Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Prediction for Friday December 5, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Philadelphia 76ers (12-9) and Milwaukee Bucks (10-13) meet Friday night in a matchup between two teams trying to build consistency. Philadelphia comes in riding a two-game winning streak, but they’ll be playing on the second night of a back-to-back after a close 99–98 win over Golden State. As for Milwaukee, they are coming off an impressive upset of Detroit, even with Giannis being sidelined. Get the best free NBA picks and more predictions this weekend at Winners and Whiners.
The Sixers won the first meeting in overtime on November 20 in Milwaukee.
76ers playing on a back-to-back
Philadelphia picked up its second straight win Thursday by escaping with a 99–98 victory over the Warriors. Tyrese Maxey carried the offense again, pouring in 35 points, while Joel Embiid and Quentin Grimes were next up, with each adding 12 points. Rookie VJ Edgecombe added 10 points, and Dominick Barlow grabbed a team-high 14 rebounds.
The Sixers sit middle of the pack in pace (15th) and true shooting (21st at 57.6%), so they often depend on Maxey’s explosiveness. Maxey is third in the NBA, averaging 32.6 ppg, with Embiid second with 18.5 ppg, despite only balling in eight games so far.
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Can the Bucks build off their win against Pistons?
Milwaukee enters this matchup 10–13 but with encouraging momentum after knocking off Detroit 113–109 as a home underdog on Wednesday. Kevin Porter Jr. stepped up with 26 points in the win over the Pistons, Ryan Rollins followed with 22, and Jericho Sims delivered a huge spark off the bench with 15 points and 14 rebounds.
The Bucks play slow (24th in pace), and rely heavily on shot selection and ball movement. Even without Giannis, the Bucks have remained one of the league’s most efficient scoring teams, ranking fourth in true shooting percentage at 60.6%, and first in knocking down 41% of their three-point attempts. Kevin Porter Jr. has been a huge contributor in only four games this season, averaging 19.8 ppg and shooting 59.5% from three.
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
76ers vs Bucks ATS Pick:
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Bucks -1.5 (5 units)
While Philadelphia won the November 20 meeting 123–114 in overtime, this is a difficult scheduling spot for the 76ers, and the trends reflect it. Philadelphia enters on a back-to-back after a one-point win in which their starters logged heavy minutes, and they’re 0–6 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is rested and has quietly found offensive rhythm despite Giannis’ absence. The Bucks’ true shooting and three-point shooting advantages are also significant.
Don't expect to see Embiid playing tonight. So, given the scheduling edge, shooting edge, and home-court advantage, Milwaukee is the play.
76ers vs Bucks Total Pick:
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Under 223.5 (4 units)
Multiple trends point strongly to the under. Milwaukee ranks 24th in pace and has gone under in five of its last six games, while Philadelphia—playing on no rest—has gone under in six of its last seven when the starters logged major minutes the prior night. The Bucks’ home unders against teams who have won more than 60% of their road games are also on a 10-1 run.
With Milwaukee relying on deliberate half-court offense and the Sixers likely fatigued after Thursday’s low-scoring battle, this matchup sets up for another slow, defense-driven game.
Take the under.
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