Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 23, 2025
It’s a matchup of Eastern Conference teams on the hardwood as the Miami Heat travel to take on the Philadelphia 76ers in the City of Brotherly Love Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our Heat vs. 76ers prediction. Miami trounced Chicago 143-107 on the road Friday night in their previous game, winning outright as a 2.5-point underdog. Philadelphia downed Milwaukee 123-114 on the road in overtime in their previous game Thursday night, covering the line as a 1.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Heat own a 75-67 advantage and have won four straight meetings, including a 117-105 home win in the most recent meeting on April 7. Read more about this Heat vs. 76ers prediction! No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!
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Heat Looking to Beat 76ers for Fifth Straight Time
Miami won their third straight game as they dropped the hammer on the Bulls in the Windy City Friday night. The Heat entered Saturday night 10-6 and held a half-game edge on the Hawks for the top spot in the Southeast Division. Against Chicago, Miami trailed 18-11 with 6:28 remaining in the opening quarter but rallied to lead 36-32 after 12 minutes. The Heat opened the second quarter on a 28-7 run to go up 64-39 and cruised the rest of the way. Miami shot 47% from the field, including 14 of 38 from three-point range, and controlled the glass by a 53-39 margin while leading by as many as 41 in the contest. Kel’el Ware led eight Heat players in double figures with 20 points and 14 rebounds in the win.
The Heat entered Saturday 1st in the league in scoring offense with 124.8 points per game this season. Miami is 13th in the league in rebounding with 45.3 boards a contest while the team stands 1st in assists by dishing out 30.6 dimes a night. The Heat stands 20th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 119 points per game. Norman Powell leads the Heat with 24.9 points and 3.8 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo (19.7 points, 7.9 rebounds), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (16.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists), Simone Fontecchio (11.3 points) and Andrew Wiggins (16.7 points, 4.8 rebounds) are secondary scoring options. Nikola Jovic (8.8 points, 4.4 rebounds), Kel’el Ware (11.5 points, 10.3 rebounds), Davion Mitchell (10.6 points, 7.3 assists), Dru Smith, Keshad Johnson and Pelle Larsson (10.5 points) are solid role players for the Heat. Miami is 10th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 48.2% from the floor this season. The Heat stands 10th in threes per game by draining 13.9 triples per contest and the team is 5th in three-point shooting by hitting 38.3% from beyond the arc. Miami is average at the free-throw line, ranking 14th in the league by converting 79.7% of their chances this season.
Key Injury Report for Heat:
- Guard Terry Rozier (personal) is out.
- Guard Kasparas Jakucionis (groin) is out.
- Forward Andrew Wiggins (hip) is out.
- Guard Tyler Herro (foot) is out.
- Forward Nikola Jovic (hip) is out.
Philadelphia Trying to String Together Wins
Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses in their last eight games after taking down the Bucks in overtime in their previous contest, Thursday night on the road. The 76ers entered Saturday 9-6 on the year and stood tied for second in the Atlantic Division, 1.5 games behind the Raptors for the top spot. Against Milwaukee, Philadelphia led by 13 after the opening quarter only to trail by two at the half. The 76ers trailed by four after three quarters before rallying to force overtime. In the extra session, the 76ers scored the first five points and never let the Bucks even again as they went on to win. Philadelphia shot 43.3% from the floor, including 18 of 53 from beyond the arc, and controlled the battle of the boards 52-42. Tyrese Maxey poured in a career-high 54 points, five rebounds, nine assists, three steals and three blocks in the win.
On the year, the 76ers are 15th in the league in scoring offense with 118.4 points per game. The 76ers are 17th in rebounding as they collect 44.5 rebounds per contest, while they are 20th in assists by dishing out an average of 25.9 dimes a night. Philadelphia is 16th in the league in scoring defense, as they allow an average of 116.1 points a contest. Tyrese Maxey leads the 76ers with 33.4 points and 7.9 assists per game this season. VJ Edgecombe (15.6 points, six rebounds, 4.2 assists), Kelly Oubre Jr. (16.8 points, 5.1 rebounds), Quentin Grimes (16.9 points, 4.1 assists) and Joel Embiid (19.7 points, 5.5 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Paul George (15 points), Dominick Barlow, Jabari Walker, Andre Drummond, Justin Edwards, Adem Bona, Eric Gordon, Trendon Watford and Hunter Sallis are looked at to contribute in the rotation. Philadelphia is 17th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.4% from the floor as a team this season. The 76ers are 11th in threes per game as they drain 13.9 triples a contest, while they are 8th in three-point shooting by connecting on 37.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Philadelphia stands 13th in the league in free-throw shooting as they convert 79.7% of their attempts this season.
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Key Injury Report for 76ers:
- Center Joel Embiid (knee) is out.
- Forward Kelly Oubre Jr. (knee) is out.
- Center Adem Bona (ankle) is out.
- Guard VJ Edgecombe (calf) is questionable.
- Forward Johni Broome (ankle) is questionable.
Heat vs. 76ers Pick
Heat vs. 76ers Moneyline Pick
- Heat +102 (4 units)
Miami comes in off a demolition of Chicago on the road, and they don’t have to rely on one superstar to carry the load. We saw eight players score in double figures as they trounced the Bulls and even missing some pieces, they are dangerous. Philadelphia got George back for his season debut last week, but the fact remains that they are a fragile squad. Embiid has played just six games this season and will be out again here, as will Oubre Jr. and Bona. That takes a lot of height out of the 76ers' rotation, which doesn’t bode well against a Miami squad that is very good on the glass. Look for Miami’s depth to be the difference as the Heat pick up the road win.
Heat vs. 76ers Over/Under Pick
- Over 239.5 (4 units)
Miami has seen the over hit in 10 of their 16 games this season, including six of their eight road games. The Heat stand first in the league in points per game, 13th in offensive efficiency and first in tempo with 105.9 possessions a game. Philadelphia entered Saturday night having seen the over post an 8-7 mark in their 15 games on the season. The 76ers are 15th in the league in scoring offense, 11th in offensive efficiency and 24th in tempo with an average of 99.4 possessions per game. With the way the Heat score and push the tempo, we’re looking at some big numbers on the board. Take the over here as a result.
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