New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday January 23 2026
Use Code WWWC Pelicans vs Grizzlies picks take center stage as New Orleans heads to Memphis in a matchup shaped by injuries, recent head-to-head results, and a total sitting in the high 230s. With both teams trending inconsistently and Memphis missing its most explosive player, this game sets up as a spot where disciplined NBA picks matter more than raw pace or name value.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: New Orleans Pelicans +5.5
- Total: Under 239.5
- Projected Final Score: Grizzlies 118, Pelicans 114
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | +4.5 (-110) | 234.5 |
| Memphis | -4.5 (-110) | 234.5 |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | +5.5 (-106) | 239.5 (-114) |
| Grizzlies | -5.5 (-114) | 239.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | New Orleans | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| 01/22 | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-110) |
| 01/22 | +5.5 (-106) | -5.5 (-114) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/22 | 234.5 (-110) | 234.5 (-110) |
| 01/23 | 239.5 (-114) | 239.5 (-106) |
Pelicans
New Orleans comes into this game having lost five of its last six, including a 112-104 home loss to Detroit earlier in the week. The offensive issues have been consistent, not isolated. Over the last 11 games, the Pelicans rank 24th in offensive rating, 20th in effective field goal percentage, and 20th in true shooting percentage. That profile matters when totals are being pushed into the upper 230s.
Availability adds another layer of uncertainty. Jose Alvarado and Herbert Jones are both listed as questionable after being sidelined since January 6. Those two players matter on both ends of the floor, especially defensively, and their absence has forced New Orleans into less stable lineups during this recent skid.
Grizzlies
Memphis has controlled this matchup so far, winning and covering both meetings this season, including a 133-128 overtime win in late November. However, the context is very different this time. Ja Morant will not play, and his absence changes both the ceiling and tempo of this offense.
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The Grizzlies were also out-scored 24-15 in fast-break points in their most recent loss after returning from Europe, a game that highlighted some transition and energy issues. With Morant, Ty Jerome, and Santi Aldama all out, Memphis loses ball pressure, pace, and secondary scoring, which are all key factors when laying points.
Betting Trends for NOP and MEM
- The under is 8-3 in New Orleans’ last 11 games.
- Memphis has won and covered both meetings this season.
- New Orleans ranks outside the top 20 in offensive efficiency metrics over the last 11 games.
Key Injuries and Notes (NOP and MEM)
- New Orleans: Jose Alvarado and Herbert Jones are questionable.
- Memphis: Ja Morant, Ty Jerome, and Santi Aldama are out.
ATS and Total Picks
- New Orleans Pelicans +5.5
- Under 239.5
Final Score Prediction
Grizzlies 118, Pelicans 114
How to Bet
This matchup is a good example of why totals context matters more than raw pace. With Memphis missing Morant and New Orleans struggling to score efficiently, the number has moved into territory that assumes a near-perfect offensive environment.
I prefer attacking this game with the under and a small cushion on the Pelicans side. Always compare numbers across the best sportsbooks, and look for added value through available sportsbook promo codes.
Players who prefer alternative options can also explore social sportsbooks or take advantage of a bet365 bonus code or fliff promo code when building a card around this matchup.
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