Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves, Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, December 17, 2025
Use Code WWWC Memphis (12–14) hits the road to face Minnesota (17–9) Wednesday at Target Center on NBA TV. The Wolves are 7.5-point favorites with a total near 233.5. Both teams are rolling, as Memphis is 8–3 over its last 11, and Minnesota has won seven of eight games.
This will be the first head-to-head matchup of the season between these teams.
Memphis has played better without Morant
Memphis’ season got off to a messy 4-11 start, highlighted by off-court drama surrounding Ja Morant and the coaching staff. Morant has now missed 11 games this season, and the team has rallied without him, and over the last 11 games, they’re 8–3. Jaren Jackson Jr. leads the way with 17.4 points per game, while Morant could return Wednesday as a game-time decision.
On offense, Memphis averages 114.1 points per game (23rd in the NBA) on 45.2% shooting (25th) and 34.4% from three (23rd), but are strong at the line (80.3%, 8th). They also dominate the glass, grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game (2nd in the league). Defensively, they allow 115.9 points (14th), hold opponents to 47% FG (15th) and 36.8% from three (22nd), and limit free throws effectively (77.1%, 7th).
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When is comes to injuries, Morant is questionable, Brandon Clarke is day-to-day, and guards Cam Spencer, John Konchar, and Javon Small are out.
Edwards is day-to-day
Minnesota is trending up as a Western Conference contender, winning seven of its last eight games. Anthony Edwards leads the team with 28.6 points on 50% shooting, plus 4.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists, but is listed as day-to-day.
The Wolves are strong on both sides of the ball, averaging 119.8 points per game (6th), 48.7% shooting (6th), 38% from three (4th), and 77.1% from the line (24th). They generate 26.6 assists and rank top ten in three-point efficiency. Defensively, Minnesota allows 114.5 points per game (9th), 46.3% shooting (10th), and holds opponents to 35.5% from three (11th). 4th). Minnesota’s home-court edge (9–4 at Target Center) and depth make them tough to beat.
Anthony Edwards is day-to-day, which is the most important injury to monitor for this game, and Mike Conley is out.
Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions
Grizzlies vs Timberwolves ATS Pick
- Grizzlies +7.5 (3 units)
Both teams have been playing well, but with Edwards banged up, I like the points on a Memphis team that is showing alot of heart. The Grizzlies have made a statement in their games without Morant, and come into this game with a strong rebounding advantage. Given Memphis’ ability to control pace and limit second-chance opportunities, I like them to cover the number.
Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Total Pick
- Under 233.5 (5 units)
Minnesota could be without Anthony Edwards, which would be a significant blow to its offense. Either way, neither team will want to turn this game into a track meet. The Timberwolves rank 16th in pace, while Memphis sits 23rd. Both squads are also solid defensively, ranking in the top half of the NBA in defensive efficiency, with the Grizzlies, in particular, trending upward lately. Memphis has held five of its last seven opponents under 108 points, making this total look far too high.
Take the under.
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