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Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, January 17, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 01/17/2026, 06:07 AM ET
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers prediction

It’s a Western Conference clash between two playoff hopeful teams on Saturday, Jan. 17. Read our Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction along with along with our other NBA Picks. The Lakers are 24-15, but they have lost four of their last five games. Portland 20-22 and they have won six of their last eight outings. These two teams will be missing their leading scorers with Luka Doncic and Deni Avdija both out for the game. The tip-off time between the Lakers and Trail Blazers is set for 10 P.M. EST.

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Lakers without Doncic, struggles on road continue

The Lakers are 24-15 overall this season. They are in sixth-place in the Western Conference as they are 9.5 games back of the Thunder for first place. They are one game ahead of the Suns to avoid the play-in. The Lakers are 13-7 when they have played on the road. The Lakers have lost four of their last five games coming into this game. The Lakers have also lost four of their last five games.

In their last game, the Lakers lost 135-117 to Charlotte at home on Thursday, Jan. 15. The Lakers never led in the second half as there were only just two lead changes in the loss. Los Angeles shot 46% from the field and 37% from behind the arc. The defense was poor from the Lakers as Charlotte shot 54% from the field. Luka Doncic led the team with 39 points on 15-for-26 shooting.

Doncic leads the team with 33.6 points and 8.7 assists per game. Deandre Ayton is grabbing a team-high 8.7 rebounds per game .

The Lakers are the seventh-ranked offensive efficient team, while also being the fifth-worst defensive team. They are also the 11th ranked rebounding team, too.

The Lakers are averaging 116.5 points per game, which ranks 16th in the league. They are the second-best shooting team, making 49.7% from the field. Los Angeles is hitting 34.5% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 24th.

On defense, the Lakers are allowing 116.9 points per game, which ranks 18th. They are allowing 48.8% from the field, which ranks 28th. They are the 25th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 37.3% from behind the arc.

The Lakers are 21-18 against the spread this season. Los Angeles is 11-7 against the spread with one-day of rest. They are 11-9 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Lakers are 10-4 against the spread after a loss. The over is 24-15 when the Lakers have played this season. The over is 8-6 when the Lakers have played after a loss. The over is 6-4 when Los Angeles has been an away underdog.

Injury report 

  • Deandre Ayton (knee), questionable 
  • Luka Doncic (groin), out
  • Jaxson Hayes (hamstring), questionable 
  • Austin Reaves, out

Portland finding ways to stack wins in spite of injury crisis

Portland is 20-22 overall this season. The Trail Blazers are in ninth place in the Western Conference. They are 15 games back of the Thunder for first place. They are also 5.5 games back of the Lakers to avoid the play-in spot. The Lakers are two games ahead of the Grizzlies for a play-in spot. Portland is 11-10 when playing at home this season. They have won six of their last eight games coming into this game.

In their last game, the Trail Blazers defeated Atlanta 117-101 at home on Thursday, Jan. 15. Portland went on a 12-0 run in the fourth quarter to separate themselves from the Hawks and earn the victory. Portland shot 45% from the field and 30% from behind the 3-point line in the win. It was a big rebounding effort for Portland, as they out rebounded Atlanta 54-40. Shaedon Sharpe led the team with 24 points on 8-for-15 shooting.

Deni Avdija leads the team with 26.1 points and 6.9 assists per game. Donovan Clingan is grabbing 10.7 rebounding per game.

Portland is the 23rd ranked offensive team in the league. They rank 17th on the defensive end and the 10th ranked rebounding team.

Portland is averaging 115.9 points per game, which ranks 18th in the league. They are the third-worst shooting team hitting 44.8% from the field. The Trail Blazers are making 33.8% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks second-worst in the league.

On defense, the Trail Blazers are allowing 118.5 points per game, which ranks 24th. They are the 19th ranked defensive team, allowing 47.1% from the field. Opponents are hitting 35.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks ninth-best.

Portland is 23-19 against the spread this season. The Trail Blazers are 13-8 against the spread at home. Portland is 2-4 against the spread as a home favorite. The total is 21-21 when they have played this season. The over is 11-3 when the Trail Blazers have been a favorite. The over is also 5-1 as a home favorite.

Key injuries 

  • Scoot Henderson (hamstring), out
  • Matisse Thybulle (knee, thumb), out 
  • Jerami Grant (Achilles), questionable 
  • Jrue Holiday (calf), questionable 
  • Deni Avdija (back), doubtful 

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks

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Lakers vs Trail Blazers Spread Pick

  • Lakers +3 (5 units) 

There will be some lineup changes and new players consistently featured in this game between the Lakers and the Trail Blazers. For the Lakers, Doncic and Reeves will notably miss the game. Portland will be without leading-scorer Deni Avdija and Jrue Holiday. With both teams depleted, easy baskets and fundamentals will be key and that’s why I’m siding with the Lakers. Deandre Ayton could be force against his former team, while LeBron James will carry most of the offensive workload, which will be key in the win. Defense will not be a priority for either team, but the Lakers rebounding will be necessary. They are the 11th ranked rebounding team, as Portland’s offense has the third-worst field goal percentage. The Trail Blazers are 2-4 against the spread as a home favorite. The Lakers are 10-4 against the spread after a loss.

Take the Lakers to cover.

Lakers vs Trail Blazers Over/Under Pick

  • Over 223.5 (5 units)

Despite the injury concerns from both teams, the style of play will remain the same. Portland will want to play fast, as they are the fourth-fastest team in the league. The Lakers will want to slow things down, with their 23rd ranked paced offense. But, poor defense will reign supreme with the Lakers ranked fifth-worst on the defensive along with Portland ranking 17th on defense. The over is 5-1 when Portland has been a home favorite. The over is 6-4 when Los Angeles has been an away underdog.

Take the over on Saturday. 

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