Pelicans vs. Warriors, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025

By: David Delano Published 11/29/2025, 03:46 AM ET
Pelicans vs. Warriors Prediction
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An eventful sports weekend rolls into Saturday night as the Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans. These teams last met on November 16th, when Golden State cruised to a 124–106 road win as a 10.5-point favorite.

The Pelicans are coming off a competitive loss to the Grizzlies, while the Warriors are looking to bounce back from a frustrating NBA Cup loss at home against the Rockets. Check out more Free NBA Picks at Winners and Whiners if you want more winners.

What's the plan?

It’s been a long season already for New Orleans, although the effort has been better in the last two games. After picking up a rare win on Monday over the Bulls, powered by 29 points from Zion Williamson, the Pelicans followed that up with a 133–128 loss to Memphis on Wednesday. Against Western Conference foes, the Pelicans are now just 1–14 straight up,

Offensively, the Pelicans are stagnant, ranking bottom-five in points per game (111.5), field-goal percentage (44.9%), and three-point shooting (34.4%). They’re also inconsistent defensively, giving up 122.5 points per night and allowing opponents to hit over 50% from the field.

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Injuries continue to pile up, with Herbert Jones and Dejounte Murray out and Jordan Poole listed day-to-day. Williamson leads the team across key categories when he actually plays, but he's been limited to just nine games this season.

Warriors coming off a tough loss

Golden State comes in off a disappointing 104–100 loss to Houston in a game they controlled early before unraveling. Steph Curry struggled, shooting 4-for-13 with just 14 points, and now he’s sidelined with a quadriceps injury.

On the season, Golden State ranks 21st in scoring at 115.1 points per game, shoots a respectable 36.4% from deep (13th), but no longer the potent offense from the days of the Splash Brothers. Defensively, they hold opponents to 114.5 points per game with top-10 three-point defense.

The team will not be at 100% on Saturday. Along with Curry, who is out, the injury report includes Jonathan Kuminga as day-to-day, and Al Horford and De’Anthony Melton remain out.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

Pelicans vs Warriors ATS Pick

  • Warriors -8 (4 units)

I’m laying it with Golden State. The Pelicans are young, poorly led, banged up, and struggling mightily against Western Conference teams. Even without Steph, the Warriors’ experience and urgency after a big loss with give them a major advantage. Expect Jimmy Butler and some of the lesser-known Warriors to step up and cover.

Pelicans vs Warriors Total Pick

  • Over 224 (4 units)

The Pelicans have failed to top 108 points in their last five meetings against the Warriors, and I don't expect them to have a strong night offensively here. Coming off the loss to Houston, I expect the Warriors to be locked in defensively, and without Steph Curry, the offense should take a step back as well.

Neither team plays at a fast pace, and with the list of injuries in this game, I expect this to be a spot for some young players to step up and prove what they can do on the defensive end. I'm going with the under.

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