Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Picks and Predictions for Sunday, February 1, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 02/01/2026, 05:10 AM ET
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The Oklahoma City Thunder continue a West Coast Road trip Sunday with a 9:30 PM matchup in Denver, inside Ball Arena against the Denver Nuggets, and we have you ready to roll with our Oklahoma City vs Denver prediction. Oklahoma City is one of the better teams in the entire NBA with 38 wins and 11 losses this season. Denver stays home Sunday with 33 wins and 16 losses this season. Oklahoma City comes into Sunday having lost three of its last five, following a 12-point road loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in its last outing. Denver comes into this matchup playing great after winning four of the last five, including two in a row, following a 13-point home victory against the Los Angeles Clippers. Read more about this Oklahoma City vs Denver prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NBA Predictions!

Oklahoma City tries to end woes

The Oklahoma City offense has been the team's biggest strength this season, averaging 120.3 points on 49% shooting. Defensively, Oklahoma City has been top-tier as well, holding opponents to 108 points per game this season. Offensively, Oklahoma City struggled in its last outing, scoring 111 points on 48% shooting and 35% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Oklahoma City was obliterated, giving up 123 points, including 63 in the first half, as Minnesota shot 51% from the floor and knocked down 22 3-pointers. Oklahoma City lost the rebounding by 10 and turned the ball over 16 times in the loss. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for the Oklahoma City offense in their last outing with 30 points and eight assists on 18 shots.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Oklahoma City offense this season with 32 points and 6.2 rebounds per game. Chet Holmgren is 2nd on the roster, averaging 17.8 points to go along with the team's leading 8.6 rebounds. Jalen Williams averages 16.8 points, and Ajay Mitchell averages 14.1 points per game. Big man Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, and Aaron Wiggins is the 6th player on the roster in double digits, averaging 10.5 points per game.

Key Injury Report for Oklahoma City:

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  • Alex Caruso (Out) – Thigh
  • Ajay Mitchell (Out) – Abdomen
  • Jalen Williams (Out) – Hamstring
  • Nikola Topic (Out) – Groin
  • Thomas Sorber (OFS) -Knee

Denver tries to keep rolling

The Denver Nuggets have been a potent offensive team this season, averaging 120.1 points on 50% shooting. Defensively, Denver has been top-tier, holding opponents to 115.6 points per game this season and allowing an average of 102.25 points per game over their last four wins. Offensively, Denver was the better team in their last outing, scoring 122 points on 55% shooting and 57% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Denver set the tone, giving up just 109 points on 47% shooting from the floor. The Nuggets won the rebounding by 9 and forced 9 turnovers in the win. Nikola Jokic orchestrated the Denver offense, leading the team with 31 points and 12 rebounds on 11 shots.

Nikola Jokic leads the Denver offense this season with 29.7 points, 12.12 rebounds, and 10.8 assists. Jamal Murray is second on the team with 25 points per game. Aaron Gordon averaged 17.7 points, and Peyton Watson is 4th on the team, averaging 14.7 points per game this season. Cameron Jonathan has averaged 11.7 points per game this season for Denver, but has played just 28 times.

Key Injury Report for Denver:

  • Jaml Muray (GTD) – Ankle
  • Christian Braun (GTD) – Ankle
  • Nikola Jokic (GTD) – Knee
  • Cameron Johnson (Out) – Knee
  • Aaron Gordon (Out) -Hamstring

Oklahoma City vs Denver Pick

  • Oklahoma City vs Denver Spread Pick

Both teams are dealing with a ton of injuries heading into this matchup, but Denver is in a better spot. The Nuggets will potentially have several key players return to the lineup Sunday night, giving them a huge edge. Look for Denver to control this game on both sides of the ball as they pull off the home victory against one of the best teams in the league. Take the Denver Nuggets as the underdog to get the outright win Sunday night.

  • Oklahoma City vs Denver Over/Under Pick

Both teams score a ton of points, and that will continue in this matchup. Look for a scoring onslaught in this game as each team averages more than 120 points per game this season. Take the over Sunday night as each team pursues a Western Conference victory.

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