Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves, Picks, Odds, Preview, and Prediction, Friday, December 19, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 12/19/2025, 06:57 PM ET
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It’s a big time matchup in the Western Conference on Friday, Dec. 19. Read our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction along with along with other NBA Picks. The Thunder are 25-2 and they have the best record in basketball. Oklahoma City rebounded after a tough loss to San Antonio as they dismantled the Clippers on Thursday night. The Timberwolves are 17-10 and they have been on a tear recently winning seven of their last nine games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 9:30 P.M. EST.

Oklahoma City bounces back with big win

Oklahoma City is 25-2 and they have the best record in the NBA as they lead the Western Conference by four games over the Nuggets. The Thunder are 12-1 when playing on the road this season. They suffered their second loss of the season to the Spurs a few days ago in the NBA Cup, but they bounced back nicely with a key home win.

In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Clippers 122-101 at home on Thursday, Dec. 18. The Thunder shot 48% from the field and 36% from behind the 3-point line in the win. They forced 29 turnovers, which led to 38 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 32 points on 13-for-24 shooting.

Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 32.4 points and 6.4 assists per game. Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing a team-high 10.6 rebounds per game, too.

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Oklahoma City is the third-best offensive efficient team in the league. They are also the best defensive efficient team in the sport. The Thunder are the 11th ranked rebounding team, too.

Oklahoma City is averaging 123.1 points per game, which ranks second-best in the league. They are hitting 49.7% from the field, placing them third best. The Thunder are the fifth-best 3-point shooting team hitting 37.6% from behind the arc.

On defense, the Thunder are allowing 106.4 points per game, which is the best in the league. They are also allowing 42.6% from the field, which is also the best defensive mark. Oklahoma City is allowing 36.5% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 21st.

The Thunder are 15-12 against the spread this season. They are 13-11 against the spread after a win. They are 7-6 against the spread when they have been a road favorite. But, they are 1-2 against the spread when playing with no rest. The over is 14-13 when the Thunder have played this season. The over is 7-6 when they have played on the road. The under is also 2-1 when off no rest.

Minnesota winners of seven of last nine games

Minnesota is 17-10 overall this season. The Timberwolves are in sixth place in the Western Conference as they are 7.5 games back of Oklahoma City. Minnesota does hold a 2.5 game lead over Phoenix to avoid the play-in round. The Timberwolves are 9-5 when they have played at home. They have won seven of their last nine games coming into this matchup.

In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to Memphis 116-110 at home on Wednesday, Dec. 17. Minnesota led for a majority of the game before Memphis went on a 14-0 run to take the lead which took them to the finish line. Minnesota shot 40% from the field and 30% from behind the 3-point line. They turned the ball over 18 times, which led to 20 points for the Grizzlies. Julius Randle led the team with 21 points on 9-for-21 shooting as Anthony Edwards did not play in the game.

Edwards leads the team with 28.6 points per game. Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.5 rebounds while Randle is passing for a team-high 5.7 assists per game.

Minnesota is the eighth ranked team in offensive and defensive efficiency. The Timberwolves are also the eighth ranked rebounding team in the league.

Minnesota is averaging 119.4 points per game, which ranks seventh best. They are the ninth best shooting team, making 48.3% from the field. The Timberwolves are hitting 37.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks sixth best.

On defense, Minnesota is allowing 114.6 points per game, which ranks 10th overall. They are allowing 46.2% from the field, placing them eighth best. The Timberwolves are also the 11th ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 35.4% from behind the arc.

Minnesota is 10-17 against the spread this season. The Timberwolves are 4-4 against the spread with a spread advantage. They are 0-2 against the spread as a home underdog, too. Minnesota is 5-9 against the spread at home. The under is 14-13 when Minnesota has played this year. The over is 3-2 when Minnesota has been an underdog. The under is 7-1 when Minnesota has enjoyed a rest advantage.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Pick

  • Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (5 Units)

The Thunder are playing at a differnet level this season. Even in their two losses, the Thunder have looked to be the better team for a majority of the game. The Thunder's defense is suffocating as they rank No. 1 in that category. The Timberwolves are very capable team, but there is something different, something historic about the Thunder. With them being a single-digit favorite, this has the Thunder covering all day even though they are playing with no rest. The depth of Oklahoma City is staggering and it will be showcased in a big way in this game. The Timberwolves are 0-2 against the spread as a home underdog. The Thunder are 13-11 against the spread after a win.

Take the Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under Pick

  • Under 227.5 (5 units)

Minnesota loves to play at a crawl as they rank as the fifth slowest team in the NBA. The Timberwolves play deep into the shot clock along with the Thunder being the No. 1 defensive team in the league, this should be a low-scoring game. The under is 7-1 when Minnesota has a rest advantage. The under is also 2-1 when Oklahoma has played with no rest. This will feel like a playoff game with an intense environment dictated by long possessions.

Take the under on Friday.Β 

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