NY Knicks vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Trends for December 9 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/09/2025, 09:31 AM ET
Kings vs Raptors prediction
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New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors prediction for Tuesday night in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Below you will find opening and current odds, complete line movement tables, key matchups, and our projected final score. For more expert breakdowns and betting insights, check the latest NBA picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction: Knicks vs Raptors

  • Side: New York Knicks -4
  • Total: Under 225.5
  • Projected Final Score: New York Knicks 112, Toronto Raptors 102

Odds and Line Movement: Knicks vs Raptors

The Knicks opened as a small road favorite and have seen steady support following injury news on the Toronto side. The total opened in the low 230s but was quickly bet downward, aligning with recent trends pointing toward slower pace and better defensive consistency from New York.

Opening Odds

Market New York Knicks Toronto Raptors
Spread -3 (-110) +3 (-110)
Total 231.0 (over/under -110)

Current Odds

Market New York Knicks Toronto Raptors
Spread -4 (-114) +4 (-106)
Total Over 225.5 (-110) Under 225.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time New York Toronto Public ($, #)
12/09 06:04:20am -4.5 (-114) +4.5 (-106) TOR 59%, 67%
12/08 08:50:30pm -4 (-110) +4 (-110)
12/08 05:58:55pm -4 (-112) +4 (-108)
12/08 12:03:58pm -4 (-110) +4 (-110)
12/08 02:56:50pm -4 (-110) +4 (-110)
12/07 03:56:18pm -3.5 (-110) +3.5 (-110)
12/07 07:02:14am -3 (-110) +3 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
12/08 09:58:00pm 225.5 o(-110) 225.5 u(-106)
12/08 05:58:55pm 227 o(-105) 227 u(-115)
12/08 12:38:47pm 230 o(-105) 230 u(-110)
12/07 07:02:14am 231 o(-110) 231 u(-110)

Key Matchups and Handicap: Knicks vs Raptors

The Knicks are the only franchise to reach the NBA Cup quarterfinals in all three seasons of the tournament, and they enter this matchup playing some of their best basketball of the year. New York has won nine straight meetings with Toronto, including a dominant 116-94 home victory on November 30. The Knicks stormed out to a 19-point first-quarter lead in that one and never looked back, controlling the boards with a 25-14 offensive rebounding advantage. Mitchell Robinson grabbed seven offensive rebounds in just 17 minutes, underscoring New York’s physical presence in the paint.

New York is 7-1 straight-up and against the spread in its last eight games, pairing top-tier defense with improved scoring balance. The slow pace the Knicks are playing at — second-slowest in the league over their last ten games — continues to create an edge in lower-scoring, grind-it-out matchups.

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Toronto reached the knockout round with a perfect 4-0 group stage and a +55 point differential, but the Raptors have struggled significantly since RJ Barrett’s knee injury. Toronto is 1-5 straight-up and 0-6 against the spread across its last six games. Without Barrett, the Raptors’ offense has cratered: since his injury on November 23, Toronto ranks 29th in offensive rating, 25th in turnover rate, 28th in effective field goal percentage, and last in true shooting percentage. The absence of Jamison Battle (doubtful with a sprained ankle) and the questionable status of Jamal Shead (quad) further narrows the Raptors’ rotation.

Karl-Anthony Towns sat out Sunday’s win over Orlando but practiced Monday and is expected to return, giving New York another scoring weapon and interior matchup advantage. With Toronto’s offense sputtering and New York’s defense tightening, market support on the under aligns cleanly with recent trends. The matchup clearly favors the Knicks in both form and depth.

  • New York is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.
  • The under is 6-3 in Toronto’s games since RJ Barrett’s injury.
  • The under is 6-2 in New York’s last eight games.

Key Injuries and Notes: NYK vs TOR

  • New York: Karl-Anthony Towns expected to play.
  • Toronto: RJ Barrett out (knee); Jamison Battle doubtful (ankle); Jamal Shead questionable (quad).

ATS and Total Picks: Knicks vs Raptors

This matchup heavily favors New York’s structure, rebounding edge, and defensive consistency. Toronto’s inability to generate efficient offense without Barrett — combined with multiple rotation injuries — makes it difficult for the Raptors to keep pace.

Spread Pick

  • Pick: New York Knicks -4

Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 225.5

Final Score Prediction

New York Knicks 112, Toronto Raptors 102

How to Bet: Knicks vs Raptors

With New York trending upward and Toronto battling injuries and offensive issues, early bettors may prefer grabbing the Knicks before the line climbs further. Raptors backers should wait for potential movement toward +5 or +5.5 if the board shifts closer to tipoff. Under bettors have justification based on pace and scoring trends, while over bettors may wait to see if the market drops a point before jumping in.

Before placing wagers, compare lines across the best sportsbooks and review the latest sportsbook promo codes. You can also explore alternative betting options through social sportsbooks, along with bonuses like the bet365 bonus code and the fliff promo code to maximize value.

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