Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Monday, October 27, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 10/27/2025, 12:01 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction
Use Code WWWC

On Monday, the Memphis Grizzlies (2-1) pay a visit to Northern California to play the Golden State Warriors (2-1). Memphis defeated the Indiana Pacers 128-103 on Saturday night for its second win in its first three games. Golden State lost to the Portland Trail Blazers 139-119 on Friday night, snapping a two-game winning streak to open this season. Memphis will play without Vince Williams Jr, Brandon Clarke, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr, and Zach Edey. Golden State will play without De’Anthony Melton, while Al Horford and Alex Toohey are questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors prediction. Shoot for success! Check out our free NBA picks for the Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors prediction and win today.

Memphis is scoring well, but giving up far too much

The Memphis Grizzlies score an average of 123.3 points per game, which is 9th, while allowing an average of 124.0 points per game, which is 24th. Memphis is 20th in field-goal shooting percentage at 45.2% and 27th in three-point shooting percentage at 32.2%. The Memphis defense is allowing opponents to shoot 47.1% overall, which is 15th, and 40.2% from 3-point territory, which is 23rd.

Ja Morant is the leading scorer for Memphis, averaging 22.0 points per game, and Cedric Coward is second, averaging 19.0 points per game. Memphis has two other players who average double figures in scoring. Morant is the leader in assists at 5.7 per game, while Santi Aldama is the leading rebounder, averaging 7.3 boards per game. Coward leads the Grizzlies in steals at 1.7 per game, and Jaren Jackson Jr is the rim protector, averaging 2.3 blocked shots per game.

Golden State scores playing, but gives up far too many

The Golden State Warriors score an average of 125.0 points per game, which is 8th, and allow an average of 126.3 points per game, which is 28th. Golden State is shooting 47.9% overall and 40.8% from 3-point territory, which are 12th and 8th, respectively. Golden State allows opponents to shoot 54.0% overall, which is 30th, and 37.7% from 3-point range, which is 18th.

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Stephen Curry is the leading scorer for Golden State, averaging 33.3 points per game, and Jimmy Butler III is second, averaging 22.0 points per game. Golden State has three other players who average double figures in scoring. Jonathan Kuminga is the leading rebounder, averaging 7.3 boards per game, and Draymond Green is the leader in assists, averaging 7.3 per game. Curry is the leader in steals at 2.3 per game and the leader in blocked shots at 1.3 per game.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Pick

Spread Pick for Grizzlies vs. Warriors

  • Golden State Warriors (4 units)

The Golden State Warriors are healthier at this point than the Memphis Grizzlies. They are also fresher after playing on Friday night, which is a good thing for a team filled with 30+ year old veterans. Memphis is playing without Vince Williams Jr, Brandon Clarke, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr, and Zach Edey, who all contributed last season to the Grizzlies or another team. Golden State and Memphis are both scoring relatively the same and giving up nearly the same number of points per game, but the Warriors will be at home and, as mentioned previously, have a deeper roster because of injuries to Memphis players. Golden State has covered the spread in two of its first three games this season and has played well in previous Octobers, covering the spread in nine of the last 11 during that month. Memphis has stars in Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., but without Edey to clog up the paint, is short-handed in rebounding and blocked shots against a Golden State squad that is receiving excellent play from Curry, Butler III, Kuminga, and Draymond Green.

Over/Under Pick for Grizzlies vs. Warriors

  • OverΒ  (5 units)

The total has finished over in two of the first three games Memphis has played, and in each of the first three games that Golden State has played. Memphis is allowing an average of 124 points per game, and Golden State is allowing an average of even more at 126.3 points per game. At the same time, both are scoring well, as Golden State averages 125.0 points per game and Memphis is averaging 123.3 points per game.

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