Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 9, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an interconference battle as the Indiana Pacers make the trip west to clash with the Golden State Warriors Sunday night and we have things covered with our Pacers vs. Warriors prediction. Indiana was on the road against Denver Saturday night in the front half of a back-to-back. The Pacers fell 112-103 at home to Brooklyn in their previous contest Wednesday night, losing outright as a 6.5-point favorite. Golden State fell 129-104 on the road to Denver Friday night, failing to cover the line as a 9.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Pacers own a 56-47 advantage and have won the last four meetings, including a 114-109 home win in the first meeting this season November 1. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the Pacers’ game against the Nuggets Saturday night. Read more about this Pacers vs. Warriors prediction! Need some winners? Check out our NBA Predictions and beat the books!
Pacers Playing Second Game of Back-to-Back Set
Indiana went into Saturday’s game of the Mile-High City with two straight losses in what has been a rough start to the year. The Pacers went into Saturday 1-7 on the year and in the basement of the Central Division, 5.5 games behind the Pistons for the top spot. Indiana is 1-1 in the second game of back-to-back situations this season with a +0.5-ppg scoring margin (112 ppg for, 111.5 ppg against) in those contests. The Pacers entered Saturday 0-3 on the road with a -10.3-ppg scoring differential (106 ppg for, 116.3 ppg against) in those contests. Indiana went into Saturday’s contest 1-4 on the road against Western Conference squads with a -6.4-ppg (113.4 ppg for, 119.8 ppg against) in those situations on the year.
For the year, Indiana is 26th in the league in scoring offense with 111.6 points per game this season. The Pacers are 1st in rebounding with an average of 49.6 boards a night while they are 27th in assists by dishing out 23.8 dimes per contest. Indiana is 24th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 119.5 points per game on the year. Bennedict Mathurin leads the team with 31 points and seven rebounds per game this season. Pascal Siakam (25.6 points, 8.1 rebounds, 5.9 assists), Obi Toppin (14 points, 6.7 rebounds), Aaron Nesmith (14.8 points, 5.1 rebounds) and Ben Sheppard (eight points, 5.3 rebounds) are solid scoring options. RayJ Dennis, Jarace Walker (11.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.4 assists), Tony Bradley, Quenton Jackson (11.8 points, 3.6 assists), Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Isaiah Jackson, Mac McClung and Johnny Furphy are all counted on to contribute. The Pacers are 30th in the league in field goal percentage as they are shooting 40.8% from the floor as a team. Indiana is 21st in the league in threes per game as they splash 12.3 triples per contest and the team is 28th by shooting 30.9% from beyond the arc on the year. The Pacers are below average at the charity stripe, ranking 27th in free throw percentage by converting 73.5% of their attempts this season.
Indiana is dealing with a slew of injury issues. Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) is expected to miss the entire season after getting injured in Game 7 of the NBA Finals. T.J. McConnell (hamstring) is out until mid-November, as is Kam Jones (back), dealing the backcourt depth a blow. Toppin (hamstring) is out until late November, while Mathurin (toe) is week-to-week. Furphy (foot) and Jackson (hamstring) are both out here as well, taking a massive chunk of their depth out of the mix.
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Golden State Looking to Climb Over .500
Golden State suffered their second straight loss and their fourth defeat in the last five games as they were drubbed by the Nuggets on Friday night on the road. The Warriors entered Saturday 5-5 and stood second in the Pacific Division, 2.5 games behind the Lakers for the top spot. Against Denver, Golden State was without Stephen Curry and it showed. The Warriors were down 11 after the opening quarter and by 17 at the half. They never made a serious push in the second half, sending them to defeat. Golden State shot 42.1% from the field, including 12 of 41 from three-point range, and allowed Denver to shoot 56.1% from the floor in the game. Draymond Green led the Warriors with 17 points in the loss.
On the year, the Warriors are 19th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 116.1 points per game. Golden State stands 23rd in rebounding as they collect an average of 42.2 boards per contest while they are 5th in assists by handing out an average of 28.3 dimes per contest. The Warriors are 16th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 116.7 points per contest. Stephen Curry is leading the team with 26.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season. Jimmy Butler III adds 18.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, plus 4.3 assists per game, while Draymond Green puts up nine points, six rebounds and 6.1 assists per night. Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Moses Moody (11.6 points), Brandon Podziemski (12 points, 4.9 rebounds), Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, and Jonathan Kuminga (16.1 points, 7.1 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Golden State is 18th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.3% from the floor as a team on the year. The Warriors are fourth in the league in threes per game by knocking down 16 triples a night, while they are 8th in three-point shooting by hitting 38% from beyond the arc as a team. Golden State is a solid team at the free-throw line, ranking 4th by hitting 84.5% of their attempts.
De’Anthony Melton (knee) remains out for this contest. Curry (illness) and Horford (foot) are questionable for this contest. Watch for updates ahead of tip-off.
Pacers vs. Warriors Pick
Pacers vs. Warriors Spread Pick
- Warriors -13.5 (4 units)
Indiana is struggling out of the gate and they are playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here. The Pacers are dealing with injury woes and they have had issues on the road so far this season. Indiana has already lost to a fellow one-win team and now has to go to Oakland after playing in Denver. Golden State lost its second straight Friday night, though it played without Curry. In this contest, he’s a question mark but I’d lean toward him suiting up. Golden State is out for blood after being the only victim the Pacers had on their ledger entering Saturday. Look for the Warriors to roll to a win here and climb back over the .500 mark on the year.
Pacers vs. Warriors Over/Under Pick
- Over 227.5 (4 units)
Indiana went into Saturday’s game having stayed under the number in six of their eight games this season. The Pacers are 26th in scoring offense, a dismal 29th in offensive efficiency and 9th in pace with an average of 102.1 possessions per game. Indiana has seen an average of 223.5 points per game in the second game of a back-to-back set. Golden State has gone over the number in seven of their 10 games this season, entering Saturday night. The Warriors are 19th in scoring offense, 19th in offensive efficiency and 20th in adjusted tempo with 99.9 possessions per contest. In the first meeting this season, we saw 223 points. With Indiana’s penchant to run and the Warriors' intent on revenge, we get a few more points here to push this over the total.
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