Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday February 24 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 02/24/2026, 09:23 AM ET
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Thunder vs Raptors picks bring us a tight number, injury questions, and a recent upset that still matters. Toronto already went into Oklahoma City as a double-digit underdog on January 25 and won outright. If you are searching for sharp NBA predictions, this is a matchup where recent form and lineup news create value.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Toronto -1
  • Total Pick: Under 216.5
  • Projected Final Score: Toronto 108, Oklahoma City 102

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Market Oklahoma City Toronto
Spread -1.5 (-110) +1.5 (-110)
Total Over 218.5 (-110) Under 218.5 (-110)

Current Odds

Market Oklahoma City Toronto
Spread +1 (-112) -1 (-108)
Total Over 216.5 (-110) Under 216.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Oklahoma City Toronto Public ($, #)
02/24 08:31:28AM 1 -112 -1 -108 TOR 69%, TOR 65%
02/24 02:58:33AM -1 -110 1 -110 TOR 55%, TOR 55%
02/23 08:46:22PM -1.5 -110 1.5 -110
02/23 04:48:59PM -1.5 -112 1.5 -108
02/23 02:05:54AM -1.5 -114 1.5 -106

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
02/24 09:08:17AM 216.5 -110 216.5 -110 UN 100%, UN 100%
02/24 08:32:00AM 217.5 -110 217.5 -110 UN 100%, UN 100%
02/24 08:31:28AM 218.5 -110 218.5 -110 UN 100%, UN 100%
02/23 07:02:18PM 217.5 -110 217.5 -110
02/23 05:17:30PM 218.5 -110 218.5 -110

Thunder

Oklahoma City was a rare underdog on Sunday and pulled off a home upset. It was just the second time this season the Thunder closed as a dog. However, that win came with elite three-point shooting at 51.2 percent, compared to 46.7 percent from two-point range.

Replicating that perimeter efficiency is never guaranteed, especially with multiple key players sidelined.

Raptors

Toronto already beat Oklahoma City 103-101 on January 25 as a double-digit road underdog. The Raptors controlled the glass with a +14 rebounding edge and won the offensive board battle 12-5.

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Since the All-Star break, Toronto has picked up road wins in Chicago and Milwaukee. The Raptors have covered five of their last six games, and their last four games have all stayed under the total while allowing just 103.0 points per game during that stretch.

Thunder vs Raptors

Early money has pushed this line toward the Raptors. The spread flipped from Oklahoma City -1.5 to Toronto -1. That movement reflects both recent form and injury concerns.

Both teams are on equal rest and on the front leg of a back-to-back. Toronto will host San Antonio next, while Oklahoma City travels to Detroit.

Thunder vs Raptors Key Matchups and Handicap

The Raptors match up well across several key positions. They already proved they can compete physically by dominating the glass in the first meeting. If Toronto controls rebounds again, that limits second-chance points and tempo swings.

Oklahoma City shot over 51 percent from three in its last game. Asking for that level of shooting again is a stretch. Toronto’s recent defensive stretch, holding opponents to 103.0 points per game over four contests, points toward a slower and more controlled game.

The total has dropped from 218.5 to 216.5 with 100 percent of early money backing the under. That sharp move aligns with Toronto’s recent defensive form.

  • Toronto won the first meeting 103-101 as a double-digit road underdog.
  • The Raptors have covered five of their last six games.
  • Toronto’s last four games have all stayed under the total.
  • Oklahoma City closed as an underdog just twice this season.
  • The total has dropped from 218.5 to 216.5.

Key Injuries and Notes - OKC and TOR

  • Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams remain out for Oklahoma City.
  • Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren are listed as questionable.
  • Jakob Poeltl is out for Toronto with a back injury.
  • Both teams are on the front leg of a back-to-back.

ATS and Total Picks

  • ATS Pick: Toronto -1
  • Total Pick: Under 216.5

Final Score Prediction

Toronto 108, Oklahoma City 102

How to Bet

With a short spread and heavy injury influence, price shopping matters. Check the latest sportsbook promo codes and compare numbers across the best sportsbooks before locking in a side.

If you prefer alternative wagering formats, explore social sportsbooks or take advantage of offers like the bet365 bonus code and the fliff promo code. With line movement favoring Toronto and the total trending down, timing your wager can make the difference between pushing and cashing.

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