Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a Western Conference battle as the Oklahoma City Thunder clash with the Sacramento Kings Friday night and we have things covered with our Thunder vs. Kings prediction in the NBA Cup-Group Play. Oklahoma City was edged 121-119 by Portland on the road in the second half of a back-to-back situation, losing outright as a 3.5-point favorite. Sacramento downed Golden State 121-116 at home in their previous contest Wednesday night, covering the line as a three-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Thunder own a 155-101 advantage and took the last six meetings, including a 107-101 home win in the first meeting this season October 28. Read more about this Thunder vs. Kings prediction! No air balls here—only slam dunks with our NBA Picks!
Thunder Looking to Rebound From First Loss
Oklahoma City went to the wire against Portland but ended up falling a bucket short, snapping their season-opening win streak at eight games. The Thunder enter this game 8-1 and stand atop the Northwest Division by two games over the Nuggets. Against Portland, Oklahoma City led by as many as 22 in the first half, by 20 after the opening quarter and by eight at the half. Their lead was trimmed to five after three quarters. The Thunder took their last lead at 104-103 with 4:54 remaining on a Shai Gilgeous-Alexander three-pointer before giving up a 12-2 run to trail by nine. They never got even the rest of the way to end up with the loss. Oklahoma City shot 41.8% from the floor, including 15 of 38 from beyond the arc, and turned the ball over 15 times in the game. Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 35 points, nine rebounds and four assists in the loss.
This season, the Thunder are 5th in the league in scoring offense as they average 122.2 points per game on the year. Oklahoma City is 7th in rebounding with 47.3 boards per contest while they are 21st in assists with 25.3 dimes a night. The Thunder are 3rd in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 110.7 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 33.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 6.3 assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (20.6 points, 9.2 rebounds), Ajay Mitchell (16.7 points) and Aaron Wiggins (14.8 points) as other secondary scoring options. Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein (10.7 points, 10.9 rebounds), Isaiah Joe (17.3 points), Cason Wallace (14 points), Ousmane Dieng, Alex Caruso and Jaylin Williams have to be contributors if they hope to have success. Oklahoma City is 17th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.8% from the floor as a team on the year. The Thunder are 12th by hitting 14 threes per game and 20th in three-point shooting by hitting 34% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free-throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 86.2% as a team at the stripe.
Nikola Topic (groin) is out indefinitely. Kenrich Williams (knee) is out until at least late November, Jalen Williams (wrist) is out until mid to late November, while Wiggins (adductor) is out here. Dort (shoulder) is questionable here.
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Sacramento Trying to String Together Wins
Sacramento won for the second time in three games as they took down Golden State at home in their previous contest on Wednesday night. The Kings improved to 3-5 on the season and stand tied for fourth in the Pacific Division entering Tuesday night, 3.5 games behind the Lakers for the top spot. Against Golden State, Sacramento trailed by seven after the opening quarter and by 13 in the first half before cutting the deficit to five at intermission. The Kings led by seven after three quarters only to find themselves tied at 104 midway through the fourth quarter. Sacramento responded with an 11-2 run to take a 115-106 lead and didn’t let Golden State get even again en route to the win. The Kings shot 49.4% from the floor, including 11 of 23 from beyond the arc, and forced 19 Golden State turnovers, leading to 30 points. DeMar DeRozan led Sacramento with 25 points in the win.
The Kings enter this game 15th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 116.9 points per game. Sacramento is 30th in rebounding with 39.9 boards a contest, while the team stands 18th by handing out an average of 25.9 assists per contest. The Kings are 25th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 120.4 points a night. Zach LaVine is leading the team with 27.4 points a night on the year. DeMar DeRozan (21 points, 3.9 rebounds, 3.9 assists), Dennis Schroder (15.3 points, 6.9 assists), Malik Monk (16.5 points) and Domantas Sabonis (14.5 points, 14.2 rebounds, four assists) each average in double figures. Russell Westbrook (15 points, 7.1 rebounds, 5.6 assists), Keon Ellis, Nique Clifford, Drew Eubanks, Dario Saric, Dylan Cardwell, Precious Achiuwa, Devin Carter and Isaac Jones are all key pieces of their rotation. Sacramento is 10th in field goal percentage by shooting 48.8% from the floor as a team on the year. The Kings are 25th by knocking down an average of 11 three-pointers a night, while they are 11th by knocking down 37.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc this season. The Kings are slightly above average at the free-throw line, ranking 12th in the league with a 79.1% success rate.
Keegan Murray (thumb) is out until mid to late November. Sabonis (ribs) is questionable for this contest. Watch for updates as we get closer to tip-off.
Thunder vs. Kings Pick
Thunder vs. Kings Spread Pick
- Thunder -10.5 (4 units)
Oklahoma City is going to come out firing after suffering its first loss of the season their last time out against Portland. The Thunder has some injury concerns with Wiggins out and Dort a question mark. They still have the reigning MVP and capable secondary options to help support him. Sacramento picked up the win over Golden State in a game where both teams were missing key contributors. It’s unclear if LaVine’s back injury was a means of load management or an actual injury, so that’s something to watch. Sabonis is questionable after missing Wednesday’s contest and even with him, the Kings struggle on the glass. Look for Oklahoma City to take care of business on the road as they prevail in this contest to get back in the win column.
Thunder vs. Kings Over/Under Pick
- Over 228 (4 units)
Oklahoma City has gone over the number in six of their nine games this season, entering Thursday night. The Thunder is 5th in scoring offense, 7th in offensive efficiency and 26th in adjusted tempo with 98.4 possessions per contest. Sacramento enters this game having gone over the total in six of their eight games this season. The Kings are 15th in scoring offense, 20th in offensive efficiency, and 12th in terms of pace as they average 101.9 possessions a night this season. Seeing how the Kings have been leaking oil on the defensive end of the floor and the Thunder is capable of piling up points, take the over here.
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