Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday, January 11, 2026
It’s a big East vs West clash in downtown Denver on Sunday, Jan. 11. Read our Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets prediction along with the along with our other NBA Picks. The Bucks are 17-21 and they are in 11th in the East. They are one game back of a play-in spot as they have won five of their last seven games. The Nuggets are 25-13 and they are in third-place in the West. The Nuggets are 3-3 without star player Nikola Jokic since he injured his knee. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.
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Milwaukee finding form on the road
Milwaukee is 17-21 overall this season. They are in 11th place in the Eastern Conference as they are one game back of the Bulls for the final play-in spot. Milwaukee has an 8-12 road record this year. They have won five of their last seven games coming into this game. The Bucks have also won five of their last seven road games.
In their last game, the Bucks defeated the Lakers 105-101 away from home on Friday, Jan. 9. There were 11 lead changes in a back-and-forth clash. The Bucks needed four made free throws from Kevin Porter in the final 20 seconds to win the game. Giannis Antetokounmpo made two big stops on LeBron James to seal the win for the Bucks in the closing seconds. Porter led the team with 22 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
Antetokounmpo leads the team with 29.2 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Ryan Rollins is passing for a team-high 5.6 assists per game, too.
The Bucks are the 16th ranked offensive efficient team in the league. They are also the 17th ranked defensive efficient team while ranking fourth-worst in rebounding.
Milwaukee is averaging 113.1 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. They are hitting 48.6% from the field, which ranks fourth-best. The Bucks are also the second-best 3-point shooting team, making 39.5% from behind the arc.
On defense, Milwaukee is allowing 115.3 points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. They are the 12th ranked defense, allowing 46.6% from the field. The Bucks are also allowing 36.2% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 19th in the league.
Milwaukee is 18-20 against the spread this season. They are 5-11 against the spread after a win. The Bucks are 11-12 against the spread with one day of rest. They are 4-7 against the spread when playing against the West. The under is 22-16 when the Bucks have played this season. The over is 6-5 when they have played against the West. The under is 5-3 as a road favorite.
Key injures
- Kevin Porter Jr. (hip), probable
- Taurean Prince (neck), out
Denver trying to find stability without Nikola Jokic
Denver is 25-13 overall this season. The Nuggets are in third-place in the Western Conference as they are 6.5 games back of the Thunder for first. Denver is two games ahead of Phoenix for seventh place. The Nuggets are 3-3 since Nikola Jokic went down with a knee injury. Jokic will miss this game and the next several weeks.
In their last game, Denver lost 110-87 to Atlanta at home on Friday, Jan. 9. The Hawks went on a 23-6 run to give them the lead in the fourth quarter and secure the easy win. Denver shot 42% from the field and 34% from behind the arc in the loss. They turned the ball over 19 times, which led to 18 points for Atlanta. Peyton Watson led the team with 25 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
Jamal Murray leads the team with 25.3 points and 7.5 assists per game. Aaron Gordon is grabbing a team-leading 6.1 rebounds per game
Denver ranks first in offensive efficiency and 25th in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets are the ninth-best rebounding team in the league, too.
The Nuggets have the best offense in the sport. They are averaging 123.1 points per game, which is the best mark in the league. They are hitting 50.5% from the field and 40.2% from behind the 3-point line, which both rank first.
On defense, the Nuggets are allowing 117.8 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. They are allowing 47.2% from the field, which ranks 19th. They are the 13th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 35.5% from behind the arc.
Denver is 22-16 against the spread this season. The Nuggets are 9-7 against the spread at home. They are 8-4 against the spread after a loss. Denver is 1-1 against the spread as a home underdog. They are 13-11 against the spread with one day of rest. The over is 24-14 when the Nuggets have played this year. The over is 10-2 after a Denver loss. The over is 8-7 when the Nuggets have played against the East.
Key injuries
- Jamal Murray (ankle), questionable
- Spencer Jones (ankle, illness), questionable
- Jonas Valanciunas (calf), out
- Nikola Jokic (knee), out
- Cameron Johnson (knee), out
- Tamar Bates (foot), out
Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Joe Duffy | +2,763.00 |
| 2 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,672.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,420.00 |
| 4 |  Jackie Mack | +1,909.00 |
| 5 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,730.00 |
Bucks vs Nuggets Spread Pick
- Milwaukee Bucks -2 (5 units)
The best player on the court will be wearing Milwaukee Bucks colors and that is simply the reason for the Bucks taking the win and covering the spread. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to be one of the best players in the sport. He will show all of his tools against a Denver team that was dominated at home against Atlanta in their last game. The Nuggets will play without Nikola Jokic, due to injury. Without Jokic, the Nuggets are a completely different team and they will struggle on offense, which has been their calling card. With a worse offense and an already poor defense, Denver is a different team and they will struggle to compete in this game against a Bucks roster that is finding form. Milwaukee has won five of their last seven road games coming into this matchup.
Take Milwaukee to cover.
Bucks vs Nuggets Over/Under Pick
- Under 223.5 (5 units)
The Nuggets are without star Nikola Jokic, who makes the offense run. The team has obviously felt the absence of his presence and the offense has not nearly been as affective. Denver does have the best offense in the league, but they have scored 115 points or less in five of his six games that he has missed. The under is 5-3 as a road favorite for the Bucks. Milwaukee is averaging the fifth-worst points per game in the league.
Take the under on Sunday.
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