Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Atlanta Hawks Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025
It’s an interconference tilt on the hardwood as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to take on the Atlanta Hawks Saturday night and we have you covered with our Thunder vs. Hawks prediction. Oklahoma City slipped past Indiana 141-135 in double overtime on the road Thursday night in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 7.5-point favorite. Atlanta was in action Friday night on the road against Orlando in the first game of a back-to-back set. The Hawks were blown out 138-118 at home by Toronto in their previous game, Wednesday night, losing outright as a 5.5-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Thunder own a 73-72 advantage and took both meetings last season, including a 135-119 home win in the most recent matchup on February 28. This article was published before the conclusion of the Hawks’ road tilt with the Magic Friday night. Read more about this Thunder vs. Hawks prediction! No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!
Sign Up for Winners and Whiners News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Thunder Looking to Remain Unbeaten
Oklahoma City found themselves in a double overtime game for the second straight contest to open the season and managed to down Indiana on the road in a rematch of the NBA Finals Thursday night. The Thunder improved to 2-0 on the year and entered Friday with a half-game lead over the Jazz and Timberwolves for the top spot. Against Indiana, Oklahoma City trailed by three after the opening quarter, led by seven at the half and by three after three quarters before ending up in overtime. The Thunder trailed by as many as five in the first overtime before rallying to force a second overtime. In the second overtime, Oklahoma City used an 8-0 run to take a 135-128 lead with 2:06 to play and went on to win. The Thunder shot 45.3% from the field, including 10 of 35 from three-point range, and knocked down 45 of 51 free throw attempts in the game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored a career-high 55 points, plus eight rebounds and five assists in the win to lead the way.
This season, the Thunder are 4th in the league in scoring offense as they average 133 points per game on the year. Oklahoma City is 9th in rebounding with 49 boards per contest, while they are 16th in assists with 23 dimes a night. The Thunder are 25th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 129.5 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 45 points, 6.5 rebounds and five assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (21.5 points, 9.5 rebounds), Ajay Mitchell (21 points) and Aaron Wiggins (16.5 points) as other secondary scoring options. Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace (14 points), Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso and Jaylin Williams have to be contributors if they hope to have success. Oklahoma City is 21st in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 44.7% from the floor as a team on the year. The Thunder are 17th by hitting 11.5 threes per game and 27th in three-point shooting by hitting 26.4% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free-throw line this year as they rank 6th by shooting 85.5% as a team at the stripe.
Nikola Topic (groin) is out indefinitely. Alex Caruso (concussion), Isaiah Joe (knee), Jalen Williams (wrist) and Kenrich Williams (knee) are all out here. Holmgren (back) and Wallace (knee) are questionable.
Atlanta Playing Second Game of Back-to-Back
Atlanta was in action on Friday night on the road as they took on Orlando in a Southeast Division clash. The Hawks entered Friday 0-1 and sat tied for third in the Southeast Division, one game behind the Magic and Hornets for the top spot. Last season, Atlanta was 9-8 in the second game of back-to-back situations with a +1.8-ppg scoring differential (116 ppg for, 114.2 ppg against) in those contests. The Hawks were 21-19 at home with a -1.3-ppg scoring margin (118.2 ppg for, 119.5 ppg against) in 2024-25. Atlanta was 10-20 against Western Conference foes with a -6.4-ppg scoring margin (115.7 ppg for, 122.1 ppg against) last season.
In their season opener against Toronto, Atlanta never led by more than two points in the game as they were run out of their own building. The Hawks were down two after one quarter and by six at the half before getting outscored 45-28 in the third quarter to trail by 23 en route to the loss. Atlanta shot 42.2% from the field, including 10 of 35 from three-point range, while losing the rebounding battle 54-34 and allowing Toronto to shoot 56.8% in the game. Trae Young and Jalen Johnson (seven rebounds, eight assists) each had 22 points to lead the Hawks in the loss. Kristaps Porzingis added 20 points and seven rebounds in his Hawks debut. Onyeka Okongwu added 18 off the bench, Zaccharie Risacher put up 16 and Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in 10 in a losing effort.
Porzingis (illness) and Risaccher (ankle) both missed Friday’s contest. Watch for updates leading up to tip-off.
Thunder vs. Hawks Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,778.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,716.00 |
| 3 |  David Hess | +1,326.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,323.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,071.00 |
Thunder vs. Hawks Spread Pick
- Thunder (4 units)
Oklahoma City won both their games this season, going to double overtime in both contests. Despite being without Jalen Williams, the Thunder has still thrived and survived as the reigning MVP, Gilgeous-Alexander, has piled up 90 points already this year. Mitchell has stepped up with additional minutes and the Thunder enters this game with a rest advantage. Atlanta was blown out in their own building by Toronto in their season opener and is playing the second game of a back-to-back set here. The Hawks were minus two starters in Friday’s contest, and it’s tough to see them keeping pace with the defending champs. Take the Thunder in this contest.
Thunder vs. Hawks Spread Pick
- Over (4 units)
Oklahoma City saw the over post a 55-49-2 mark in the 2024-25 campaign. The Thunder was a stellar third in offensive efficiency and was one of the teams that loved to push the pace, as they were sixth in the league in tempo with 100 possessions a night. Oklahoma City has gone over the number in both games this season. Atlanta had the second-highest over percentage in the league last season, posting a 51-32-1 mark to the over in 2024-25. The Hawks were 18th in offensive efficiency despite ranking fifth in scoring offense (118.2 ppg), in part as they were third in pace with 102.6 possessions a night. We saw Atlanta combine with Toronto for 256 points in their opener. Look for this game to wind up over the total.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
