Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Prediction for Sunday March 15 2026

The Sunday NBA schedule will get underway with a showdown between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder from the Paycom Center. The Timberwolves have lost three of their previous five games. Minnesota owns an overall record of 41 wins and 26 losses. The Thunder is riding a seven-game winning streak and is looking to win 60 plus games in consecutive seasons. Oklahoma City comes into this matchup with a record of 52 wins and 15 losses. Read more about this Minnesota vs Oklahoma City prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NBA Predictions!

• Game day: Sunday, March 15, 2026
• Game time: 1:00 pm ET
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• TV channel: ABC

Minnesota a worthy contender in a stacked Western Conference

The Minnesota Timberwolves are jockeying for position in a tightly contested Western Conference upper echelon of teams. The Timberwolves have reached the conference finals in consecutive seasons and are in search of their first NBA title in franchise history. Minnesota ranks eighth in the league in offensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and is averaging a shade below 119 points per game. The Timberwolves are five games above .500 on the road and are a half-game out of third place in the Western Conference standings. On Friday, Minnesota shot a sizzling 56 percent from the field during a 127-117 road victory against Golden State.

All-Star G Anthony Edwards ranks third in the NBA in scoring at 29.7 points per game and leads Minnesota in steals (1.4 spg). Julius Randle has thrived in his Robin role next to Edwards with 20.9 points and a team-high 5.1 assists. Rudy Gobert ranks fourth in the league in rebounding (11.3 rpg) and seventh in blocks (1.6 bpg). Naz Reid (13.9 ppg) is a consistent scorer off the Minnesota bench.

Key Injury Report for Minnesota:

• No significant injuries to report

Oklahoma City looking to defend their NBA title

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the defending NBA Champions and have a roster that can win another title in the next few years. The Thunder are run by one of the most shrewd general managers in basketball and have shown that small market teams can be successful. Oklahoma City leads the league in defensive efficiency by Hollinger's NBA Team Statistics and are holding opponents to 107.8 points per contest. The Thunder have won 28 of their first 34 home games and are 3.5 games clear of San Antonio for the top spot in the Western Conference. On Friday, Oklahoma City overcame an early 12-point deficit to earn a 104-102 home victory versus Boston.

Reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks second in the NBA in scoring at 31.8 points per game and leads Oklahoma City in assists (6.6 apg). Talented F Jalen Williams has appeared in just 26 games and is averaging 17.5 points. Chet Holmgren is third on the Thunder in scoring with 17.2 points per contest and is securing a team-best 9.0 rebounds.

Key Injury Report for Oklahoma City:

• Brandon Carlson (out) - back
• Jalen Williams (out) - hamstring
• Isaiah Hartenstein (out) - calf
• Thomas Sorber (out) - knee

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Pick

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Spread Pick

• Pick: Minnesota Spread

Oklahoma City eliminated Minnesota in the Western Conference Finals last season, but the Timberwolves have won the previous two regular season meetings. The Timberwolves have struggled to cover on the road (14-19 ATS), but have a 5-5 ATS mark as a road underdog. The Thunder are 14-19 ATS as a home favorite. Take Minnesota to cover on the road and sprinkle a little on the moneyline.

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Over/Under Pick

• Pick: Under

Two of the three meetings between these two teams have stayed under 220 total points. As noted earlier, the Thunder are the best defensive team in the league and the Timberwolves rank ninth in defensive efficiency. Oklahoma City ranks in the bottom half of the league in tempo and is 14-17 O/U as a home favorite. Take the under.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves win 112-109