Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Picks and Prediction, Sunday, March 1st, 2026

The Minnesota Timberwolves (37-23) and the Denver Nuggets (37-23) face off in a high profile matchup between two of the top Western Conference teams in this Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction. These teams have met three times this season, with Denver winning all three matchups. This will be a nationally televised matchup at 3:30 EST on ABC. Keep reading to see our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction, and make some money with our best NBA Picks.

Minnesota Seeks Revenge

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been one of the top teams in the NBA this season, but have not looked the part when they have taken on the Nuggets. Denver won all of the first three matchups against the T-Wolves, but Minnesota still has a chance to grab a win here, and also take over the Nuggets in the Western Conference standings. In their last game, Minnesota won on the road against the Clippers behind 31 points from Anthony Edwards.

Edwards has been one of the best players in the league over the past few seasons, and is third in the NBA in scoring with 29.6 PPG. He has adapted his game to include the outside shot, as he is leading Minnesota with 3.4 made threes per game. Julius Randle is a versatile forward who continues to put up strong numbers, he is averaging 21.7 PPG and 6.8 RPG while being able to score inside and out. Randle is listed as questionable here, as he has been battling back spasms.

Jaden McDaniels is a reliable wing, he is getting another 15.1 PPG and is their top perimeter defender. Minnesota is ranked 9th in offensive efficiency and 13th in defensive efficiency according to dunksandthrees.com. The Timberwolves play at the 10th fastest pace in the league based on possessions per game.

Nuggets Battle Tempers

The Denver Nuggets are coming off a game against the Oklahoma City Thunder where tensions rose, leading to Nikola Jokic confronting Lu Dort in a mid court scuffle. There were no suspensions handed down, but the Nuggets are attempting to show the Western Conference that they are yet again one of the best teams in the league, and are not one to be tested. In the Thunder game, they lost by six despite getting 39 points from Jamal Murray on the night.

Murray finally made his first All-Star Team this season, and it was well deserved as he is averaging 25.3 PPG and 7.3 APG. He gets overshadowed by Jokic, who could potentially go down as one of the top ten players of all time. Jokic is in the hunt for the MVP Award again this season, but could potentially miss out due to the games played restriction. Jokic is averaging 28.7 PPG, 12.6 RPG and 10.5 APG while on his way to average a triple double.

Aaron Gordon is still battling a hamstring issue, and Peyton Watson is out of the lineup as well. Denver is ranked 2nd in offensive efficiency but only 18th in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets play much slower than the T-Wolves, ranking 21st in pace of play.

Key Injuries for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets:

Timberwolves

• Questionable: Julius Randle

Nuggets

• Out: Aaron Gordon, Payton Watson

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Picks and Predictions

Spread pick for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

•   Minnesota to cover (5 units)

The Timberwolves will finally be able to take down the Nuggets here, as Denver is struggling with their depth chart while Minnesota is fully healthy. The Nuggets will be without Gordon and Watson here, while Minnesota has a front line of Gobert, Randle and Reid that can take turns against Jokic while limiting his production. The T-Wolves are out for revenge, and with Edwards healthy and ready to go, they are unlikely to get swept by the Nuggets.

Take Minnesota to cover.

Over/Under Pick for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

•   Over (4 units)

The Denver Nuggets have the 2nd best offense in basketball based upon analytics, but are only 18th defensively. This gets even worse without Gordon and Watson in the game, as they are two of the team's most versatile defenders. This means that Minnesota will be able to hunt mismatches on offense, as the Nuggets do not have two lockdown defenders that can stick with Edwards and Randle on a regular basis. The Timberwolves play faster than the Nuggets, and will look to push the pace here. Denver has gone over in four of their last five games, expect another over here.

Take the over.