NBA 3 Point Contest Picks, Prediction and Odds for Saturday February 14 2026
Use Code WWWC NBA 3 Point Contest picks are one of my favorite All-Star weekend markets, because this event is a sprint disguised as a shooting contest. The 2026 NBA All-Star 3 Point Contest is loaded with star power and a few sneaky longshots, and I am breaking down the odds the same way I do for my daily NBA predictions.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- 3 Point Contest Winner: Jamal Murray (+650)
- Most Likely Finalist: Kon Knueppel (-180)
3 Point Contest Current Odds
| Participant | Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel | +270 |
| Damian Lillard | +410 |
| Devin Booker | +550 |
| Jamal Murray | +650 |
| Tyrese Maxey | +650 |
| Donovan Mitchell | +750 |
| Norman Powell | +950 |
| Bobby Portis | +1600 |
Key Matchups and Handicap
Knueppel
Kon Knueppel is the favorite for a reason. He has the cleanest profile for this contest environment, because he has been a high-volume bomber all season. That matters in this format because the contest is about repeatable mechanics under a clock, not just selectively picking open looks.
If Knueppel avoids a rushed first rack, he can post a final-round-worthy score right away. At +270, he is priced like the most likely shooter to advance.
Murray
Jamal Murray is my preferred value play at +650. He brings efficiency and shot versatility, and that translates well to the contest’s corner-to-top movement. In this format, the all-money rack placement is everything, and Murray is the type of shooter who can build a smart rack plan and execute it.
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At this number, you are being paid for a realistic path where he hits one logo ball and runs his all-money rack at the top or wing.
Lillard
Damian Lillard is the biggest wild card on the board. He is a two-time champion and still a historically great shooter, but he is competing while rehabbing a torn Achilles and has not played this season.
That introduces real questions about conditioning, lower-body comfort on quick stop-start footwork, and whether his rhythm holds across two rounds. He has the experience edge, but the physical question makes him a tough bet at +410.
Portis
Bobby Portis is the deep flyer at +1600. His raw percentage is elite, and the all-money rack lets him maximize the shots he is most comfortable with.
The risk is that lower-volume shooters sometimes struggle with the no-dribble, no-pause pace once the clock becomes a factor. Still, this is the kind of number where you do not need him to be “most likely.” You just need him to be live.
3 Point Contest Betting Trends
- Kon Knueppel is the favorite at +270.
- Damian Lillard is priced at +410.
- Devin Booker is priced at +550.
- Jamal Murray and Tyrese Maxey are both priced at +650.
- Donovan Mitchell is priced at +750.
- Norman Powell is priced at +950.
- Bobby Portis is the longshot at +1600.
Key Injuries and Notes
- The contest format rewards money-ball rack planning and rhythm shooting under a clock.
- Two logo balls are worth 3 points each, meaning one hot logo shot can swing the round.
- Damian Lillard is competing while rehabbing a torn Achilles and has not played this season.
3 Point Contest Predictions
- Prediction: Jamal Murray wins the 2026 NBA All-Star 3-Point Contest
- Most Likely Finalist: Kon Knueppel -180
How to Bet
When I bet the 3-point contest, I treat it like a short sprint where one cold rack can end your night. That is why I prefer shooters with repeatable mechanics and a history of volume shooting.
It is also important to shop your odds. Different books can hang different contest prices, and using multiple options from the best sportsbooks list helps you find the best value.
If you are opening a new account for All-Star weekend, check the latest sportsbook promo codes before you place your first wager.
For bettors who like a different style of betting, there are also social sportsbooks that can be fun for special events like this.
If you are betting at bet365, the bet365 bonus code page is worth checking out.
If you prefer the social betting angle, the fliff promo code page is another good option.
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