Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics, Picks and Prediction, Friday, December 19, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 12/19/2025, 06:00 AM ET
Heat vs. Celtics prediction
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Miami (14-12) will be trying to move up the Southeast Division standings when they visit TD Garden on Friday night to face Boston (15-11) at 7 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Heat vs. Celtics prediction. Get our top NBA predictions and increase your bankroll!

The Heat are coming off a 106-96 loss to Toronto as 4.5-point favorites. The Celtics are coming off a 112-105 loss to Detroit as 1.5-point favorites.

Boston is 8-2 in its last 10 games against Miami.

**This preview was written before Thursday’s game was played.**

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Heat Trying To Snap Five-Game Losing Streak

The Heat didn’t play well over the past week and come into this game on a five-game losing streak. They have also lost three straight road games and will try to snap both streaks with a win on Friday.

Miami averages 120.7 points per game, which is fifth in the league. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Norman Powell leads Miami with 24.4 points and 3.7 rebounds per game. Tyler Herro averages 23.2 points and five rebounds per game, while Bam Adebayo averages 19.2 points and nine rebounds per game.

Miami is giving up 117.7 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 34 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Norman Powell (Calf), Tyler Herro (Toe), Nikola Jovic (Elbow), and Pelle Larsson (Ankle) are questionable for this game.

Boston Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

The Celtics followed up their five-game winning streak with losses to Milwaukee and Detroit. They will try to snap their losing streak and pick up their sixth win in their last eight games when they play on Friday.

Boston averages 116.2 points per game, which is 17th in the league. They’ve made 47 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers.

Jaylen Brown leads Boston with 29.3 points and 6.2 rebounds per game. Derrick White averages 17.8 points and five assists per game, while Payton Pritchard averages 16.7 points and five assists per game.

Boston is giving up 110.8 points per game, which is second in the league. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

Injuries: Chris Boucher (Illness) and Ron Harper Jr. (Knee) are questionable for this game.

Heat vs. Celtics Picks

Point Spread Pick for Heat vs. Celtics

  • Boston Celtics to cover. (4 Units)

The Celtics have won four of their last five home games, while the Heat have lost three of their last four road games. Boston has the edge here because they play well offensively at home, scoring 119 points per game, while making over 48 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 80 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and grab more than 12 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Heat aren’t very good defensively, and they play worse on the road, where they are giving up more than 118 points per game. They’re also playing on consecutive nights and will be dealing with fatigue, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Celtics. Take the Celtics to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Heat vs. Celtics

  • Over (4 Units)

The Heat average 120.7 points per game. They play at the fastest pace in the league, averaging 108.6 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 113.7 points per game in their last three games. The Celtics average 116.2 points per game. They play at the 30th-fastest pace in the league, averaging 99.4 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 118.5 points per game on the road.

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