Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans, Picks, Odds, Preview, and Prediction, Monday, November 17, 2025

By: Liam Keating Published 11/17/2025, 11:38 AM ET
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It’s a Western Conference matchup on Monday, Nov. 17. Read our Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction along with our other NBA Picks. The Thunder lead the league with the best record as they are 13-1. They are riding a five-game winning streak coming into this outing. The Pelicans, who are fresh off firing head coach Willie Green, have the worst record in the West with a 2-11 record. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 8 P.M. EST.

Oklahoma City continues fast start to new season

Oklahoma City is 13-1 overall and they have the best record in basketball. They are the only team in the league with just one defeat this year. The Thunder are 7-1 when they have played on the road. The team’s lone loss was a 121-119 defeat to Portland a few weeks ago. Since the loss, Oklahoma City has won five straight games.

In their last game, the Thunder defeated Charlotte 109-96 on the road on Saturday, Nov. 15. Oklahoma City shot 51% from the field and 48% from behind the arc. They out-rebounded Charlotte 50-42 as the Thunder earned a fairly easy win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 33 points on 13-for-19 shooting.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 32.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. The Thunder’s top rebounder is Isaiah Hartenstein with 11.2 boards per game.

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The Thunder rank fifth in offensive efficiency. They are also the No. 1-ranked defensively efficient team in the sport. Oklahoma City is placed fifth in rebounding, too.

Oklahoma City is averaging 121.6 points per game, which ranks ninth overall. They are the 12th-ranked shooting team, making 47.8% from the field. The Thunder rank 21st in 3-point shooting by hitting 34.4% from behind the arc.

On defense, the Thunder are allowing 106.2 points per game, which is the best in the league. They are the best defensive team, allowing 41.7% from the field. Oklahoma City is allowing 37% from behind the 3-point line, which places their defense 23rd.

Oklahoma City is 8-6 against the spread this season. They are 4-4 against the spread when the Thunder have played on the road. The Thunder are 4-1 against the spread when they have been double-digit favorites. The total is 7-7 when Oklahoma City has played. The under is 5-3 when the Thunder have played away from home.

Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, and Kenrich Williams are all out for the game with injuries. Alex Caruso (hand) is questionable for Monday’s game.

New Orleans at the bottom of the West

The Pelicans are 2-11 overall this season. New Orleans sits in last place in the Western Conference and they have one more win than the Pacers and Wizards, who have the worst record in the league. After winning back-to-back games, the Pelicans have lost five straight.

In their last game, the Pelicans lost 124-106 to the Warriors at home on Sunday, Nov. 16. After leading in the opening minutes, the Pelicans were unable to take a lead for the rest of the game. New Orleans shot just 45% from the field and 28% from behind the arc. They turned the ball over 20 times, which led to 27 points. Trey Murphy II led the team with 20 points on 6-for-13 shooting.

Murphy leads the team in most offensive statistics. He has team-highs with 19.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.

New Orleans ranks fifth-worst in offensive efficiency. They are also the third word defensively efficient team in the sport. The Pelicans rank fifth-worst in rebounding, too.

The Pelicans are averaging 108.2 points per game, which ranks last in the league. They are the third-worst shooting team, making 43.8% from the field. New Orleans ranks 19th in 3-point shooting, making 34.7% from behind the arc.

On defense, New Orleans is allowing 121.6 points per game, which ranks 23rd. They are the third-worst defensive team, allowing 50.3% from the field. The Pelicans are the 14th-ranked 3-point defensive team, as opponents are hitting 35.8% from behind the arc.

New Orleans is 4-7-2 against the spread this season. They are 1-3-2 against the spread when they have played at home. The Pelicans are 2-3 against the spread as double-digit underdogs. The over is 7-6 when the Pelicans have played this season. The total is 3-3 when the Pelicans have played at home.

Zion Williamson (hamsting) and Jordan Poole (knee) all missed Sunday’s game and are likely to miss Monday’s game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks

Thunder vs Pelicans Spread Pick

  • Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5 (5 units)

The Thunder come into this game as the best team in the league. They are the only team with one loss as they are riding a five-game winning streak. The defending NBA Champions have been decimating everyone in their path and they will defeat New Orleans with ease. The Pelicans will be on the second game of a back-to-back after losing big to the Warriors. The Pelicans rank fifth worst in offensive efficiency and the Thunder’s best defense will be key in helping them secure a blowout win.

Take the Thunder to cover.

Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under Pick

  • Under 226.5 (5 units)

This game will be played at a crawl with two of the slowest teams in the league. Both squads love playing deep into shot clocks as the Thunder rank last in pace. The Pelicans also rank eighth slowest in the sport, too. The under is 5-3 when the Thunder have played away from home this season.

Take the under on Monday.  

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