Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday, January 23, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a matchup between two teams on opposite sides of the spectrum on Friday, Jan. 23. Read our Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Pacers are the worst team in the Eastern Conference with a 10-35 record. They have lost three straight games and they are just 2-19, when playing on the road. The Thunder have the best record in the sport with a 37-8 record. Oklahoma City have own seven of their last eight games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.
Pacers continue to be the worst team in the East
Indiana is 10-35 overall this season. The Pacers are in last place in the Eastern Conference. They sit two games back of the Wizards to avoid the worst record in the conference. Indiana is 2-19 when they have played on the road. The Pacers have lost three straight games coming into this game.
In their last game, the Pacers lost 119-104 to the Celtics on the road on Wednesday, Jan. 21. Indiana held a few leads in the first quarter, but the Celtics grabbed the lead for good late in the opening quarter and they used it all the way to the finish line. Indiana shot just 39% from the field and 27% from 3-point land in the loss. Pascal Siakam led the team with 32 points on 12-for-21 shooting.
Siakam leads the team with 23.8 points and 7.0 rebounds per game. Andrew Nembhard is passing for a team-high 7.1 assists per game.
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Indiana is dead last in offensive efficiency and they rank 19th in offensive efficiency. The Pacers are also the fourth-worst rebounding roster, too.
Indiana is averaging 109.9 points per game, which ranks second-worst. They are shooting 44.2% form the field, placing them dead last. The Pacers also rank third-worst in 3-point shooting, hitting 34% from behind the arc.
On defense, the Pacers are allowing 118.3 points per game, which ranks 24th. They are the 25th ranked defensive team, allowing 48.3% from the field. Indiana is the second-best 3-point defensive team, allowing 34.2% from behind the arc.
Indiana is 22-23 against the spread this season. They are 14-16 against the spread with one day of rest. The Pacers are 8-13 against the spread when playing on the road. The under is 29-16 when Indiana has played this season. The under is 20-14 when Indiana is coming off of a loss. The under is 15-5 as a road underdog.
Oklahoma City domination continues especially at home
Oklahoma City is 37-8 overall this season. The Thunder are in first place in the Western Conference and they have the best record in the sport. The defending NBA Champions are 20-2 at home this season, which is also the best home record in the league. The Thunder have won seven of their last eight games coming into this matchup.
In their latest game, the Thunder defeated the Bucks 122-102 away from home on Wednesday, Jan. 21. It was an easy wire-to-wire victory for the Thunder, who started the game with a 23-6 advantage. The Thunder shot 54% from the field and 39% from behind the arc. It was a big game from the former MVP in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 40 points and 11 assists.
Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 32 points and 6.3 assists per game. Chet Holmgren is the top rebounder with 8.4 boards per game.
The Thunder are the third-most efficient offense and the most efficient defensive team in the league. Oklahoma City also ranks 20th in rebounding this season.
Oklahoma City is averaging 121.4 points per game, which is the best mark in the sport. They are hitting 49.3% from the field, placing them third-overall. The Thunder are the 14th ranked 3-point shooting team, making 36.3% from behind the arc.
On defense, the Thunder are allowing 107.8 points per game, which is the league’s best mark. They are also the best defensive team allowing 43.2% from the field. Opponents are making 37.2% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks fifth-worst.
The Thunder are 23-22 against the spread this season. They are 11-8 against the spread with equal rest. Oklahoma City is also 12-10 against the spread as a home favorite. The under is 23-22 when the Thunder have played this season. The under is 12-7 when Oklahoma City has equal rest as their opponents. The total is 14-14 when the Thunder have had one day of rest.
Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks
Pacers vs Thunder Spread Pick
- Take the Thunder (5 units)
It’s a rematch of last year’s NBA Finals and things couldn’t be more different than what occurred in June. Instead of trying to hoist the title, the Pacers are now one of the worst teams in the league, albeit thanks to injuries. Indiana can’t score at all with the worst offense in the league and the team’s defense is also not good enough to force low scoring wins. The Thunder continue to dominate everyone around them and it should be a blowout win for Oklahoma City, who ranks first in defense and third in offensive efficiency. The Thunder are 11-8 against the spread with equal rest and 12-10 against the spread as a home favorite. The Pacers are 8-13 against the spread when playing on the road.
Take the Thunder to cover.
Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
Not only is Indiana’s offense the worst in efficiency, they do not play a fast brand of hoops either. They rank 12th in pace, while the Thunder are behind them ranking 17th. This should be a low scoring game as the Thunder’s defense, which ranks first in the league, will shut down the Pacers’ terrible offense. The Thunder will play at their speed and a low scoring game is inevitable. The under is 12-7 when the Thunder have equal rest. The under is also 29-16 when Indiana has played this season. The under is 20-14 when Indiana is coming off of a loss.
Take the under on Friday.
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