Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Picks and Prediction for Saturday March 14 2026
Use Code WWWC In Saturday afternoon NBA action, the Milwaukee Bucks will travel to State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks. The Bucks have dropped four of their previous five games and are really struggling to get stops. Milwaukee limps into this game with an overall record of 27 wins and 38 losses. The Hawks are on quite a different trajectory. Atlanta is riding an eight-game winning streak to push their record to 35 wins and 31 losses. Read more about this Milwaukee vs Atlanta prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NBA Predictions!
- Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Game time: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Arena: State Farm Arena
- TV channel: FDSMIL, FDSSE
Milwaukee facing a potential future without Giannis
The Milwaukee Bucks have tried to sustain a championship caliber roster around two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo but have failed. It appears increasingly likely that Antetokounmpo will leave for greener pastures in the offseason and force the Bucks to rebuild. Milwaukee currently ranks in the bottom third of the league in offensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and averages a measly 111 points per contest. The Bucks are eight games below .500 on the road and are six games out of tenth place in the Eastern Conference standings. On Thursday, Milwaukee was outrebounded by 17 points during a 112-105 road loss against Miami.
All-Star F Giannis Antetokounmpo has appeared in just 35 games this season and leads Milwaukee in scoring (27.5 ppg) and rebounds (9.7 rpg). Ryan Rollins has taken a huge step forward in Antetokounmpo’s absence and is scoring 16.6 points per game. Veteran F Bobby Portis (13.4 ppg) is always a presence in the interior.
Key Injury Report for Milwaukee:
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- Ousmane Dieng (DTD) - illness
- Alex Antetokounmpo (DTD) - undisclosed
- Cormac Ryan (out) - undisclosed
Atlanta thriving after the Trae Young trade
The Atlanta Hawks made the difficult decision to move on from Trae Young at the NBA trade deadline and it has looked good in the short term. The Hawks are a much more balanced scoring team and are locked in on the defensive end of the floor. Atlanta has ascended to 14th in the league in defensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and are giving up 116.9 points per game. The Hawks are a game above .500 at home and are 2.5 games out of sixth place in the Eastern Conference standings. On Thursday, Atlanta held Brooklyn to 18 points over the final 12 minutes to secure a 108-97 home victory.
First time All-Star Jalen Johnson has become the focal point of Atlanta’s offensive attack. Johnson leads the Hawks in scoring (22.9 ppg), rebounds (10.4 rpg), and assists (8.0 apg). Nickel Alexander-Walker provides plenty of three-point shooting ability and is averaging a career-high 20 points per game. Veteran G C.J. McCollum (18.2 ppg) still has some gas left in the tank and is a reliable scoring option off the bench.
Key Injury Report for Atlanta:
- Dyson Daniels (DTD) - toe
Milwaukee vs Atlanta Pick
Milwaukee vs Atlanta Spread Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Spread
These two teams have split their first two meetings, with Milwaukee prevailing by two in January and Atlanta winning by 18 earlier this month. The Bucks have not been a profitable team for bettors with a 28-37 ATS record. The Hawks have reeled off eight straight victories by an average margin of 18.3 points. Keep riding Atlanta while they are hot and take them to cover the number at home.
Milwaukee vs Atlanta Over/Under Pick
- Pick: Over
There is a contrast of styles in this matchup. Atlanta is playing at the fourth fastest tempo in the league, while Milwaukee ranks 25th in that category. The Bucks (28-37 O/U) have been a profitable team for under bettors, but recent form suggests otherwise. Milwaukee has been torched for 129 point or more in three of their previous five games. Take the over.
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