Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s another Western Conference clash with two playoff hopeful teams on Wednesday, Jan. 28. Read our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Timberwolves are 28-19 as the No. 6 seed. Minnesota secured a win in their last game snapping a five-game losing streak. The Mavericks are 19-27 and they are just a few games out of the playoffs. They have won four of their last five games, too. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8:30 P.M. EST.
Minnesota break losing skid
Minnesota is 28-19 overall this season. The Timberwolves are tied with the Suns, who have the tie-breaker and sit in sixth place. Minnesota is 9.5 games back of the Thunder for the top spot, held by the Thunder. Minnesota has a 12-11 road record this season. The Timberwolves snapped their five-game losing streak in their last game.
In their last game, the Timberwolves defeated the Warriors 108-83 at home on Monday, Jan. 26. Minnesota grabbed the lead midway through the second quarter and they never let it up for the rest of the game. The Timberwolves shot 46% from the field and 40% from behind the 3-point line. Julius Randle led the team with 18 points on 7-for-15 shooting.
Anthony Edwards leads the team with 29.7 points per game. Rudy Gobert is grabbing 11.3 rebounds, while Randle is passing for a team-high 5.4 assists per game.
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Minnesota has the seventh-best offensive efficient and the fourth most efficient defense in the league. The Timberwolves are also the seventh-best rebounding team in the league.
Minnesota is averaging 119 points per game, which ranks sixth-best. They are hitting 48.1% from the field, which places them fifth overall. The Timberwolves are also the fourth-best 3-point shooting team, making 37.2% from behind the arc.
On defense, Minnesota is allowing 114.3 points per game, which ranks 11th. They are the fifth-best defensive team, allowing 45.9% from the field. The Timberwolves are giving up 35.4% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 12th.
Minnesota is 20-27 against the spread this season. The Timberwolves are 10-17 against the spread after a win. They are 12-16 against the spread with one day of rest. They are 6-9 against the spread as a road favorite. The under is 25-22 when Minnesota has played this season. The over is 15-8 when they have played on the road. The over is 9-6 when they have been road favorites.
Mavericks have winning streak snapped
Dallas is 19-27 overall this season. The Mavericks are in 11th place in the Western Conference as they are 2.5 games back of the Clippers for a spot in the play-in round. The Mavericks are 13-9 when playing at home this season. They have won four of their last five games coming into this game.
In their last game, the Mavericks lost 116-110 to the Lakes at home on Saturday, Jan. 24. Dallas led 102-87 in the fourth quarter, but the Lakers stormed back going on a 21-4 run to put them into a position to win the game. The Mavericks couldn’t answer late as Luka Doncic earned the win in his return to Dallas. The Mavericks shot 41% from the field and 34% from behind the 3-point line in the loss. Max Christie leads the team with 24 points on 8-for-18 shooting.
Cooper Flagg leads the team with 18.8 points per game. PJ Washington is grabbing 7.2 rebounds, while Ryan Nembhard leads the team with 5.1 assists per game.
Dallas ranks 26th in offensive efficiency and they are in 11th place in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks also rank 23rd in rebounding this season.
Dallas is averaging 114.3 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. They are shooting 47.3% from the field, placing them 11th overall. The Mavericks are hitting 34.5% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 24th.
On defense, the Mavericks are allowing 116.5 points per game, which ranks 21st. They are allowing 46.2% from the field, which ranks 10th in the league. Dallas is the best 3-point defensive team allowing 33.1% from behind the arc.
Dallas is 21-25 against the spread this season. The Mavericks are 11-4 against the spread as a home underdog. They are 15-11 against the spread when playing at home. They are 13-13 against the spread after a loss. The under is 26-20 when the Mavericks have played this season. The over is 8-7 when they have been a home underdog. The over is 4-3 when they have had three days of rest.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Picks
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Pick
- Dallas +7 (5 units)
Consistency has been difficult for Minnesota recently. They have lost four of their last five games and the road hasn’t been their friend. Dallas has been playing well winning four of their last five games. If not for a late collapse, the Mavericks could have defeated the Lakers in their last game. Dallas has thrived at especially as an underdog as they are 11-4 against the spread in those situations. The Timberwolves have not been very good when favored. They are 10-17 against the spread after a win. Dallas being the No. 1 3-point defense will be key in this game as they will be able to cover the spread.
Take Dallas to cover.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Over/Under Pick
- Over 231.5 (5 units)
These two teams are some of the fastest in the league. Dallas ranks third in pace as they rarely take time off the shot clock opting for transition buckets on a consistent basis. The Timberwolves are also ranked No. 14th in pace. Both teams are allowing at least 114 points per game. This should be a high scoring game especially with Dallas enjoying three days of rest. The over is 8-7 when Dallas has been a home underdog. The over is 9-6 when Minnesota has been road favorites.
Take the over on Wednesday.
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