NBA Best Bets Today – Monday, October 27 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 10/27/2025, 03:04 PM ET
Grizzlies vs Celtics
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Monday’s NBA slate is stacked with opportunity, and we’re locked in with confidence. After diving deep into the matchups and trends, we’ve identified three elite plays built on stats, analytics, and proven value. The mission: find the edges, make sharp moves, and keep cashing on the hardwood tonight!

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NBA Best Bet #1 - Grizzlies/Warriors Engage In A Shootout

The Memphis vs. Golden State matchup tonight sets up well for the Over 239. Memphis has opened the season playing at a blistering pace, averaging 123.3 points per game while allowing 123.7, with two of their first three contests sailing past the total. Ja Morant has been aggressive in transition, and the Grizzlies’ defense has been leaky enough to invite shootouts. Even their lone Under still produced 231 combined points, showing how consistently high their game totals have been. Golden State has mirrored that profile. While their opener against Phoenix landed at 228, their next two games both cleared 237 with ease, fueled by Stephen Curry’s 30+ point scoring average and a defense that has struggled to contain opponents. With both teams ranking among the league’s fastest in pace and featuring elite shot-creators, this matchup projects as another high-possession, high-scoring affair. The Over 239 is supported by both early-season form and the head-to-head history of these two Western Conference rivals.

Best Bet #1

  • Memphis/Golden State Over 239

NBA Best Bet #2 - Boston Grabs 1st Win Of The Year

Boston heads into New Orleans tonight as a small -1.5 favorite, and this looks like a good spot to back the Celtics despite their winless start. Boston has dropped its first three games, but Jaylen Brown is coming off a 41-point effort against Detroit, and the Celtics’ defense has quietly held opponents to just 42% shooting from the field through those losses. Even without Jayson Tatum, Boston’s perimeter defense and ability to force turnovers (17 per game) give them an edge against a Pelicans team that has been sloppy with the ball and is still searching for its first win as well. New Orleans has opened 0-2, falling to Memphis and San Antonio, and while Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy have been productive, the Pelicans’ defense has been leaky—allowing 124 points per game so far. They’re also dealing with injuries to Dejounte Murray (Achilles) and Kevon Looney (knee), which thins out their rotation. Boston has historically matched up well with New Orleans, winning both meetings last season, and with the Celtics desperate to avoid an 0-4 start, their defensive intensity and Brown’s scoring punch should be enough to cover the short number.

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  • Boston -1.5

NBA Best Bet #3 - Blazers Top Lakers On The Road

Portland comes into Crypto.com Arena off a statement win over Golden State, where they dropped 139 points and forced 25 turnovers. The Blazers’ defensive pressure has been their calling card early, ranking top-10 in deflections and steals, and that’s a major edge against a shorthanded Lakers squad. With Damian Lillard out for the season and Scoot Henderson sidelined, Portland has leaned on Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, and a balanced attack that’s been efficient from deep (38% from three) and excellent at the line (87%). Their ability to create extra possessions through turnovers and free throws makes them dangerous in this spot. The Lakers, meanwhile, are coming off a 127-120 win over Sacramento behind Austin Reaves’ 51-point explosion. But with LeBron James and Luka Dončić both out, Los Angeles is thin on playmaking and overly reliant on Reaves and Anthony Davis to carry the load. That worked against a porous Kings defense, but Portland’s ball pressure and length on the perimeter are a tougher matchup. With the Lakers on the second night of a back-to-back and missing their stars, this is a prime spot for Portland to capitalize.

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  • Portland -2.5

Recapping Today's NBA Best Bets

  • Memphis/Golden State Over 239
  • Boston -1.5 Over New Orleans
  • Portland -2.5 over LA Lakers

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