Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions, Picks, Odds and Trends for November 20 2025

By: Josh Collacchi Published 11/20/2025, 09:38 AM ET
Bucks' superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo.
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Philadelphia vs Milwaukee prediction featuring line movement history, matchup analysis, ATS and total selections, and a projected final score. For more pro basketball previews, visit our NBA predictions page.

Quick Picks and Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks

  • Side: Philadelphia 76ers +2.5
  • Total: Under 224.5
  • Projected Final Score: Philadelphia 76ers 109, Milwaukee Bucks 106
  • Confidence (0–3): Side 1.5 / Total 2.0

Odds and Line Movement: Sixers vs Bucks

FanDuel opened Milwaukee as a small home favorite, but early action has brought movement on both the spread and total. Below are the latest shifts from the market.

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Philadelphia Milwaukee Public ($, #)
11/20 04:48:53am +2½ (-108) -2½ (-112) PHI 92%, 92%
11/19 10:28:39pm +2 (-110) -2 (-110)
11/19 07:52:59pm +1½ (-110) -1½ (-110)
11/19 07:49:19pm +1 (-112) -1 (-108)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
11/20 09:13:49am 224½ o(-110) 224½ u(-110) u90%, o60%
11/20 08:06:07am 225½ o(-110) 225½ u(-112)
11/19 10:52:19pm 226½ o(-110) 226½ u(-110)
11/19 09:10:17pm 227 o(-110) 227 u(-110)
11/19 08:02:57pm 229½ o(-110) 229½ u(-114)
11/19 07:52:59pm 229 o(-112) 229 u(-110)
11/19 07:49:19pm 228½ o(-110) 228½ u(-110)

Key Matchups and Handicap: 76ers vs Bucks

Doc Rivers has had his way with his former team as Milwaukee enters this matchup on an 8-0 straight up and 7-1 against the spread run in the last eight meetings with Philadelphia. Last season all four matchups went over the total, but circumstances for both teams look very different entering this matchup.

The 76ers are on the second half of a back to back after falling 121-112 to Toronto. Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre, and Paul George all missed that game due to injury, though George is expected to return tonight and Embiid will be a gametime decision as he manages a knee issue. Philadelphia’s recent downturn in pace is worth noting. They began the season playing faster than Nick Nurse preferred, but over the last ten games they rank 26th in pace, showing a clear shift toward slower, half court basketball.

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Milwaukee’s situation is also in flux as Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss the next week with a groin injury. Without Giannis, Milwaukee’s offensive creation and interior presence take a significant hit. The Bucks are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games and have struggled defensively as their rotations adjust. With both teams reshaping lineups, this projects as a more methodical contest compared to previous high scoring meetings.

  • Milwaukee is 8-0 straight up and 7-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings.
  • All four matchups last season went over the total.
  • Philadelphia ranks No. 26 in pace over its last ten games.
  • The 76ers last five games have all stayed under the total.
  • Milwaukee is 1-5 against the spread in its last six contests.

Key Injuries and Notes: PHI vs MIL

  • Philadelphia: Joel Embiid (knee) gametime decision; Kelly Oubre out; Paul George expected back.
  • Milwaukee: Giannis Antetokounmpo expected to miss approximately one week (groin).

ATS and Total Picks: Philadelphia vs Milwaukee

Both teams are adjusting to major lineup changes, and Philadelphia’s recent pace shift combined with Milwaukee losing Giannis suggests a lower scoring matchup than their historical trend.

Spread Pick — Sixers vs Bucks

  • Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +2.5
  • Why: Milwaukee is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games, and without Giannis the margin for error shrinks significantly. Philadelphia’s slower pace helps keep this within one possession.

Total Pick — Philadelphia vs Milwaukee

  • Pick: Under 224.5
  • Why: The 76ers last five games have stayed under, and both teams are adjusting rotations. A slower tempo and limited shot creation without Giannis point toward another under.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia vs Milwaukee

Philadelphia 76ers 109, Milwaukee Bucks 106

Even with key injury uncertainty, Philadelphia’s reduced pace and Milwaukee’s loss of Giannis set the stage for a tighter, lower scoring contest. The 76ers defense has shown stretches of discipline, and the Bucks offense will need time to adjust. Expect a competitive game decided late, with Philadelphia having the edge if Embiid returns, and still capable of covering even if he does not.

How to Bet: Sixers vs Bucks

Philadelphia backers should look for spreads in the +2 to +3 range, while the Bucks may appeal to bettors only if the line drops to a pick’em. Total bettors looking to back the under should aim to grab numbers at 224.5 or higher before any downward movement.

Check updated projections and matchup insights to secure the best available number before tipoff. If you are looking to place a wager with a new sportsbook, be sure to check out the latest sportsbook promo codes to get a great welcome offer.

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