Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday January 17 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/17/2026, 09:29 AM ET
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Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons picks headline Saturday’s NBA slate, and bettors scanning NBA picks will notice a familiar matchup with some interesting betting wrinkles. Detroit has already taken the first two meetings this season, but situational factors, recent trends, and line context suggest this third meeting may not follow the same script.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Indiana +12.5
  • Total: Under 227
  • Projected Final Score: Detroit 116, Indiana 108

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
Indiana +13 (-110) Over 227 (-110)
Detroit -13 (-110) Under 227 (-110)

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Indiana +12.5 (-110) Over 227.5 (-110)
Detroit -12.5 (-110) Under 227.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Indiana Detroit
01/17 07:40 AM +12.5 (-110) -12.5 (-110)
01/17 04:42 AM +12.5 (-108) -12.5 (-112)
01/16 10:36 PM +13 (-112) -13 (-108)
01/16 06:47 PM +13 (-110) -13 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/17 07:40 AM 227.5 (-110) 227.5 (-110)
01/17 06:42 AM 226.5 (-110) 226.5 (-110)
01/17 12:59 AM 225.5 (-114) 225.5 (-106)
01/16 06:47 PM 227 (-110) 227 (-110)

Key Matchups and Handicap

This will be the third meeting in a short span between these teams, with Detroit winning each of the first two contests and both games sailing over the total. Despite that history, the current form points in a slightly different direction.

Detroit is deep into a lengthy homestand and just picked up a solid win over the Suns on Thursday. Even with that victory, the Pistons have quietly shifted into a more defense-driven profile. Detroit’s last eight games have all stayed under the total, a notable trend given how high this number is still sitting.

Indiana enters on the second leg of a back-to-back after beating the Pelicans at home on Friday. The Pacers have been playing well overall, going 4-2 straight-up and 5-1 against the spread over their last six games. Jay Huff and Pascal Siakam combined for 56 points in that win, knocking down 7 of 14 from three-point range, which helped Indiana survive despite a thin rotation.

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From a power ratings perspective, this line makes sense, but situationally it is hard to ignore Indiana’s recent competitiveness compared to Detroit’s struggles as a favorite. Since the last week of November, Detroit has gone just 5-13 against the spread when laying points. That makes backing a double-digit home favorite uncomfortable, especially against a Pacers team that has shown fight even when short-handed.

  • Detroit has won the first two meetings this season, with both games going over the total.
  • Detroit’s last eight games have all stayed under the total.
  • Indiana is 5-1 against the spread over its last six games.
  • Detroit is 5-13 against the spread as a favorite since late November.

Key Injuries and Notes for IND and DET

  • Bennedict Mathurin is expected to remain out for Indiana with a thumb injury.
  • Isaiah Jackson is questionable for Indiana as he works back from a concussion.
  • No major new injuries reported for Detroit entering Saturday.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Pick: Indiana +12.5
  • Total Pick: Under 227

Final Score Prediction

  • Detroit 116
  • Indiana 108

How to Bet Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons

This matchup profiles as a classic spot to look beyond head-to-head results and focus on recent betting performance. Indiana has been reliable at the window, while Detroit has struggled to cover inflated numbers as a favorite. Bettors should compare prices across the best sportsbooks and take advantage of available sportsbook promo codes. Those interested in alternative wagering formats can explore social sportsbooks, while traditional bettors may find extra value using a bet365 bonus code or a fliff promo code when backing the Pacers as a live underdog.

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