pacers were already minus Haliburton when the year started and now find themselves down Mathurin, Toppin, McConnell, and Nembhard, taking several major contributors out of the mix. That’s a lot of firepower to be missing at this stage of the season, which is only a week old. Dallas is sputtering offensively, but they’ve been okay on the defensive end of the floor. With the Pacers missing so many pieces, Davis has a better supporting cas,t and the Mavericks are at home. Take Dallas to get the win and keep Indiana winless on the year.
Pacers vs. Mavericks Over/Under Pick
- Under 227.5 (4 units)
Indiana comes into the game having stayed under the number in two of their three games this season. The Pacers are 20th in scoring offense, a dismal 28th in offensive efficiency and 17th in pace with an average of 100.7 possessions per game. Dallas has stayed under the number in three of their four games on the year. The Mavericks are last in the league in offense and last in offensive efficiency while ranking eighth in tempo with 104 possessions a game. With two of the three worst teams in the league in offensive efficiency and all the injuries on both sides, looking for offensive fireworks here is a foolish proposition. Take the under here as a result.
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