Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday, February 12, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/12/2026, 07:15 AM ET
Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction
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Its another night to see the defending NBA champions play on Thursday, Feb. 12. Read our Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction along with our other NBA Picks.

The Bucks are 22-30 and are two games back of a play-in spot. They are coming off of a big win against the Magic on the radio. The Thunder are 42-13 and continue to be the best team in the sport, despite having their MVP out due to injury. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 7:30 P.M. EST.

Thomas shines with Bucks in second game

Milwaukee is 22-30 overall this season. The Bucks are in 12th place in the Eastern Conference. They are two games back of the Hawks for the final play-in spot. The Bucks are 10-18 when playing on the road this year. Milwaukee has won four of their last five games coming into this matchup.

In their last game, the Bucks defeated Orlando 116-108 away from home on Wednesday, Feb. 11. Milwaukee closed the game on a 10-2 run to steal the road win. The Bucks shot 48% from the field and 39% from behind the arc in the win. They were led in scoring by newly acquired Cam Thomas from the Nets.

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Kevin Porter Jr. leads the team with 17.5 points. Ryan Rollins is passing for 5.5 assists, while Bobby Portis is grabbing a team-high 6.6 rebounds per game, too.

Milwaukee is the 22nd ranked offensive efficient team and defensive team in the league. The Bucks are also the third-worst ranked rebounding roster.

The Bucks are averaging 111.8 points per game, which ranks 27th in the league. They are the fifth-ranked shooting team, making 48.1% from the field. Milwaukee is the second-best 3-point shooting team, hitting 39.2% from behind the arc.

On defense, Milwaukee is allowing 115.8 points per game, which ranks 16th in the league. They are the 13th ranked defensive team, allowing 46.6% from the field. Opponents are making 36.8% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 25th.

The Bucks are 23-29 against the spread this season. They are 4-3 against the spread when playing with no rest. Milwaukee is 16-14 against the spread with equal rest. The under are 31-21 when the Bucks have played this season. The unde is 9-8 when playing on the West. The under is 12-9 when Milwaukee is coming off of a win.

Oklahoma City continue to shine even without their MVP

Oklahoma City is 42-13 overall this season. The Thunder are in first place in the West and they hold the best record in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 22-5 when playing at home this year. They have won five of their last eight games. The Thunder are without MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander due to an abdominal injury.

In their last game, the Thunder defeated Phoenix 136-109 away from home on Wednesday, Feb. 11. Oklahoma City took over the lead midway through the first quarter and they never gave it up. The Thunder shot 58% from the field and 42% from behind the 3-point line in the win. Jaylin Williams led the team with 28 points on 11-for-12 shooting.

Chet Holmgren leads the team with 17.6 points and 8.7 rebonds per game. Jalen Williams leads the team with 5.4 assists per game, too.

The Thunder have the third-most efficient offense and the best defense in the league. The Thunder also rank 21st in rebounding this season.

Oklahoma City is averaging 119.9 points per game, which ranks third-best. They are shooting 48.7% from the field, which ranks third-best, too. The Thunder are the 13th ranked 3-point shooting team, hitting 36.1% from behind the arc.

On defense, Oklahoma City is the best scoring defense allowing 108 points per game. The Thunder are giving up 43.4% form the field, which is the best in the sport, too. They are the fifth-worst 3-point defensive team, allowing 37.1% from behind the arc.

The Thunder are 27-28 against the spread this season. They are 1-7 against the spread with no rest this season. Oklahoma City is 20-21 against the spread when playing at home. They are also 6-8 against the spread when playing the East. The over is 29-26 when Oklahoma City has played this season. The under is 15-9 when playing a team with equal rest. The over is 8-5 when playing the East.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks

Bucks vs Thunder Spread Pick

  • Take the Bucks to cover (5 units)Β 

The Thunder have been the best team in the league this season. The spreads have been so high, this is why their against the spread record is below .500 this year. This is also why they won’t be able to cover in this game. The Thunder have not been good without any rest. They are 1-7 against the spread with zero days of rest. Also, they will be without Shai Gilegous-Alexander. The Bucks will have new scoring guard Cam Thomas, who was impressive in the team’s latest win over the Magic. With Thomas, the Bucks will have the pieces to keep the game close. The Bucks are 16-14 against the spread with equal days of rest as their opponents.

Take the Bucks to cover.Β 

Bucks vs Thunder Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)Β 

Both teams rank in the bottom half of pace statistics. The Thunder rank 15th while the Bucks are the 24th ranked fastest teams in the league. Oklahoma City’s impressive defense will be key in keeping this a low-scoring game. The Bucks are also scoring the fourth-fewest points per game. The under is 15-9 when the Thunder is playing a team with equal rest. The under is 12-9 when Milwaukee is coming off of a win.

Take the under on Thursday.Β 

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